Projected Income Statement: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet - Volvo
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -56,569 -68,764 -79,549
Change - -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -16.88% -21.56% -15.68%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 23,189 22,398 23,994
Change - 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% -8.92% -3.41% 7.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 34,561 42,201 46,393
Change - -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 71.65% 22.11% 9.93%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 15.54% 16.54% 16.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.51% 12.71% 13.12%
EBT Margin (%) 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.09% 12.66% 13.17%
Net margin (%) 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.41% 9.56% 9.86%
FCF margin (%) 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 6.88% 7.69% 8.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 81.81% 80.44% 81.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 8% 8.82% 8.99%
ROE 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 24.04% 26.36% 25.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 4.62% 4.08% 4.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 29.7% 24.68% 24.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 67.1% 53.07% 51.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 27.61 36.46 37.2
Change - -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 23.1% 32.07% 2.03%
Dividend per Share 1 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.29 18.37 19.9
Change - 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 17.59% 20.17% 8.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 96.43 106.4 115.3
Change - 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 9.95% 10.31% 8.36%
EPS 1 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 20.75 25.57 27.77
Change - -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 22.51% 23.19% 8.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.4x 12.5x
PBR 3.32x 3.01x
EV / Sales 1.18x 1.06x
Yield 4.77% 5.73%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Volvo


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Volvo
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Volvo
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Volvo
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
320.50SEK
Average target price
355.12SEK
Spread / Average Target
+10.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Volvo