Financials Guinness Nigeria Plc

Equities

GUINNESS

NGGUINNESS07

Brewers

End-of-day quote Nigerian S.E. 23:00:00 08/05/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
54 NGN 0.00% Intraday chart for Guinness Nigeria Plc 0.00% -18.18%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 104,372 31,761 63,521 198,230 175,231 116,090 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 119,542 50,424 43,645 160,612 147,016 79,848 73,408 66,448
P/E ratio 19.1 x -2.53 x 50.9 x 12.7 x -9.65 x 15.8 x 5.79 x 5.13 x
Yield 3.19% 10.5% - 7.89% - 4.01% 14.8% 17.3%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.79 x 0.3 x 0.4 x 0.96 x 0.76 x 0.42 x 0.38 x 0.34 x
EV / Revenue 0.91 x 0.48 x 0.27 x 0.78 x 0.64 x 0.29 x 0.24 x 0.19 x
EV / EBITDA 6.27 x 4.33 x 2.37 x 4.88 x 4.5 x 2.19 x 1.9 x 1.55 x
EV / FCF -49.4 x 10.3 x 1.09 x 8.64 x 6.01 x 5.89 x 1.91 x -13.1 x
FCF Yield -2.03% 9.68% 91.8% 11.6% 16.6% 17% 52.3% -7.61%
Price to Book 1.17 x 0.43 x 0.86 x 2.2 x 3.11 x 2.2 x 2.12 x 2.04 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,190,383 2,190,383 2,190,383 2,190,383 2,190,383 2,190,383 - -
Reference price 2 47.65 14.50 29.00 90.50 80.00 53.00 53.00 53.00
Announcement Date 29/08/19 27/08/20 26/08/21 28/07/22 27/07/23 - - -
1NGN in Million2NGN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 131,498 104,376 160,416 206,822 229,441 278,393 309,530 344,985
EBITDA 1 19,060 11,653 18,402 32,910 32,706 36,464 38,638 42,933
EBIT 1 8,966 978 9,871 23,900 23,358 27,874 30,123 33,346
Operating Margin 6.82% 0.94% 6.15% 11.56% 10.18% 10.01% 9.73% 9.67%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 7,104 -17,074 5,770 23,674 -22,139 10,520 30,492 34,747
Net income 1 5,484 -12,579 1,255 15,651 -18,168 7,360 20,060 22,640
Net margin 4.17% -12.05% 0.78% 7.57% -7.92% 2.64% 6.48% 6.56%
EPS 2 2.500 -5.740 0.5700 7.150 -8.290 3.360 9.155 10.34
Free Cash Flow 1 -2,422 4,881 40,081 18,586 24,463 13,558 38,386 -5,054
FCF margin -1.84% 4.68% 24.99% 8.99% 10.66% 4.87% 12.4% -1.46%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 41.89% 217.81% 56.48% 74.8% 37.18% 99.35% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 3,192.88% 118.75% - 184.21% 191.35% -
Dividend per Share 2 1.520 1.520 - 7.140 - 2.123 7.845 9.175
Announcement Date 29/08/19 27/08/20 26/08/21 28/07/22 27/07/23 - - -
1NGN in Million2NGN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2022 Q3 2022 Q4
Net sales 1 - 47,378
EBITDA - -
EBIT - -
Operating Margin - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - -
Net income 6,457 -
Net margin - -
EPS 295.0 -
Dividend per Share - -
Announcement Date 28/04/22 28/07/22
1NGN in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 15,170 18,663 - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - - 19,876 37,617 28,214 36,242 42,682 49,642
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.7959 x 1.602 x - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 -2,422 4,881 40,081 18,586 24,463 13,558 38,387 -5,054
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 6.21% -15.5% 1.7% 19.1% -24.8% -6.8% 58.5% 57.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 3.49% -8.25% 0.8% 8.13% -7.94% -1.5% 4.3% 5.45%
Assets 1 157,024 152,469 156,780 192,533 228,704 -490,667 466,523 415,404
Book Value Per Share 2 40.70 33.30 33.90 41.10 25.80 24.10 25.00 26.00
Cash Flow per Share 6.120 6.980 - 12.80 - - - -
Capex 1 16,597 10,549 12,299 9,533 9,917 12,538 15,226 18,574
Capex / Sales 12.62% 10.11% 7.67% 4.61% 4.32% 4.5% 4.92% 5.38%
Announcement Date 29/08/19 27/08/20 26/08/21 28/07/22 27/07/23 - - -
1NGN in Million2NGN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
53 NGN
Average target price
75.54 NGN
Spread / Average Target
+42.53%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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