ReNew Roadshow
October 2023
1
Disclaimer
Forward-Looking Statements
This announcement contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including statements regarding the services offered by ReNew Energy Global, the markets in which ReNew Energy Global operates and ReNew Energy Global's future potential financial and operational results. These forward-looking statements generally are identified by the words "believe," "project," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "intend," "strategy," "future," "opportunity," "plan," "may," "should," "will," "would," "will be," "will continue," "will likely result," and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are predictions, projections and other statements about future events that are based on current expectations and assumptions and, as a result, are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual future events to differ materially from the forward- looking statements in this announcement, including but not limited to, the ability to implement business plans, forecasts, and other expectations, the ability to identify and realize additional opportunities, and potential changes and developments in the highly competitive renewable energy and related industries. The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. You should carefully consider the foregoing factors and the other risks and uncertainties described in ReNew Energy Global's annual report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") on July 25, 2022 and other documents filed by ReNew Energy Global from time to time with the SEC. These filings identify and address other important risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and ReNew Energy Global assumes no obligation and does not intend to update or revise these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. ReNew Energy Global gives no assurance that it will achieve its expectations.
Non - IFRS Financial Measures
This presentation contains financial measures which have not been calculated in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"), including EBITDA because they are a basis upon which our management assesses our performance and we believe they reflect the underlying trends and indicators of our business. Although we believe these measures may be useful for investors for the same reasons, these financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to IFRS financial measures as a measure of the Company's financial condition, profitability and performance or liquidity. In addition, these financial measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. We provide further descriptions of these non-IFRS measures and reconciliations of these non-IFRS measures to the corresponding most closely related IFRS measures in annual report on Form 20-F and other documents filed by Renew Energy Global from time to time with the SEC" filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") on July 25, 2022.
2
Overview
Key Highlights of India's Attractive Renewable Energy Market
ReNew is largest and most differentiated developer in India
1 | Third largest electricity market globally |
One of the lowest per capita electricity | |
2 | |
consumption in the world, which will | |
drive future demand | |
Electricity demand will double in the next | |
3 | |
8-10 years, most of it being met from | |
renewable energy | |
Renewable Energy tariffs are significantly | |
4 | |
below grid parity without subsidies | |
Government to add 50 GW of RE | |
5 | |
annually to meet 500 GW of installed RE | |
capacity by 2030. | |
4
Pursuing Higher Return Opportunities In RTC & Hybrid Bids
With an increase in pace of auctions from ~15 GW per annum to Pace of Auctions(1) ~50GW per annum there has been a shift in the market:
As the power demand in the country continues to rise, there is need to supply firm power to the Grid. With RTC auctions, renewable energy is set to take on traditional sources of energy.
Advantages of RTC/Hybrid auctions
- Lower competition in complex / hybrid auctions
- Higher tariffs as compared to plain vanilla auctions
- Unique ability to execute RTC/Hybrid projects
GW
