Company Valuation: Alamos Gold Inc.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 3,014 3,980 5,355 7,746 16,228 13,018 - -
Change - 32.06% 34.55% 44.66% 109.5% -19.78% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,841 3,850 5,130 7,669 15,805 12,042 10,537 9,726
Change - 35.51% 33.25% 49.49% 106.09% -23.81% -12.5% -7.7%
P/E -45.2x 112x 25.5x 26.7x 18.4x 14.1x 9.84x 7.27x
PBR 1.1x 1.46x - - - - - -
PEG - -1x 0x 0.9x 0x 2.96x 0.2x 0.2x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.66x 4.85x 5.23x 5.75x 8.97x 5.29x 4.08x 3.61x
EV / Revenue 3.45x 4.69x 5.01x 5.69x 8.74x 4.89x 3.3x 2.7x
EV / EBITDA 7.07x 10.9x 10.5x 11.1x 14.7x 7.12x 4.72x 3.3x
EV / EBIT 191x 34.5x 16.1x 13.6x 14.4x 8.47x 5.3x 3.6x
EV / FCF 360x -253x 41.4x 28.2x 44.9x 27.4x 11.9x 6.19x
FCF Yield 0.28% -0.39% 2.41% 3.55% 2.23% 3.65% 8.38% 16.2%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 - 0.16 0.16 0.16
Rate of return 1.3% 0.99% 0.74% 0.54% - 0.51% 0.51% 0.51%
EPS 2 -0.17 0.09 0.53 0.69 2.1 2.2 3.16 4.28
Distribution rate -58.8% 111% 18.9% 14.5% - 7.27% 5.06% 3.74%
Net sales 1 823.6 821.2 1,023 1,347 1,809 2,461 3,193 3,606
EBITDA 1 402 351.7 486.4 691.5 1,074 1,690 2,234 2,946
EBIT 1 14.9 111.5 318.1 561.9 1,098 1,421 1,990 2,704
Net income 1 -66.7 37.1 210 284.3 885.8 944.9 1,262 1,738
Net Debt 1 -172.5 -129.8 -224.8 -77.2 -423.1 -975.7 -2,481 -3,292
Reference price 2 7.69 10.12 13.49 18.43 38.65 31.10 31.10 31.10
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 391,963 393,458 396,858 420,282 419,834 418,604 - -
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
14.14x4.89x7.12x0.51% 13.02B
10.87x3.92x6.11x0.99% 111B
13.37x5.19x7.26x0.97% 85.03B
11.34x3.08x4.37x2.07% 69.35B
26.82x15.52x18.52x0.61% 56.9B
11.24x3.55x4.9x4.63% 44.71B
8.66x2.99x4.5x0.57% 30.37B
18.13x4.21x7.64x2.32% 22.23B
17.75x9.52x11.91x0.88% 18.47B
11.59x2.98x4.83x - 16.19B
Average 14.39x 5.58x 7.72x 1.51% 46.73B
Weighted average by Cap. 13.96x 5.57x 7.64x 1.48%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Alamos Gold Inc.