ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING S.A. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3.965 USD | +0.13% |
|
-1.18% | +3.19% |
| 04-25 | Transcript : Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., Q1 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 25, 2024 | |
| 04-25 | Earnings Flash (AMBP) ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING S.A. Posts Q1 Revenue $1.14B, vs. Street Est of $1.14B | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 5,448 | 2,873 | 2,295 | 2,367 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 7,872 | 5,910 | 5,586 | 5,887 | 5,947 | 5,932 |
| P/E ratio | -23.2 x | 12.7 x | -32 x | 82.3 x | 37.4 x | 21.3 x |
| Yield | - | 8.32% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.34 x | 0.61 x | 0.48 x | 0.47 x | 0.46 x | 0.44 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.94 x | 1.26 x | 1.16 x | 1.18 x | 1.16 x | 1.11 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.9 x | 9.46 x | 9.31 x | 9.03 x | 8.54 x | 8.07 x |
| EV / FCF | -34.5 x | -15.2 x | 23.5 x | 63.8 x | 32.1 x | 24 x |
| FCF Yield | -2.9% | -6.6% | 4.26% | 1.57% | 3.11% | 4.16% |
| Price to Book | 17 x | 6.35 x | - | -6.99 x | -4.02 x | -2.92 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 603,283 | 597,231 | 597,600 | 597,635 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 9.030 | 4.810 | 3.840 | 3.960 | 3.960 | 3.960 |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 22/02/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,055 | 4,689 | 4,812 | 4,994 | 5,142 | 5,335 |
| EBITDA 1 | 662 | 625 | 600 | 652 | 696.1 | 735.4 |
| EBIT 1 | 319 | 266 | 182 | 221.5 | 280.6 | 319.2 |
| Operating Margin | 7.87% | 5.67% | 3.78% | 4.44% | 5.46% | 5.98% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -188 | 256 | -71 | 33.39 | 79.43 | 151.6 |
| Net income 1 | -210 | 237 | -50 | 34.34 | 57.32 | 109 |
| Net margin | -5.18% | 5.05% | -1.04% | 0.69% | 1.11% | 2.04% |
| EPS 2 | -0.3900 | 0.3800 | -0.1200 | 0.0481 | 0.1059 | 0.1856 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -228 | -390 | 238 | 92.3 | 185.1 | 247 |
| FCF margin | -5.62% | -8.32% | 4.95% | 1.85% | 3.6% | 4.63% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | 39.67% | 14.16% | 26.59% | 33.59% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | 268.81% | 322.94% | 226.61% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | 0.4000 | 0.4000 | 0.4004 | 0.4004 | 0.4005 |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 22/02/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,087 | 1,137 | 1,303 | 1,173 | 1,076 | 1,131 | 1,255 | 1,294 | 1,132 | 1,141 | 1,316 | 1,347 | 1,185 | 1,178 | 1,348 |
| EBITDA 1 | 165 | 145 | 181 | 140 | 159 | 130 | 151 | 171 | 148 | 134 | 170 | 183.3 | 167.7 | 142.2 | 179.1 |
| EBIT 1 | 76 | 59 | 92 | 54 | 61 | 32 | 51 | 68 | 31 | 25 | 63.76 | 78.63 | 61.04 | 42.2 | 79.08 |
| Operating Margin | 6.99% | 5.19% | 7.06% | 4.6% | 5.67% | 2.83% | 4.06% | 5.26% | 2.74% | 2.19% | 4.84% | 5.84% | 5.15% | 3.58% | 5.86% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 14 | 64 | 112 | 69 | 11 | -10 | -12 | 17 | -66 | -12 | 12.11 | 28.43 | 5.805 | -14.8 | 29.9 |
| Net income 1 | 16 | 57 | 100 | 68 | 12 | -1 | -10 | 17 | -56 | -12 | 10.95 | 19.81 | 12.7 | -10.4 | 20.9 |
| Net margin | 1.47% | 5.01% | 7.67% | 5.8% | 1.12% | -0.09% | -0.8% | 1.31% | -4.95% | -1.05% | 0.83% | 1.47% | 1.07% | -0.88% | 1.55% |
| EPS 2 | 0.0300 | 0.0900 | 0.1700 | 0.1000 | 0.0200 | -0.0100 | -0.0300 | 0.0200 | -0.1000 | -0.0300 | 0.0202 | 0.0330 | 0.0172 | -0.000790 | 0.0354 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | - | 0.1000 | - | 0.1002 | 0.1002 | 0.1002 | 0.1004 | 0.1004 |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 28/04/22 | 28/07/22 | 27/10/22 | 23/02/23 | 27/04/23 | 27/07/23 | 26/10/23 | 22/02/24 | 25/04/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,424 | 3,037 | 3,291 | 3,521 | 3,580 | 3,566 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.662 x | 4.859 x | 5.485 x | 5.4 x | 5.144 x | 4.849 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -228 | -390 | 238 | 92.3 | 185 | 247 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 61.1% | 64% | -18% | - | - | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 2.13% | 4.24% | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | -9,861 | 5,595 | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 0.5300 | 0.7600 | - | -0.5700 | -0.9900 | -1.360 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.8500 | 0.3300 | 1.030 | 0.6800 | 0.8300 | - |
| Capex 1 | 686 | 595 | 378 | 220 | 180 | 160 |
| Capex / Sales | 16.92% | 12.69% | 7.86% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 23/02/23 | 22/02/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
3.96
USD
Average target price
3.975
USD
Spread / Average Target
+0.38%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +3.19% | 2.37B | |
| +3.75% | 3.74B | |
| +5.42% | 2.59B | |
| +12.80% | 1.66B | |
| -17.82% | 1.45B | |
| +71.07% | 1.12B | |
| -0.74% | 954M | |
| +7.41% | 862M | |
| +5.98% | 741M | |
| -7.43% | 725M |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- AMBP Stock
- Financials Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
