Projected Income Statement: Luye Pharma Group Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Luye Pharma Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,878 6,009 6,665 4,072 2,975 2,201 2,097 1,332
Change - 108.79% 10.92% -38.9% -26.94% -26.03% -4.73% -36.48%
Announcement Date 26/03/20 31/03/21 29/03/22 29/03/23 27/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Luye Pharma Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
CAPEX 1 728.2 970.4 692.8 556.2 655.7 632.7
Change - 33.26% -28.6% -19.72% 17.89% -3.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -828.6 -3,394 399.7 -778.5 -43 629.1
Change - 309.56% -111.78% -294.77% -94.48% -1,563.08%
Announcement Date 29/04/19 27/04/20 29/04/21 28/04/22 27/04/23 29/04/24
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Luye Pharma Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.16% 33.88% 17.44% 30.31% 33.82% 29.23% 27.68% 27.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.2% 17.35% -0.12% 12.5% 14.21% 20.35% 19.25% 19.9%
EBT Margin (%) 27.87% 17.01% -1.43% 11.2% 11.4% 15.08% 15.42% 16.8%
Net margin (%) 23.1% 12.76% -2.58% 10.11% 8.67% 11.74% 13.48% 14.58%
FCF margin (%) 12.18% 6.15% -7.19% 8.2% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 52.74% 48.21% 278.16% 81.09% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 7.97% 4.56% 2.03% - - - - -
ROE 17.24% 10.87% -1.64% 6.48% 4.69% 5.9% 6.84% 7.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.13x 3.2x 7.35x 2.25x 1.43x 1.13x 1.01x 0.56x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.72x 17.64x -17.83x 8.3x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.26% 12.51% 10.7% 19.45% - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.01% 36.91% 61.33% 64.17% - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 125.29% 203.39% -148.78% 237.21% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5447 0.3242 0.0529 0.4751 - - - -
Change - -40.48% -83.68% 798.13% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.113 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 2.879 2.476 2.464 2.923 3.361 3.72 3.97 4.26
Change - -14.02% -0.49% 18.65% 14.98% 10.68% 6.72% 7.3%
EPS 1 0.4584 0.2212 -0.039 0.1738 0.1429 0.212 0.2461 0.3037
Change - -51.75% -117.63% -545.64% -17.78% 48.38% 16.05% 23.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,268,965 3,248,965 3,541,372 3,549,671 3,761,671 3,761,671 3,761,671 3,761,671
Announcement Date 26/03/20 31/03/21 29/03/22 29/03/23 27/03/24 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 12.7x 11x
PBR 0.72x 0.68x
EV / Sales 1.85x 1.62x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
2.695CNY
Average target price
3.275CNY
Spread / Average Target
+21.52%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 2186 Stock
  4. Financials Luye Pharma Group Ltd.
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