MTG CO., LTD. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 1,524 JPY | -1.23% |
|
-0.20% | +4.17% |
| 05-02 | MGIC Investment's Q1 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Increase | MT |
| 05-01 | Earnings Flash (MTG) MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION Reports Q1 EPS $0.65, vs. Street Est of $0.61 | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: September | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 41,402 | 60,394 | 66,322 | 48,176 | 60,626 | 60,078 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 41,402 | 46,924 | 50,671 | 31,647 | 44,489 | 40,978 | 39,878 | 37,978 |
| P/E ratio | -1.58 x | 39.5 x | 12 x | 17.9 x | 30.5 x | 25 x | 23.2 x | 17.7 x |
| Yield | - | - | 0.59% | 0.82% | 0.65% | 0.66% | 0.66% | 0.66% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.15 x | 1.73 x | 1.55 x | 0.98 x | 1.01 x | 0.89 x | 0.85 x | 0.77 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.15 x | 1.35 x | 1.18 x | 0.65 x | 0.74 x | 0.61 x | 0.57 x | 0.49 x |
| EV / EBITDA | - | - | 11.3 x | 8.35 x | 10.1 x | 8.72 x | - | - |
| EV / FCF | - | -48.3 x | 15.9 x | 24.1 x | -436 x | 17.8 x | 18.1 x | 12.7 x |
| FCF Yield | - | -2.07% | 6.27% | 4.16% | -0.23% | 5.61% | 5.52% | 7.9% |
| Price to Book | 1.31 x | 1.8 x | 1.74 x | 1.18 x | 1.45 x | 1.38 x | 1.31 x | 1.23 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 39,733 | 39,733 | 39,059 | 39,392 | 39,419 | 39,421 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 1,042 | 1,520 | 1,698 | 1,223 | 1,538 | 1,524 | 1,524 | 1,524 |
| Announcement Date | 09/12/19 | 13/11/20 | 12/11/21 | 10/11/22 | 09/11/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: September | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 36,046 | 34,845 | 42,799 | 48,984 | 60,154 | 67,502 | 70,533 | 77,700 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | - | 4,477 | 3,790 | 4,393 | 4,700 | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | -14,421 | 1,219 | 3,889 | 3,238 | 3,597 | 3,848 | 4,715 | 6,088 |
| Operating Margin | -40.01% | 3.5% | 9.09% | 6.61% | 5.98% | 5.7% | 6.68% | 7.83% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -24,752 | 1,844 | 4,279 | 3,935 | 3,049 | 4,032 | 4,754 | 6,147 |
| Net income 1 | -26,207 | 1,525 | 5,592 | 2,685 | 1,984 | 2,406 | 2,588 | 3,396 |
| Net margin | -72.7% | 4.38% | 13.07% | 5.48% | 3.3% | 3.56% | 3.67% | 4.37% |
| EPS 2 | -659.9 | 38.44 | 141.8 | 68.50 | 50.35 | 61.04 | 65.65 | 86.16 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -971 | 3,177 | 1,315 | -102 | 2,300 | 2,200 | 3,000 |
| FCF margin | - | -2.79% | 7.42% | 2.68% | -0.17% | 3.41% | 3.12% | 3.86% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | 70.96% | 34.7% | - | 48.94% | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | 56.81% | 48.98% | - | 95.61% | 85.02% | 88.34% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| Announcement Date | 09/12/19 | 13/11/20 | 12/11/21 | 10/11/22 | 09/11/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: September | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2021 Q4 | 2021 S2 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2022 S2 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2023 S2 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2024 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 15,479 | 20,177 | 11,065 | 22,622 | 12,760 | 9,988 | 22,748 | 11,958 | 14,278 | 26,236 | 14,837 | 12,986 | 27,823 | 15,282 | 17,049 | 32,331 | 17,075 | 14,530 | 31,475 | 17,075 | 18,810 | 35,800 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | -2,057 | 3,034 | 214 | 855 | 2,126 | 178 | 2,304 | -361 | 1,295 | 934 | 1,373 | 1,043 | 2,416 | 141 | 1,040 | 1,181 | 1,243 | 856.5 | 1,883 | 440 | 1,284 | 2,100 |
| Operating Margin | -13.29% | 15.04% | 1.93% | 3.78% | 16.66% | 1.78% | 10.13% | -3.02% | 9.07% | 3.56% | 9.25% | 8.03% | 8.68% | 0.92% | 6.1% | 3.65% | 7.28% | 5.89% | 5.98% | 2.58% | 6.83% | 5.87% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -741 | 3,375 | 40 | 904 | 1,922 | - | 2,880 | 80 | - | - | 1,094 | - | 2,192 | 566 | 291 | - | 1,028 | 1,187 | - | 514 | 1,267 | - |
| Net income 1 | -822 | 2,994 | 1,838 | 2,598 | 1,361 | - | 1,932 | -11 | 764 | - | 427 | - | 1,156 | 305 | - | - | 509 | 745 | - | 368 | 789 | - |
| Net margin | -5.31% | 14.84% | 16.61% | 11.48% | 10.67% | - | 8.49% | -0.09% | 5.35% | - | 2.88% | - | 4.15% | 2% | - | - | 2.98% | 5.13% | - | 2.16% | 4.19% | - |
| EPS | -20.71 | 75.72 | 46.80 | 66.04 | 34.86 | - | 49.48 | -0.3800 | - | - | 10.85 | - | 29.35 | 7.740 | - | - | 12.93 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 14/05/20 | 14/05/21 | 12/11/21 | 12/11/21 | 10/02/22 | 11/05/22 | 11/05/22 | 09/08/22 | 10/11/22 | 10/11/22 | 08/02/23 | 10/05/23 | 10/05/23 | 04/08/23 | 09/11/23 | 09/11/23 | 06/02/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: September | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | 13,470 | 15,651 | 16,529 | 16,137 | 19,100 | 20,200 | 22,100 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -971 | 3,177 | 1,315 | -102 | 2,300 | 2,200 | 3,000 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | -58.5% | 4.7% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | -26% | 4.05% | 9.51% | 7.69% | 7.99% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% |
| Assets 1 | 100,900 | 37,659 | 58,774 | 34,926 | 24,845 | 42,202 | 55,057 | 58,552 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 796.0 | 843.0 | 974.0 | 1,037 | 1,064 | 1,106 | 1,167 | 1,243 |
| Cash Flow per Share | -630.0 | 48.90 | 157.0 | 82.60 | 70.60 | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | - | 2,507 | 699 | 564 | 1,185 | 935 | 835 | 753 |
| Capex / Sales | - | 7.19% | 1.63% | 1.15% | 1.97% | 1.39% | 1.18% | 0.97% |
| Announcement Date | 09/12/19 | 13/11/20 | 12/11/21 | 10/11/22 | 09/11/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
1,524
JPY
Average target price
1,660
JPY
Spread / Average Target
+8.92%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +4.17% | 393M | |
| -2.16% | 254B | |
| +12.81% | 19.89B | |
| +0.38% | 11.16B | |
| -6.60% | 10.38B | |
| +16.34% | 7.63B | |
| +10.15% | 5.97B | |
| +1.12% | 4.65B | |
| -17.29% | 3.81B | |
| -5.56% | 3.54B |
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