Projected Income Statement: Cegedim

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 251 229 238 185 232 203 178 145
Change - -8.76% 3.93% -22.27% 25.41% -12.6% -12.32% -18.54%
Announcement Date 24/03/22 23/03/23 27/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 64.76 76.14 75.49 89.92 73.94 90.7 88.03 88.53
Change - 17.56% -0.85% 19.11% -17.77% 22.67% -2.94% 0.57%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 24.18 10.34 22.43 11.93 51.91 14.8 27.03 32.87
Change - -57.25% 116.95% -46.81% 335.02% -71.49% 82.66% 21.58%
Announcement Date 24/03/22 23/03/23 27/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.95% 17.31% 17.67% 18.88% 19% 20.91% 21.98% 22.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.6% 4.62% 5.14% 6.03% 5.87% 7.7% 8.33% 8.85%
EBT Margin (%) 6.35% 3.19% 1.32% -1.5% - 4.3% 5.14% 6.3%
Net margin (%) 5% 2.45% -1.2% -2.25% 1.45% 3.25% 3.74% 4.33%
FCF margin (%) 4.61% 1.86% 3.64% 1.82% 8% 2.24% 3.96% 4.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 92.22% 75.9% -302.86% -81.13% 552.32% 69% 105.74% 107.88%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 2.6% 3.3% 3.5%
ROE 11.93% 5.27% -2.64% -5.56% 3.44% 6.67% 8% 8.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.4x 2.38x 2.19x 1.49x 1.88x 1.47x 1.19x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.39x 22.15x 10.63x 15.46x 4.47x 13.72x 6.59x 4.41x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.34% 13.7% 12.25% 13.74% 11.39% 13.74% 12.89% 12.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.86% 79.14% 69.36% 72.77% 59.95% 65.7% 58.64% 56.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 267.78% 736.32% 336.51% 753.57% 142.45% 612.84% 325.65% 269.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.964 6.331 7.195 7.431 7.66 7.8 8.6 9.1
Change - -9.09% 13.64% 3.28% 3.08% 1.83% 10.26% 5.81%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 16.84 20.88 21.64 20.61 20.51 21.2 22.68 24.58
Change - 24% 3.66% -4.76% -0.47% 3.34% 6.96% 8.4%
EPS 1 1.9 1 -0.5 -1.1 0.7 1.535 1.837 2.197
Change - -47.37% -150% -120% 163.64% 119.29% 19.65% 19.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,796 13,660 13,638 13,712 13,768 13,731 13,731 13,731
Announcement Date 24/03/22 23/03/23 27/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.06x 5.9x
PBR 0.51x 0.48x
EV / Sales 0.53x 0.48x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
11.06EUR
Average target price
15.13EUR
Spread / Average Target
+36.83%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise