Projected Income Statement: Ferrari N.V.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ferrari N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,286 1,423 1,355 1,610 1,417 1,244 1,003 881
Change - 10.65% -4.78% 18.82% -11.99% -12.21% -19.37% -12.16%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ferrari N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 737 806 869 989 943 952.4 978 1,019
Change - 9.36% 7.82% 13.81% -4.65% 1% 2.69% 4.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 546 597 848 938 1,409 1,495 1,629 1,835
Change - 9.34% 42.04% 10.61% 50.21% 6.09% 9% 12.61%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ferrari N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.85% 34.8% 38.17% 38.27% 38.79% 39.1% 39.51% 39.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 25.17% 24.08% 27.09% 28.28% 29.53% 29.57% 29.94% 30.29%
EBT Margin (%) 24.4% 23.12% 26.83% 28.29% 28.88% 29.34% 29.81% 30.35%
Net margin (%) 19.5% 18.43% 21.06% 22.85% 22.39% 22.65% 22.89% 23.06%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 11.72% 14.2% 14.05% 19.72% 19.81% 20.12% 21.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 65.55% 63.58% 67.46% 61.47% 88.06% 87.47% 87.86% 92.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.69% 12.75% 15.83% 17.34% - 16.63% 16.49% 14.53%
ROE 41.74% 38.87% 44.29% 46.15% - 40.3% 38.82% 37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.84x 0.8x 0.59x 0.63x 0.51x 0.42x 0.31x 0.26x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.36x 2.38x 1.6x 1.72x 1.01x 0.83x 0.62x 0.48x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.26% 15.82% 14.56% 14.81% 13.2% 12.62% 12.07% 11.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.14% 45.46% 38.13% 38.71% 34.02% 32.28% 30.56% 29.8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 134.98% 135.01% 102.48% 105.44% 66.93% 63.72% 60.03% 55.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.946 7.664 9.46 10.71 13.19 13.89 14.8 16.15
Change - 10.34% 23.43% 13.18% 23.2% 5.3% 6.55% 9.13%
Dividend per Share 1 1.362 - 2.443 2.986 - 3.646 4.047 4.402
Change - - - 22.23% - - 10.99% 8.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 12 - 16.86 19.63 - 25.47 28.88 33.5
Change - - - 16.43% - - 13.36% 16.02%
EPS 1 4.5 5.09 6.9 8.46 8.96 9.582 10.49 11.2
Change - 13.11% 35.56% 22.61% 5.91% 6.94% 9.52% 6.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 183,843 181,953 180,418 179,044 177,279 176,863 176,863 176,863
Announcement Date 02/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 30.2x 27.6x
PBR 11.4x 10x
EV / Sales 6.94x 6.44x
Yield 1.26% 1.4%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
289.20EUR
Average target price
371.36EUR
Spread / Average Target
+28.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RACE Stock
  4. Financials Ferrari N.V.
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