DBRS, Inc. (Morningstar DBRS) downgraded the long-term credit ratings of U.S. Bancorp (USB or the Company), including the Company's Long-Term Issuer Rating to AA (low) from AA and confirmed the Short-Term Issuer Rating of R-1 (middle).

At the same time, Morningstar DBRS downgraded the long-term credit ratings of its primary banking subsidiary, U.S. Bank National Association (the Bank), including its Long-Term Issuer Rating to AA from AA (high). The trends for all credit ratings is now Stable. The Intrinsic Assessment (IA) for the Bank is AA, while its Support Assessment remains SA1. The Company's Support Assessment is SA3 and its Long-Term Issuer Rating is positioned one notch below the Bank's IA.

KEY CREDIT RATING CONSIDERATIONS

The downgrade reflects USB's less differentiated earnings performance from peers as well as a relatively weaker capital position, although significantly improved year over year.

The credit ratings and Stable trend reflect USB's very strong franchise that is underpinned by a scaled and well-diversified mix of businesses, including top-tier market share positions in regional and national wholesale banking, as well as global payments and securities services. The credit ratings also consider the Company's sound funding and liquidity profile and proven conservative credit culture. With tougher regulatory capital requirements expected, Morningstar DBRS expects that USB will need to continue to build capital and limit share repurchases. The Stable trend also incorporates Morningstar DBRS's view that the Company's loan portfolio will to continue to normalize.

CREDIT RATING DRIVERS

A return to sustained industry leading profitability metrics while maintaining a similar risk profile would result in a credit ratings upgrade. Conversely, an inability to improve capital ratios over time or a pronounced deterioration in asset quality would result in a credit ratings downgrade. In addition, a sustained reduction in profitability metrics would also result in a credit ratings downgrade.

CREDIT RATING RATIONALE

Franchise Combined Building Block (BB) Assessment: Very Strong / Strong

USB's diverse banking and financial services franchise is underpinned by its strong operating platform, including a branch network with over 2,200 banking offices in 26 states, primarily in the Midwest and West. The Company ranks as the fifth largest commercial bank in the U.S. by assets and deposits. Additionally, USB is one of the largest U.S. corporate trustees. The Company also maintains a sizable global market position in payment services, including merchant processing, credit and debit card, as well as corporate payment products.

Earnings Combined Building Block (BB) Assessment: Strong / Good

The Company's highly diversified franchise has historically delivered industry-leading returns, although the level has moderated in recent periods. USB's earnings benefit from a substantial level of fee income that is not overly reliant on markets or the level of interest rates. Additionally, Morningstar DBRS considers the Company's disciplined expense management as a cultural strength, although the Company's efficiency ratio is higher than historical levels. For 1Q24, USB reported net income of $1.3 billion equating to a ROAA and ROACE of 0.81% and 10.0%, respectively.

Risk Combined Building Block (BB) Assessment: Very Strong / Strong

USB's risk profile is supported by its conservative culture, consistent and disciplined underwriting standards, as well as a granular loan portfolio that is diversified among various industries and regions and lacks material risk concentrations in volatile sectors. The Company is mostly a prime-based lender in its retail portfolios and investment grade equivalent in commercial portfolios, with limited leveraged lending. Additionally, commercial real estate lending is relationship-based with consistent loan underwriting and its exposure to office CRE, at approximately 2% of total loans is manageable. Asset quality metrics, while normalizing, remain at sound levels, including a nonperforming assets ratio of 0.48% and net charge-off ratio of 0.53% in 1Q24.

Funding and Liquidity Combined Building Block (BB) Assessment: Very Strong / Strong

USB maintains a strong level of on-balance sheet liquidity and has a robust deposit franchise that fully funds the loan portfolio, with a loan to deposit ratio of 77% at the end of 1Q24. USB typically benefits from a flight to quality in times of industry stress. Additionally, USB also has ready access to a variety of additional sources of liquidity.

Capitalization Combined Building Block (BB) Assessment: Strong / Good

Morningstar DBRS views the Company's capitalization as sound, given its historically robust and predictable capital generation and conservative credit risk management. However, the MUB acquisition, as well as pending higher capital regulatory requirements, has pressured capital levels with USB reporting a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 10.0% at the end of 1Q24. To build capital, in addition to its strong internal capital generation, the Company suspended its share repurchase program and has undergone some balance sheet optimization exercises. Following the latest round of Federal Reserve stress testing the Company's preliminary stress capital buffer remained at 2.5%.

Further details on the Scorecard Indicators and Building Block Assessments can be found at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/435020.

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS

Environmental (E) Factors

There were no Environmental factor(s) that had a relevant or significant effect on the credit analysis.

Social (S) Factors

There were no Social factor(s) that had a relevant or significant effect on the credit analysis.

Governance (G) Factors

There were no Governance factor(s) that had a relevant or significant effect on the credit analysis.

A description of how Morningstar DBRS considers ESG factors within the Morningstar DBRS analytical framework can be found in the Morningstar DBRS Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings (January 23, 2024): https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/427030/morningstar-dbrs-criteria:-approach-to-environmental,-social,-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings.

Notes:

All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology is the Global Methodology for Rating Banks and Banking Organisations (June 4, 2024): https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/433881/global-methodology-for-rating-banks-and-banking-organisations. In addition Morningstar DBRS uses the Morningstar DBRS Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings (January 23, 2024): https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/427030/morningstar-dbrs-criteria:-approach-to-environmental,-social,-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings in its consideration of ESG factors.

The credit rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/about/methodologies.

The primary sources of information used for these credit ratings include Morningstar, Inc. and company documents. Morningstar DBRS considers the information available to it for the purposes of providing these credit ratings was of satisfactory quality.

The credit rating was initiated at the request of the rated entity.

The rated entity or its related entities did participate in the credit rating process for this credit rating action.

Morningstar DBRS had access to the accounts, management and other relevant internal documents of the rated entity or its related entities in connection with this credit rating action.

This is a solicited credit rating.

These credit ratings are endorsed by DBRS Ratings Limited for use in the United Kingdom, and by DBRS Ratings GmbH for use in the European Union, respectively. The following additional regulatory disclosures apply to endorsed credit ratings:

The last credit rating action on this issuer took place on July 19, 2023, U.S. Bancorp's Trend was Revised to Negative and Long-Term Issuer Rating was Confirmed at 'AA'.

The conditions that lead to the assignment of a Negative or Positive trend are generally resolved within a 12-month period. Morningstar DBRS's outlooks and credit ratings are monitored.

For further information on Morningstar DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: https://registers.esma.europa.eu/cerep-publication. For further information on Morningstar DBRS historical default rates published by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in a central repository, see https://data.fca.org.uk/#/ceres/craStats.

Lead Analyst: John Mackerey, Senior Vice President, Sector Lead

Rating Committee Chair: Michael Driscoll, Managing Director

Initial Rating Date: April 04, 2005

For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit dbrs.morningstar.com.

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