Projected Income Statement: Orsted

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orsted

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 24,280 30,571 47,379 58,027 18,978 31,086 39,224 19,390
Change - 25.91% 54.98% 22.47% -67.29% 63.8% 26.18% -50.57%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orsted

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 34,569 33,004 38,203 42,654 54,776 51,531 38,283 15,892
Change - -4.53% 15.75% 11.65% 28.42% -5.92% -25.71% -58.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -22,421 -21,080 15,599 -24,298 -31,035 -31,805 -16,674 34,651
Change - 5.98% 174% -255.77% -27.73% -2.48% 47.57% 307.81%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orsted

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.28% 24.23% 23.62% 44.99% 30.65% 36.79% 37.52% 39.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.85% 14.95% -22.53% 8.69% 11.77% 22.01% 23.31% 24.09%
EBT Margin (%) 17.09% 13.31% -24.01% 3.67% 8.18% 18.98% 19.71% 21.63%
Net margin (%) 14.11% 11% -26.57% -1.3% 2.36% 12.74% 14.42% 15.02%
FCF margin (%) -28.87% -15.94% 19.68% -34.21% -42.37% -38.35% -19.09% 36.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) -204.53% -144.89% -74.07% 2,632.5% -1,797.05% -301.07% -132.43% 244.56%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.69% 4.98% -7.08% -0.32% 1.28% 2.35% 3.73% 2.35%
ROE 12.41% 16.76% -25.16% -1.55% 4.68% 7.82% 8.34% 8.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1x 0.95x 2.53x 1.82x 0.85x 1.02x 1.2x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.08x -1.45x 3.04x -2.39x -0.61x -0.98x -2.35x 0.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 44.51% 24.95% 48.2% 60.05% 74.79% 62.13% 43.84% 16.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 142.28% 102.95% 204.11% 133.46% 244.01% 168.89% 116.83% 42.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -154.18% -156.57% 244.91% -175.55% -176.5% -162.02% -229.6% 45.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 28.9 28.36 67.85 43.64 26.79 16.11 19.48 24.47
Change - -1.86% 139.25% -35.68% -38.61% -39.88% 20.94% 25.63%
Dividend per Share 1 12.5 13.5 - - - 2.622 3.276 3.518
Change - 8% - - - - 24.94% 7.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 195.3 217.8 180.5 147.8 135.1 106.6 112.8 120.1
Change - 11.54% -17.16% -18.09% -8.6% -21.11% 5.87% 6.42%
EPS 1 24.3 34.6 -50.1 -2.2 1.9 7.895 9.324 10.67
Change - 42.39% -244.8% 95.61% 186.36% 315.55% 18.09% 14.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 420,175 420,170 420,175 420,230 1,321,047 1,321,059 1,321,059 1,321,059
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.2x 14.6x
PBR 1.27x 1.2x
EV / Sales 2.54x 2.5x
Yield 1.93% 2.41%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
135.75DKK
Average target price
172.30DKK
Spread / Average Target
+26.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise