Projected Income Statement: Hennes & Mauritz AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Hennes & Mauritz AB

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 39,220 50,928 51,572 59,614 56,639 53,817 51,396 48,385
Change - 29.85% 1.26% 15.59% -4.99% -4.98% -4.5% -5.86%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 27/01/23 31/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Hennes & Mauritz AB

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,464 6,011 8,964 11,448 10,679 9,851 10,340 10,424
Change - 73.53% 49.13% 27.71% -6.72% -7.75% 4.96% 0.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 41,155 18,465 24,985 20,308 20,441 24,840 26,976 27,329
Change - -55.13% 35.31% -18.72% 0.65% 21.52% 8.6% 1.31%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 27/01/23 31/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Hennes & Mauritz AB

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.89% 13.31% 15.88% 16.87% 17.32% 18.12% 18.33% 18.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.67% 3.21% 6.16% 7.38% 8.06% 8.78% 9.14% 9.44%
EBT Margin (%) 7.19% 2.78% 5.51% 6.59% 7.1% 7.88% 8.35% 8.69%
Net margin (%) 5.53% 1.6% 3.71% 4.94% 5.33% 5.89% 6.23% 6.58%
FCF margin (%) 20.68% 8.26% 10.59% 8.66% 8.95% 11.12% 11.75% 11.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 373.8% 517.81% 285.48% 175.31% 168.13% 188.82% 188.65% 177.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.22% 3.11% 4.82% 6.41% 6.94% 6.69% 7.37% 7.92%
ROE 19.2% 6.4% 17.7% 17.8% 27.27% 30.27% 32.11% 33.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.04x 1.71x 1.38x 1.51x 1.43x 1.33x 1.22x 1.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.95x 2.76x 2.06x 2.94x 2.77x 2.17x 1.91x 1.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.74% 2.69% 3.8% 4.88% 4.68% 4.41% 4.5% 4.45%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.22% 20.21% 23.91% 28.94% 27.01% 24.33% 24.57% 24.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 8.42% 32.55% 35.88% 56.37% 52.24% 39.66% 38.33% 38.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 26.96 14.95 20.84 19.7 19.4 15.59 15.04 15.3
Change - -44.55% 39.42% -5.45% -1.53% -19.63% -3.52% 1.73%
Dividend per Share 1 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.8 7.1 7.403 7.899 8.395
Change - 0% 0% 4.62% 4.41% 4.27% 6.7% 6.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 36.26 31.15 29.34 29.28 26.8 27.08 28.22 28.68
Change - -14.09% -5.81% -0.2% -8.47% 1.06% 4.18% 1.65%
EPS 1 6.65 2.16 5.35 7.21 7.58 8.256 9.095 9.753
Change - -67.52% 147.69% 34.77% 5.13% 8.91% 10.16% 7.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,655,072 1,629,687 1,623,103 1,604,491 1,603,253 1,597,773 1,597,773 1,597,773
Announcement Date 28/01/22 27/01/23 31/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 19x 17.3x
PBR 5.8x 5.57x
EV / Sales 1.36x 1.32x
Yield 4.71% 5.02%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
157.20SEK
Average target price
160.76SEK
Spread / Average Target
+2.26%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HM B Stock
  4. Financials Hennes & Mauritz AB