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
-
FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 (YTD) | FY24 MNRE Target |
Wind / Solar | Complex Auctions | |
5
Note:
1. Internal and external data including SECI, MOP, and other sources
Government Target to Reach 500 GW by 2030
Government Target to Add 50 GW annually (1)
1,088 |
500 |
179* |
16 |
Installed Capacity (2010) | Current Installed Capacity | Government | International Energy Agency |
Target 2030 | Estimate 2040 |
Renewable sector to attract investments of US$ 280bn+ over the next decade (2)
* 116 GW of wind + solar installed as of September 2023, likely to drive the growth going forward
Notes:
- Source: MNRE, CEA, International Energy Agency, IHS Markit, Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade
- Source: Bloomberg NEF
6
Industry Overview: Demand, Supply and Infrastructure
Industry trends indicate huge untapped potential
Record Energy and Peak Demand in FY23(1) | Electricity Shortages Across India(3) |
Energy
BU
170
MU
1000
150 | 800 |
130
600
110
400
90
70 | 200 |
~0.24% of total energy demand, and ~0.08% shortage in peak demand
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep | Oct Nov Dec | Jan Feb Mar | |||
0 | |||||
2021 - 22 | 2022 - 23 | 2023 - 24 | |||
GW | Peak |
240 |
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
April'23 | May'23 | June'23 | July'23 | August'23 |
As per the CEA, there has been an improvement in All India wind generation in Jul and Aug(3)
- ~30% improvement in Aug-23 wind generation over Aug-22
- ~15% improvement in Jul-23 wind generation over Jul-22
2021 - 22 | 2022 - 23 | 2023 - 24 | |
Only 4% increment in wind capacity YoY
7
1. Source: Central Electricity Authority's website | 2. Source: IEX India's website | 3. Source: CEA Energy Power Supply-Demand May 2023. The deficit for Jharkhand is 4.8% which has only been shown till 2% for graphical representation
Our Growth Trajectory
~47% Growth in Operating MW
10 | 8.4 GW |
5.7 GW
5
0
Q1 FY22 | Q1 FY24 |
Adjusted EBITDA Increased by 41%
80
INR 60.4 bn
60
INR 42.8 bn
40
20
0
LTM Q1 FY22 | LTM Q1 FY24 |
~28% Growth in Portfolio
15 | 10.7 GW | 13.7 GW | |||
10 | |||||
5 | |||||
0 | |||||
Q1 FY22 | Q1 FY24 | ||||
Run Rate EBITDA Increased by ~60%
100 | INR 89-94 bn |
75 INR 55-60 bn
50
25
0
Run Rate Q1 FY22 Run Rate Q1 FY24
8
Q1FY24 Updates
9
Favorable Market Enables Project Wins and Improved Returns
Pace of Auctions
GW
- ~3.5 GW (RE capacity) won in 5 auctions in YTD FY24
- IRRs expected to be at the high end of, or above, our targeted range, due to lower competition and complex auctions
- ~10x increase in auctions in Q1 FY24, compared to same time last year.
- ~43.0 GW(1) of auctions announced YTD FY24
- ~13.7 GW(1)(2) of auctions completed YTD
50 | |||||
45 | |||||
40 | |||||
35 | |||||
30 | |||||
25 | |||||
20 | |||||
15 | |||||
10 | |||||
5 | |||||
- | FY24 (YTD)(3) | ||||
FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 MNRE Target | ||
Wind / Solar | Complex Auctions | Solar & Hybrid |
- ~3 GW of ReNew's projects under construction benefitting from ~20% decline in module prices since last year
- In August, we signed the PPA for a 400 MW solar project with GUVNL at INR 2.71/kWh
Notes:
- The above data has been collated internally and includes aggregation of sources such as Mercom, SECI, MOP, CEA and Bridge to India | Includes Wind, Solar, Hydro, etc
- 13.7 GW completed auctions include ~11.6 GWs announced in FY23
- Includes 10GW of tenders announced prior to Q1 FY23
Favorable Movement in Market
INR/watt | Average Tariffs | Module Price (RHS) | US$ /watt | |||||||||
(LHS) | (US$) per Watt | |||||||||||
3.0 | 0.28 | |||||||||||
2.5 | 0.26 | |||||||||||
2.0 | Improvement | 0.24 | ||||||||||
In | ||||||||||||
1.5 | Margins | 0.22 | ||||||||||
1.0 | 0.20 | |||||||||||
0.5 | 0.18 | |||||||||||
0.0 | 0.16 | |||||||||||
H2 FY21 | H1 FY22 | H2 FY22 | H1 FY23 | H2 FY23 | Q1 FY24 | Q2 FY24 P | ||||||
10 | ||||||||||||
Attachments
- Original Link
- Original Document
- Permalink
Disclaimer
Renew Energy Global plc published this content on 24 October 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 October 2023 11:33:05 UTC.