Projected Income Statement: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 9,262 8,596 8,143 6,997 9,546 8,035 8,767 8,578
Change - -7.19% -5.27% -14.07% 36.43% -15.83% 9.11% -2.16%
Announcement Date 26/01/21 25/01/22 26/01/23 12/03/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 823 1,169 1,319 1,494 1,563 1,323 1,370 1,407
Change - 42.04% 12.83% 13.27% 4.62% -15.36% 3.59% 2.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,209 5,426 2,159 2,966 1,217 4,880 1,660 2,182
Change - 269.09% -60.21% 37.38% -58.97% 300.99% -65.98% 31.45%
Announcement Date 26/01/21 25/01/22 26/01/23 12/03/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.69% 5.76% 6.71% 6.61% 5.23% 4.14% 4.7% 5%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.74% 3.51% 4.14% 4.32% 2.42% 1.87% 2.39% 2.36%
EBT Margin (%) 2.93% 3.89% 5.14% 4.57% 2.64% 1.68% 2.74% 3.08%
Net margin (%) 2.75% 3.18% 4.26% 3.71% 2.1% 1.31% 2.19% 2.44%
FCF margin (%) -4.99% 6.36% 2.12% 3.16% 1.42% 5.87% 1.94% 2.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) -181.09% 200.3% 49.75% 85.16% 67.61% 447.56% 88.91% 103.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.21% 8.47% 12.15% 6.62% 4.34% 2.86% 3.54% 3.7%
ROE 10.29% 13.8% 18.89% 15.64% 7.78% 7.01% 8.62% 9.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.53x 1.75x 1.19x 1.13x 2.13x 2.33x 2.19x 1.99x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.89x 1.58x 3.77x 2.36x 7.84x 1.65x 5.28x 3.93x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.28% 1.37% 1.3% 1.59% 1.83% 1.59% 1.6% 1.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.49% 23.82% 19.31% 24.07% 34.92% 38.44% 34.16% 32.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -25.65% 21.54% 61.09% 50.37% 128.43% 27.11% 82.56% 64.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -4.238 11.65 6.178 8.229 5.639 9.99 5.466 7.954
Change - 374.94% -46.98% 33.2% -31.47% 77.15% -45.28% 45.52%
Dividend per Share 1 1.44 1.48 1.6 1.8 2 2.045 2.121 2.139
Change - 2.78% 8.11% 12.5% 11.11% 2.25% 3.71% 0.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 35.52 39.8 43.13 47.04 44.97 46.61 47.16 49.51
Change - 12.04% 8.37% 9.06% -4.41% 3.66% 1.19% 4.98%
EPS 1 3.15 4.79 7.71 6.43 3.65 2.176 4.268 4.42
Change - 52.06% 60.96% -16.6% -43.23% -40.38% 96.14% 3.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 556,389 559,441 549,334 533,381 478,534 480,570 480,570 480,570
Announcement Date 26/01/21 25/01/22 26/01/23 12/03/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 30x 15.3x
PBR 1.4x 1.38x
EV / Sales 0.47x 0.47x
Yield 3.14% 3.25%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
65.18USD
Average target price
57.36USD
Spread / Average Target
-11.99%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ADM Stock
  4. Financials Archer-Daniels-Midland Company