Financials Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Equities

GPK

US3886891015

Paper Packaging

Market Closed - Nyse 21:00:02 03/05/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
27.09 USD +0.86% Intraday chart for Graphic Packaging Holding Company -1.60% +9.90%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 4,833 4,587 5,988 6,833 7,544 8,325 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 7,540 8,052 11,610 11,936 12,778 12,823 12,697 12,159
P/E ratio 23.8 x 28.2 x 28.7 x 13.2 x 10.5 x 11.4 x 10.5 x 9 x
Yield 1.8% 1.77% 1.54% 1.46% 1.62% 1.5% 1.61% 1.88%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.78 x 0.7 x 0.84 x 0.72 x 0.8 x 0.92 x 0.91 x 0.84 x
EV / Revenue 1.22 x 1.23 x 1.62 x 1.26 x 1.36 x 1.42 x 1.38 x 1.23 x
EV / EBITDA 7.32 x 7.53 x 11 x 7.46 x 6.81 x 7.18 x 6.87 x 6.08 x
EV / FCF 24.1 x 23.4 x -60.2 x 22.1 x 25.9 x 34.6 x 19.7 x 11.6 x
FCF Yield 4.15% 4.28% -1.66% 4.53% 3.86% 2.89% 5.08% 8.6%
Price to Book 3.08 x 3.18 x 3.17 x 3.18 x 2.71 x 2.46 x 2.15 x 1.71 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 290,247 270,783 307,099 307,118 306,053 307,294 - -
Reference price 2 16.65 16.94 19.50 22.25 24.65 27.09 27.09 27.09
Announcement Date 28/01/20 02/02/21 16/02/22 07/02/23 20/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 6,160 6,560 7,156 9,440 9,428 9,048 9,188 9,858
EBITDA 1 1,030 1,070 1,056 1,600 1,876 1,786 1,847 1,999
EBIT 1 572.5 588.4 562 1,044 1,252 1,280 1,330 1,419
Operating Margin 9.29% 8.97% 7.85% 11.06% 13.28% 14.15% 14.47% 14.39%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 354 244 289 716 932 964.9 1,052 1,185
Net income 1 206.8 167.3 204 522 723 732.8 799.9 914
Net margin 3.36% 2.55% 2.85% 5.53% 7.67% 8.1% 8.71% 9.27%
EPS 2 0.7000 0.6000 0.6800 1.690 2.340 2.370 2.580 3.010
Free Cash Flow 1 312.9 344.5 -193 541 493 370.8 645.1 1,046
FCF margin 5.08% 5.25% -2.7% 5.73% 5.23% 4.1% 7.02% 10.61%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 30.38% 32.2% - 33.81% 26.28% 20.76% 34.92% 52.32%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 151.31% 205.92% - 103.64% 68.19% 50.59% 80.65% 114.4%
Dividend per Share 2 0.3000 0.3000 0.3000 0.3250 0.4000 0.4050 0.4350 0.5100
Announcement Date 28/01/20 02/02/21 16/02/22 07/02/23 20/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 1,988 2,245 2,358 2,451 2,386 2,438 2,392 2,349 2,249 2,259 2,260 2,312 2,214 2,305 2,473
EBITDA 1 285 350 396 441 413 484 453 482 457 443 409 479.6 454.2 448.3 483
EBIT 1 151 210 257 304 275 344 286 320 302 294 280.9 360.1 328.2 329.5 337
Operating Margin 7.6% 9.35% 10.9% 12.4% 11.53% 14.11% 11.96% 13.62% 13.43% 13.01% 12.43% 15.57% 14.82% 14.29% 13.62%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 49 153 105 242 216 271 207 224 230 218 209.1 273.9 259.1 232 286.3
Net income 1 39 107 66 193 156 207 150 170 196 165 160.3 209.7 193.5 174 214.8
Net margin 1.96% 4.77% 2.8% 7.87% 6.54% 8.49% 6.27% 7.24% 8.71% 7.3% 7.09% 9.07% 8.74% 7.55% 8.68%
EPS 2 0.1300 0.3500 0.2100 0.6200 0.5000 0.6700 0.4900 0.5500 0.6400 0.5300 0.5200 0.6700 0.6267 - -
Dividend per Share 0.0750 0.0750 0.0750 0.0750 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 0.1000 - - - - - -
Announcement Date 16/02/22 26/04/22 26/07/22 25/10/22 07/02/23 02/05/23 01/08/23 31/10/23 20/02/24 30/04/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,707 3,465 5,622 5,103 5,234 4,499 4,373 3,835
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.629 x 3.239 x 5.324 x 3.189 x 2.79 x 2.519 x 2.367 x 1.919 x
Free Cash Flow 1 313 345 -193 541 493 371 645 1,046
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 16.2% 20.8% 20.6% 35.7% 36.5% 26% 23% 21.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 3.56% 4.13% 3.73% 6.95% 8.36% 8.8% 8.5% -
Assets 1 5,802 4,047 5,463 7,514 8,647 8,327 9,410 -
Book Value Per Share 2 5.410 5.320 6.160 7.000 9.090 11.00 12.60 15.80
Cash Flow per Share 2 2.260 3.020 2.040 3.520 3.700 4.270 4.730 -
Capex 1 353 646 802 549 804 949 699 496
Capex / Sales 5.73% 9.85% 11.21% 5.82% 8.53% 10.49% 7.61% 5.03%
Announcement Date 28/01/20 02/02/21 16/02/22 07/02/23 20/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
27.09 USD
Average target price
29.99 USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.71%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GPK Stock
  4. Financials Graphic Packaging Holding Company