Projected Income Statement: Outotec

Forecast Balance Sheet: Outotec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 470 684 884 1,173 1,092 930 662 448
Change - 45.53% 29.24% 32.69% -6.91% -14.84% -28.82% -32.33%
Announcement Date 10/02/22 17/02/23 16/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Outotec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 91 114 170 188 152 166 172.6 179
Change - 25.27% 49.12% 10.59% -19.15% 9.21% 3.99% 3.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 417 13 132 144 627 508.6 687.2 741.6
Change - -96.88% 915.38% 9.09% 335.42% -18.88% 35.12% 7.91%
Announcement Date 10/02/22 17/02/23 16/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Outotec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.16% 15.51% 18.2% 18.57% 17.84% 18.65% 19.46% 20.1%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.91% 13.81% 16.46% 16.53% 15.82% 16.18% 17.09% 17.74%
EBT Margin (%) 9.09% 8.33% 13.43% 13.33% 12.14% 13.66% 14.89% 15.61%
Net margin (%) 8.07% 5.68% 10.07% 6.77% 8.07% 10.43% 11.4% 12.01%
FCF margin (%) 9.84% 0.25% 2.45% 2.96% 11.97% 9.02% 11.26% 11.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 121.93% 4.32% 24.31% 43.77% 148.23% 86.43% 98.74% 94.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.83% 6.69% 7.81% 4.64% 5.95% 7.57% 8.32% 8.79%
ROE 15.49% 18.34% 21.94% 18.94% 16.07% 21.46% 22.92% 23.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.73x 0.83x 0.9x 1.3x 1.17x 0.88x 0.56x 0.34x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.13x 52.62x 6.7x 8.15x 1.74x 1.83x 0.96x 0.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.15% 2.15% 3.15% 3.87% 2.9% 2.94% 2.83% 2.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.17% 13.89% 17.33% 20.82% 16.26% 15.78% 14.53% 13.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.82% 876.92% 128.79% 130.56% 24.24% 32.64% 25.12% 24.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6135 0.1535 0.3655 0.4014 0.9412 0.9162 1.034 1.133
Change - -74.98% 138.13% 9.82% 134.48% -2.65% 12.84% 9.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.24 0.3 0.36 0.38 0.4 0.4284 0.4858 0.5335
Change - 25% 20% 5.56% 5.26% 7.09% 13.41% 9.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.717 2.84 3.16 3.14 3.22 3.53 3.926 4.372
Change - 4.52% 11.27% -0.63% 2.55% 9.62% 11.22% 11.37%
EPS 1 0.41 0.36 0.66 0.4 0.51 0.7126 0.8406 0.9467
Change - -12.2% 83.33% -39.39% 27.5% 39.72% 17.96% 12.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 828,047 825,636 826,328 827,810 827,761 828,113 828,113 828,113
Announcement Date 10/02/22 17/02/23 16/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.4x 18.1x
PBR 4.32x 3.88x
EV / Sales 2.4x 2.18x
Yield 2.81% 3.19%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
15.25EUR
Average target price
17.07EUR
Spread / Average Target
+11.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise