Financials Electricity Generating

Equities

EGCO

TH0465010005

Independent Power Producers

End-of-day quote Thailand S.E. 23:00:00 02/05/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
112.5 THB +0.45% Intraday chart for Electricity Generating +0.90% -12.11%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 172,681 101,345 92,395 90,815 67,388 59,227 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 240,993 174,446 184,341 168,197 67,388 157,344 153,192 145,507
P/E ratio 13.2 x 11.6 x 22.5 x 33.8 x -8.04 x 6.06 x 5.75 x 6.39 x
Yield 1.98% 3.38% 3.7% - - 6.04% 6.03% 5.33%
Capitalization / Revenue 4.6 x 3.02 x 2.57 x 1.52 x 1.36 x 1.3 x 1.41 x 1.55 x
EV / Revenue 6.42 x 5.2 x 5.13 x 2.82 x 1.36 x 3.45 x 3.65 x 3.81 x
EV / EBITDA 23.7 x 19.7 x 20.9 x 17.4 x 5.68 x 13.8 x 14.5 x 17.5 x
EV / FCF 21.6 x 15.2 x 18.9 x 26.3 x - 42.7 x 23.6 x -
FCF Yield 4.64% 6.57% 5.29% 3.81% - 2.34% 4.23% -
Price to Book 1.65 x 0.99 x 0.82 x 0.76 x - 0.53 x 0.47 x 0.47 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 526,465 526,465 526,465 526,465 526,465 526,465 - -
Reference price 2 328.0 192.5 175.5 172.5 128.0 112.5 112.5 112.5
Announcement Date 20/02/20 23/02/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 37,511 33,578 35,903 59,632 49,627 45,614 41,961 38,168
EBITDA 1 10,178 8,838 8,821 9,651 11,870 11,396 10,536 8,308
EBIT 1 6,811 5,707 5,697 6,366 8,830 7,003 6,328 3,043
Operating Margin 18.16% 17% 15.87% 10.68% 17.79% 15.35% 15.08% 7.97%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 13,986 9,782 4,776 2,957 -7,742 9,870 9,296 10,177
Net income 1 13,059 8,733 4,104 2,683 -8,384 9,439 9,708 9,275
Net margin 34.81% 26.01% 11.43% 4.5% -16.89% 20.69% 23.14% 24.3%
EPS 2 24.81 16.59 7.800 5.100 -15.93 18.57 19.55 17.61
Free Cash Flow 1 11,174 11,466 9,751 6,406 - 3,688 6,487 -
FCF margin 29.79% 34.15% 27.16% 10.74% - 8.09% 15.46% -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 109.78% 129.72% 110.55% 66.38% - 32.36% 61.57% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 85.56% 131.29% 237.62% 238.76% - 39.07% 66.82% -
Dividend per Share 2 6.500 6.500 6.500 - - 6.800 6.782 6.000
Announcement Date 20/02/20 23/02/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1
Net sales 1 - - - 11,346 10,680 7,466
EBITDA - - - 2,889 2,868 -
EBIT 1 - - - - - 439
Operating Margin - - - - - 5.88%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - -14,218 2,018
Net income 1 3,170 934.2 4,116 2,373 -14,239 1,825
Net margin - - - 20.91% -133.32% 24.44%
EPS - - - 4.510 -27.05 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/11/21 28/02/22 11/05/22 14/11/23 28/02/24 -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 68,312 73,101 91,946 77,382 - 98,116 93,964 86,279
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.712 x 8.271 x 10.42 x 8.018 x - 8.61 x 8.918 x 10.39 x
Free Cash Flow 1 11,174 11,466 9,751 6,406 - 3,688 6,487 -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 12.8% 8.45% 4.07% 2.29% - 8.74% 8.34% 7.85%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 6.29% 8.45% 1.8% 1.73% - 3.85% 3.95% 3.95%
Assets 1 207,474 103,367 228,185 155,318 - 245,158 245,763 234,820
Book Value Per Share 2 198.0 194.0 214.0 227.0 - 212.0 241.0 237.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 21.70 22.20 19.90 14.90 - 26.20 29.40 27.40
Capex 1 256 247 702 1,452 - 1,500 500 500
Capex / Sales 0.68% 0.74% 1.95% 2.43% - 3.29% 1.19% 1.31%
Announcement Date 20/02/20 23/02/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
112.5 THB
Average target price
148.5 THB
Spread / Average Target
+32.00%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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