Projected Income Statement: Lemonade, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lemonade, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - - -257 -302 -239 275 351 475
Change - - - -17.51% 20.86% 215.21% 27.64% 35.33%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lemonade, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 9.4 10.1 9.2 9.4 9.4 14 11.7 -
Change - 7.45% -8.91% 2.17% 0% 48.94% -16.43% -100%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -154 -173.1 -128.3 -20.8 -25.9 49 101.6 327
Change - -12.4% 25.88% 83.79% -24.52% 289.19% 107.35% 221.85%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lemonade, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -143.46% -87.69% -40.16% -28.43% -16% -4.1% 1.79% 6.59%
EBIT Margin (%) -179.21% -111.65% -53.47% -38.73% -21.81% -11.77% -5.01% 2.8%
EBT Margin (%) -181.93% -114.84% -53.47% -38.73% -21.81% -10.77% -3.83% 3.38%
Net margin (%) -187.93% -116.01% -55.12% -38.4% -22.43% -11.11% -4.01% 2.08%
FCF margin (%) -119.94% -67.43% -29.85% -3.95% -3.51% 4.06% 6.3% 15.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 63.82% 58.13% 54.16% 10.29% 15.65% -36.55% -156.96% 747.93%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE -31.56% -32.11% -30.07% -31.05% -29.37% -23.25% -9.39% 8.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - -5.55x 12.11x 3.42x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - 5.61x 3.45x 1.45x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.32% 3.93% 2.14% 1.79% 1.27% 1.16% 0.72% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -5.1% -4.49% -5.33% -6.28% -7.96% -28.32% 40.4% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) -6.1% -5.83% -7.17% -45.19% -36.29% 28.57% 11.52% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -2.362 -2.511 - - - - - -
Change - -6.3% - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 16.03 12.51 10.1 8.16 7.03 6.27 6.065 8.11
Change - -21.93% -19.25% -19.24% -13.85% -10.81% -3.27% 33.72%
EPS 1 -3.94 -4.59 -3.4 -2.85 -2.24 -1.735 -0.8091 0.5067
Change - -16.5% 25.93% 16.18% 21.4% 22.56% 53.35% 162.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 61,627 69,164 69,924 71,405 74,731 76,821 76,821 76,821
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -44.7x -95.9x
PBR 12.4x 12.8x
EV / Sales 5.16x 3.91x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
CCC
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
77.59USD
Average target price
62.00USD
Spread / Average Target
-20.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise