Projected Income Statement: Assa Abloy AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 27,071 31,732 64,109 70,253 64,277 56,513 49,954 42,054
Change - 17.22% 102.03% 9.58% -8.51% -12.08% -11.61% -15.81%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 03/02/23 07/02/24 05/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,629 1,990 2,419 2,063 2,598 2,693 2,954 3,057
Change - 22.16% 21.56% -14.72% 25.93% 3.67% 9.68% 3.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,827 12,367 18,875 19,328 18,814 18,759 20,483 22,626
Change - 14.22% 52.62% 2.4% -2.66% -0.29% 9.19% 10.47%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 03/02/23 07/02/24 05/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.97% 18.73% 19.44% 19.94% 20.17% 20.3% 20.69% 20.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.93% 15.34% 15.77% 16.18% 16.18% 16.63% 17.04% 17.3%
EBT Margin (%) 14.25% 14.5% 13.68% 13.91% 13.01% 14.6% 15.39% 15.92%
Net margin (%) 11.47% 11% 9.69% 10.41% 9.65% 10.94% 11.49% 11.88%
FCF margin (%) 11.4% 10.24% 13.41% 12.87% 12.34% 11.99% 12.27% 12.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.32% 93.05% 138.45% 123.59% 127.98% 109.57% 106.77% 107.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 9.34% 7.77% 7.45% 6.81% 8.12% 8.72% 9.23%
ROE 16.97% 17.08% 15.35% 16.2% 14.09% 16.21% 16.44% 16.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.5x 1.4x 2.34x 2.35x 2.09x 1.78x 1.45x 1.15x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.5x 2.57x 3.4x 3.63x 3.42x 3.01x 2.44x 1.86x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.71% 1.65% 1.72% 1.37% 1.7% 1.72% 1.77% 1.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.04% 8.8% 8.84% 6.89% 8.45% 8.48% 8.55% 8.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.05% 16.09% 12.82% 10.67% 13.81% 14.36% 14.42% 13.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.21 12.93 19.17 19.26 19.27 18.43 20.68 22.37
Change - 15.31% 48.22% 0.49% 0.06% -4.34% 12.18% 8.19%
Dividend per Share 1 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.793 7.533 8.248
Change - 14.29% 12.5% 9.26% 8.47% 6.15% 10.89% 9.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 62.64 77.44 82.49 96.39 91.47 101.6 112.1 124.2
Change - 23.63% 6.52% 16.85% -5.1% 11.05% 10.37% 10.83%
EPS 1 9.81 11.97 12.27 14.08 13.23 15.39 17.31 18.95
Change - 22.02% 2.51% 14.75% -6.04% 16.32% 12.45% 9.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776
Announcement Date 04/02/22 03/02/23 07/02/24 05/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.8x 19.4x
PBR 3.3x 2.99x
EV / Sales 2.74x 2.53x
Yield 2.03% 2.25%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
335.30SEK
Average target price
403.43SEK
Spread / Average Target
+20.32%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ASSA B Stock
  4. Financials Assa Abloy AB