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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 21.28 EUR | -0.09% |
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-4.40% | +5.03% |
| 02-20 | Food retail – from price wars to platform wars |  |
| 02-18 | PKO BP Securities Downgrades Jerónimo Martins to Hold, Lowers PT | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 19,293 | 20,889 | 25,385 | 30,608 | 33,464 | 35,948 | 38,448 | 40,975 |
| Change | - | 8.27% | 21.52% | 20.58% | 9.33% | 7.42% | 6.95% | 6.57% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,423 | 1,585 | 1,854 | 2,168 | 2,232 | 2,442 | 2,652 | 2,871 |
| Change | - | 11.38% | 16.97% | 16.94% | 2.95% | 9.42% | 8.61% | 8.23% |
| EBIT 1 | 689 | 840 | 1,071 | 1,266 | 1,189 | 1,289 | 1,429 | 1,581 |
| Change | - | 21.92% | 27.5% | 18.21% | -6.08% | 8.45% | 10.8% | 10.66% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -180 | -154 | -165 | -174 | -267 | -322.3 | -337 | -350.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 459 | 652 | 814 | 1,012 | 801 | 902.7 | 1,042 | 1,190 |
| Change | - | 42.05% | 24.85% | 24.32% | -20.85% | 12.7% | 15.42% | 14.22% |
| Net income 1 | 312 | 463 | 590 | 756 | 599 | 669.3 | 777.1 | 887.1 |
| Change | - | 48.4% | 27.43% | 28.14% | -20.77% | 11.74% | 16.11% | 14.16% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 20/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,752 | 1,320 | 1,360 | 2,097 | 3,064 | 3,324 | 3,211 | 3,050 |
| Change | - | -24.66% | 3.03% | 54.19% | 46.11% | 8.49% | -3.4% | -5.01% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 20/03/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 513.7 | 584 | 1,209 | 1,006 | 1,096 | 1,103 | 1,146 |
| Change | - | 13.68% | - | -16.79% | 8.99% | 0.58% | 3.96% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 935.2 | 1,172 | 345 | -62 | 478.9 | 633 | 801.7 |
| Change | - | 25.32% | - | -117.97% | 872.46% | 32.17% | 26.66% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 06/03/24 | 20/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 7.38% | 7.59% | 7.3% | 7.08% | 6.67% | 6.79% | 6.9% | 7.01% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 3.57% | 4.02% | 4.22% | 4.14% | 3.55% | 3.59% | 3.72% | 3.86% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 2.38% | 3.12% | 3.21% | 3.31% | 2.39% | 2.51% | 2.71% | 2.9% |
| Net margin (%) | 1.62% | 2.22% | 2.32% | 2.47% | 1.79% | 1.86% | 2.02% | 2.17% |
| FCF margin (%) | 4.85% | 5.61% | - | 1.13% | -0.19% | 1.33% | 1.65% | 1.96% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 299.73% | 253.13% | - | 45.63% | -10.35% | 71.55% | 81.45% | 90.37% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 3.43% | 4.68% | - | 5.78% | 4.05% | 4.15% | 4.45% | 4.85% |
| ROE | 15.67% | 21.61% | - | 29.39% | 20.58% | 21.53% | 22.53% | 23.25% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.23x | 0.83x | 0.73x | 0.97x | 1.37x | 1.36x | 1.21x | 1.06x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.87x | 1.13x | - | 6.08x | -49.42x | 6.94x | 5.07x | 3.8x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.66% | 2.8% | - | 3.95% | 3.01% | 3.05% | 2.87% | 2.8% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 36.1% | 36.85% | - | 55.77% | 45.07% | 44.89% | 41.58% | 39.94% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 54.93% | 49.83% | - | 350.43% | -1,622.58% | 228.93% | 174.22% | 143% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 2.005 | 2.474 | - | 3.348 | 3.399 | 2.108 | 2.253 | 2.459 |
| Change | - | 23.43% | - | - | 1.52% | -37.97% | 6.87% | 9.16% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.288 | 0.785 | - | 0.655 | 0.66 | 0.6182 | 0.6874 | 0.7753 |
| Change | - | 172.57% | - | - | 0.76% | -6.34% | 11.2% | 12.79% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.195 | 3.625 | - | 4.478 | 4.783 | 5.275 | 5.799 | 6.4 |
| Change | - | 13.45% | - | - | 6.82% | 10.28% | 9.93% | 10.36% |
| EPS 1 | 0.5 | 0.74 | 0.94 | 1.2 | 0.95 | 1.068 | 1.24 | 1.415 |
| Change | - | 48% | 27.03% | 27.66% | -20.83% | 12.38% | 16.12% | 14.17% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 628,434 | 628,434 | 628,434 | 628,434 | 628,434 | 628,434 | 628,434 | 628,434 |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 20/03/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19.9x | 17.2x |
| PBR | 4.03x | 3.67x |
| EV / Sales | 0.46x | 0.43x |
| Yield | 2.9% | 3.23% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- JMT Stock
- Financials Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.
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