Financials Mattel, Inc.

Equities

MAT

US5770811025

Toys & Juvenile Products

Market Closed - Nasdaq Other stock markets 18:00:00 29/11/2024 GMT			5-day change	1st Jan Change
19.02 ^USD	+1.44%		+1.77%	+0.74%

11-29	Hot Wheels, G.I. Joes aplenty on Shein, Temu amid worry over fake products	RE
11-11	Consumer Cos Up on Earnings Optimism -- Consumer Roundup	DJ

Projected Income Statement: Mattel, Inc.

income-statement-evolution-chart MATTEL-INC

Fiscal Period: December	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Net sales ¹	4,505	4,584	5,458	5,435	5,441	5,369	5,534	5,669
Change	-	1.76%	19.07%	-0.42%	0.12%	-1.33%	3.08%	2.43%
EBITDA ¹	453.1	719	1,007	968.4	947.8	1,006	1,067	1,126
Change	-	58.68%	40.06%	-3.83%	-2.13%	6.11%	6.08%	5.56%
EBIT ¹	156.2	447.6	763.3	688.6	641.2	694.1	757.1	786.2
Change	-	186.56%	70.53%	-9.79%	-6.88%	8.26%	9.07%	3.84%
Interest Paid ¹	-201	-198.3	-253.9	-132.8	-123.8	-119.6	-120.7	-119.9
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	-158.3	183.8	470.8	504.3	465.4	582.1	656.8	712.5
Change	-	-	156.15%	7.12%	-7.71%	25.08%	12.84%	8.47%
Net income ¹	-213.5	126.6	903	393.9	214.4	468.8	513.1	557.7
Change	-	-	613.27%	-56.38%	-45.57%	118.64%	9.46%	8.68%
Announcement Date	13/02/20	09/02/21	09/02/22	08/02/23	07/02/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: Diciembre	2019 Q4	2020 Q1	2020 Q2	2020 Q3	2020 Q4	2021 Q1	2021 Q2	2021 Q3	2021 Q4	2022 Q1	2022 Q2	2022 Q3	2022 Q4	2023 Q1	2023 Q2	2023 Q3	2023 Q4	2024 Q1	2024 Q2	2024 Q3	2024 Q4	2025 Q1	2025 Q2	2025 Q3	2025 Q4	2026 Q1	2026 Q2	2026 Q3
Net sales ¹	1,474	594.1	732.1	1,632	1,626	874.2	1,026	1,762	1,795	1,041	1,236	1,756	1,402	814.6	1,087	1,919	1,621	809.5	1,080	1,844	1,623	828.4	1,109	1,907	1,643	840.1	1,123	1,953
Change	-	-59.69%	23.23%	122.88%	-0.36%	-46.23%	17.41%	71.7%	1.85%	-41.99%	18.67%	42.09%	-20.16%	-41.89%	33.46%	76.49%	-15.54%	-50.05%	33.38%	70.78%	-11.98%	-48.96%	33.85%	72.03%	-13.87%	-48.86%	33.72%	73.84%
EBITDA ¹	185.2	-65.4	30.8	469.8	283.8	89.3	130.6	463.3	320.9	152	185.2	473.4	157.8	-13.9	148	579.7	234	53.5	170.8	584.4	187.2	62.8	174.3	580.9	227.7	55.6	180.2	621.8
Change	-	-	-	1,425.32%	-39.59%	-68.53%	46.25%	254.75%	-30.74%	-52.63%	21.84%	155.62%	-66.67%	-	-	291.69%	-59.63%	-77.14%	219.25%	242.15%	-67.97%	-66.45%	177.49%	233.36%	-60.8%	-75.58%	224.01%	245.13%
EBIT ¹	109.3	-133	-25.6	401.3	205	28.2	66.6	401.2	264.5	90.1	121.4	397.9	79.1	-86.7	74.7	506.1	147.1	-23.3	96.2	504.1	111.1	-15.36	101.4	515.3	147.1	-20.42	106.5	544
Change	-	-	-80.75%	-	-48.92%	-86.24%	136.17%	502.4%	-34.07%	-65.94%	34.74%	227.76%	-80.12%	-	-	577.51%	-70.93%	-	-	424.01%	-77.96%	-	-	408.08%	-71.46%	-	-	410.71%
Charge d'intérêts ¹	-60.2	-48.98	-49.6	-50.4	-49.3	-130.5	-38.1	-52.1	-33.25	-33.05	-32.8	-33.9	-33.1	-31.13	-30.6	-30.7	-31.3	-30.1	-30	-29.4	-30.1	-29.7	-29.7	-29.7	-29.7	-29.4	-29.4	-29.4
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	9.2	-198.8	-96.3	338.1	148.1	-97.5	11	333.9	220.6	39.1	87.1	363.7	14.4	-138.2	38.6	450.1	114.9	-53.9	59.5	471.7	91.28	-20	66	438	132	-	-	-
Change	-	-	-51.56%	-	-56.2%	-	-	2,935.45%	-33.93%	-82.28%	122.76%	317.57%	-96.04%	-	-	1,066.06%	-74.47%	-	-	692.77%	-80.65%	-	-	563.64%	-69.86%	-100%	-	-
Net income ¹	0.2	-210.7	-109.2	316	130.5	-115.2	-5.5	812.6	225.8	21.5	66.4	289.9	16.1	-106.5	27.2	146.3	147.3	-28.3	56.9	372.4	59.4	-26	53.5	362.3	82.85	-37	55	398.7
Change	-	-	-48.17%	-	-58.7%	-	-95.23%	-	-72.21%	-90.48%	208.84%	336.6%	-94.45%	-	-	437.87%	0.68%	-	-	554.48%	-84.05%	-	-	577.2%	-77.13%	-	-	624.91%
Announcement Date	13/02/20	05/05/20	23/07/20	22/10/20	09/02/21	22/04/21	27/07/21	21/10/21	09/02/22	27/04/22	21/07/22	25/10/22	08/02/23	26/04/23	26/07/23	25/10/23	07/02/24	23/04/24	23/07/24	23/10/24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: Diciembre	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Net Debt ¹	2,217	2,094	1,840	1,564	1,069	1,021	861	759
Change	-	-5.55%	-12.13%	-15%	-31.65%	-4.45%	-15.67%	-11.85%
Announcement Date	13/02/20	09/02/21	09/02/22	08/02/23	07/02/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: Diciembre	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CAPEX ¹	116.4	121.6	151.4	186.5	160.3	197.9	189.7	191.7
Change	-	4.47%	24.47%	23.22%	-14.05%	23.43%	-4.15%	1.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ¹	64.6	166.9	334.1	256.3	709.5	514.2	536.3	586.3
Change	-	158.36%	100.19%	-23.29%	176.82%	-27.52%	4.28%	9.33%
Announcement Date	13/02/20	09/02/21	09/02/22	08/02/23	07/02/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: Diciembre	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
Profitability
EBITDA Margin (%)	10.06%	15.69%	18.45%	17.82%	17.42%	18.73%	19.28%	19.87%
EBIT Margin (%)	3.47%	9.77%	13.99%	12.67%	11.78%	12.93%	13.68%	13.87%
EBT Margin (%)	-3.51%	4.01%	8.63%	9.28%	8.55%	10.84%	11.87%	12.57%
Net margin (%)	-4.74%	2.76%	16.55%	7.25%	3.94%	8.73%	9.27%	9.84%
FCF margin (%)	1.43%	3.64%	6.12%	4.72%	13.04%	9.58%	9.69%	10.34%
FCF / Net Income (%)	-30.26%	131.83%	37%	65.07%	330.92%	109.7%	104.51%	105.14%
Profitability
ROA	-4.04%	3.48%	7.79%	7.15%	6.93%	8.19%	8.24%	8.26%
ROE	-17.92%	34.65%	42.63%	24.8%	20.89%	22.6%	21.48%	20.15%
Financial Health
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	4.89x	2.91x	1.83x	1.62x	1.13x	1.01x	0.81x	0.67x
Debt / Free cash flow	34.32x	12.54x	5.51x	6.1x	1.51x	1.98x	1.61x	1.3x
Capital Intensity
CAPEX / Current Assets (%)	2.58%	2.65%	2.77%	3.43%	2.95%	3.69%	3.43%	3.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%)	25.69%	16.91%	15.03%	19.26%	16.91%	19.67%	17.78%	17.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%)	180.19%	72.86%	45.3%	72.77%	22.59%	38.48%	35.37%	32.7%
Items per share
Cash flow per share ¹	0.523	0.8264	1.359	1.231	2.436	2.027	2.26	-
Change	-	58.02%	64.43%	-9.38%	97.8%	-16.8%	11.51%	-
Dividend per Share ¹	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.2467
Change	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Book Value Per Share ¹	1.418	1.716	4.473	5.802	6.167	6.891	8.363	9.777
Change	-	21%	160.66%	29.71%	6.29%	11.74%	21.36%	16.91%
EPS ¹	-0.62	0.36	2.53	1.1	0.6	1.368	1.523	1.68
Change	-	-158.06%	602.78%	-56.52%	-45.45%	128%	11.35%	10.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	346,715	348,040	350,341	354,402	353,233	336,900	336,900	336,900
Announcement Date	13/02/20	09/02/21	09/02/22	08/02/23	07/02/24	-	-	-