Projected Income Statement: CKD Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CKD Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -16,618 -9,943 9,226 468 -8,237 -15,463 -21,253 -32,312
Change - 40.17% 192.79% -94.93% -1,860.04% -87.73% -37.44% -52.04%
Announcement Date 13/05/22 12/05/23 10/05/24 13/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CKD Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 9,596 11,447 22,128 5,023 2,826 8,000 9,950 11,600
Change - 19.29% 93.31% -77.3% -43.74% 183.09% 24.38% 16.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,808 -1,743 -12,632 13,117 12,006 11,560 16,556 17,264
Change - -145.77% -624.73% 203.84% -8.47% -3.71% 43.21% 4.27%
Announcement Date 13/05/22 12/05/23 10/05/24 13/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CKD Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.73% 17.43% 14.82% 16.44% 16.87% 19.08% 19.51% 19.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.57% 13.28% 9.75% 12.22% 12.44% 15.46% 16.58% 17.11%
EBT Margin (%) 12.62% 13.41% 9.6% 12.59% 12.98% 15.74% 16.54% 16.46%
Net margin (%) 8.84% 9.27% 6.2% 8.69% 8.6% 10.7% 11.34% 11.74%
FCF margin (%) 2.68% -1.09% -9.4% 8.43% 7.6% 5.87% 7.6% 7.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 30.3% -11.79% -151.5% 97.02% 88.42% 54.82% 67.06% 64.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.1% 11.83% 6.62% 9.15% 9.08% 8.25% 12.93% 15.15%
ROE 12.1% 12.9% 6.7% 10.2% 9.4% 12.95% 13.83% 13.72%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.46x 0.02x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - -0.73x 0.04x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.75% 7.18% 16.46% 3.23% 1.79% 4.06% 4.57% 5.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.34% 41.18% 111.04% 19.63% 10.61% 21.27% 23.42% 25.77%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 252% -656.74% -175.17% 38.29% 23.54% 69.2% 60.1% 67.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 277.2 321.1 227.1 300.8 307.9 - - -
Change - 15.82% -29.29% 32.49% 2.34% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 67 89 50 80 81 120.9 139.9 155.4
Change - 32.84% -43.82% 60% 1.25% 49.31% 15.69% 11.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,643 1,794 1,934 2,044 2,297 2,450 2,671 2,878
Change - 9.19% 7.75% 5.69% 12.41% 6.63% 9.04% 7.75%
EPS 1 188.6 221.8 124.9 202.5 203.2 296.3 357.5 405.7
Change - 17.59% -43.66% 62.06% 0.37% 45.79% 20.66% 13.49%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 66,644 66,692 66,737 66,773 66,818 66,834 66,834 66,834
Announcement Date 13/05/22 12/05/23 10/05/24 13/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 17.2x 14.3x
PBR 2.08x 1.91x
EV / Sales 1.65x 1.47x
Yield 2.37% 2.74%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
5,100.00JPY
Average target price
7,704.44JPY
Spread / Average Target
+51.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 6407 Stock
  4. Financials CKD Corporation
-40%: Exceptional extension
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