Projected Income Statement: AB Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -51,000 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -53,770 -55,252
Change - 1.18% -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -14.93% -2.76%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 14,297 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 23,227 21,711
Change - 26.72% 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% 0.62% -6.53%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 16,313 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 34,982 39,787
Change - -4.8% -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 25.55% 13.74%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.53% 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 16.01% 16.79%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.44% 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.66% 12.6%
EBT Margin (%) 7.66% 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.62% 12.43%
Net margin (%) 5.71% 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.91% 9.54%
FCF margin (%) 4.82% 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 7.25% 7.7%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.44% 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 81.42% 80.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.89% 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 7.22% 8.04%
ROE 14.2% 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 23.37% 25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.22% 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 4.82% 4.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.08% 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 30.07% 25.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 87.64% 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 66.4% 54.57%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.06 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 26.42 28.54
Change - 9.92% -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 6.96% 8.04%
Dividend per Share 1 6 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.98 17.95
Change - 116.67% 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 8.42% 12.27%
Book Value Per Share 1 71.45 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 95.4 102.4
Change - -2.93% 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 4.75% 7.37%
EPS 1 9.5 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 20.95 23.77
Change - 69.68% -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 23.24% 13.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452
Announcement Date 03/02/21 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - -
1SEK
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 17.5x 16.6x
PBR 3.37x 3.65x
EV / Sales 1.16x 1.36x
Yield 4.39% 4.59%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
348.20SEK
Average target price
327.56SEK
Spread / Average Target
-5.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise