Projected Income Statement: Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 91,594 83,433 79,844 79,707 108,081 90,424 92,883 124,248
Change - -8.91% -4.3% -0.17% 35.6% -16.34% 2.72% 33.77%
Announcement Date 24/04/20 22/04/21 02/03/22 21/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 4,279 4,323 6,019 7,906 18,106 14,526 16,373 15,047
Change - 1.02% 39.25% 31.33% 129.02% -19.77% 12.71% -8.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11,885 10,301 10,475 8,713 -1,066 -8,407 847.7 -7,003
Change - -13.33% 1.69% -16.82% -112.24% 688.29% -110.08% -926.1%
Announcement Date 24/04/20 22/04/21 02/03/22 21/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.6% 60.57% 63.91% 65.43% 65.09% 77.36% 78.72% 79.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 33.09% 29.49% 35.53% 39.34% 40.18% 44.04% 45.03% 45.62%
EBT Margin (%) 30.14% 29.36% 35.31% 39.22% 40.15% 42.86% 43.8% 43.9%
Net margin (%) 26.66% 25.11% 28.9% 32.17% 32.56% 34.48% 34.5% 35.25%
FCF margin (%) 57.13% 53.5% 51.85% 41.21% -4.55% -33.01% 3.05% -23.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 214.35% 213.06% 179.43% 128.1% -13.96% -95.75% 8.85% -66.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.3% 2.91% 3.59% 4.18% 4.27% 4.29% 4.46% 4.53%
ROE 11.64% 8.47% 9.29% 10.59% 10.5% 12.3% 12.74% 12.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.15x 7.15x 6.18x 5.76x 7.08x 4.59x 4.25x 5.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.71x 8.1x 7.62x 9.15x -101.34x -10.76x 109.57x -17.74x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 20.57% 22.45% 29.8% 37.39% 77.17% 57.04% 58.95% 50.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.4% 37.06% 46.62% 57.15% 118.57% 73.74% 74.88% 63.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.01% 41.97% 57.47% 90.74% -1,697.67% -172.79% 1,931.41% -214.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.898 0.8124 0.9163 0.9232 0.9479 1.019 1.141 1.308
Change - -9.53% 12.79% 0.75% 2.68% 7.46% 12.01% 14.67%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1522 0.16 0.17 0.175 0.18 0.2155 0.245 0.262
Change - 5.11% 6.25% 2.94% 2.86% 19.71% 13.68% 6.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.056 2.702 2.856 3.041 3.018 3.881 4.165 4.528
Change - -11.57% 5.67% 6.51% -0.76% 28.58% 7.33% 8.71%
EPS 1 0.308 0.27 0.32 0.35 0.4 0.4867 0.5325 0.5836
Change - -12.34% 18.52% 9.37% 14.29% 21.66% 9.43% 9.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000
Announcement Date 24/04/20 22/04/21 02/03/22 21/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 21.4x 19.5x
PBR 2.68x 2.5x
EV / Sales 10.9x 10.1x
Yield 2.07% 2.35%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
10.41CNY
Average target price
11.18CNY
Spread / Average Target
+7.42%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 600025 Stock
  4. Financials Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc.
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