Projected Income Statement: ITV plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ITV plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 522 414 - 553 431 398 322 253
Change - -20.69% - - -22.06% -7.66% -19.1% -21.43%
Announcement Date 09/03/21 03/03/22 02/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ITV plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 66 45 70 49 62.5 62.5 63.5
Change - -31.82% - -30% 27.55% 0% 1.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 459 126 315 284 247 364 387.5
Change - -72.55% - -9.84% -13.03% 47.37% 6.46%
Announcement Date 09/03/21 03/03/22 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ITV plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.65% 25.25% 20.65% 14.76% 16.43% 16.17% 15.4% 15.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.6% 23.54% 19.23% 13.49% 15.54% 14.51% 14.09% 14.73%
EBT Margin (%) 11.69% 13.9% 13.44% 5.33% 14.94% 7.69% 8.74% 9.23%
Net margin (%) 10.25% 10.95% 11.48% 5.79% 11.7% 5.8% 6.56% 6.79%
FCF margin (%) 16.5% 3.65% - 8.69% 8.14% 7.01% 10.09% 10.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 161.05% 33.33% - 150% 69.61% 120.96% 153.92% 155.43%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.58% 9.23% - 7.39% 9.74% 6.16% 6.74% 7.24%
ROE 28.93% 46.96% - 17.74% 20.92% 16.63% 16.89% 17.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.83x 0.47x - 1.03x 0.75x 0.7x 0.58x 0.43x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.14x 3.29x - 1.76x 1.52x 1.61x 0.88x 0.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.37% 1.3% - 1.93% 1.4% 1.77% 1.73% 1.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.48% 5.16% - 13.08% 8.55% 10.97% 11.25% 10.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.38% 35.71% - 22.22% 17.25% 25.3% 17.17% 16.39%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1304 0.0422 - 0.0949 0.0837 0.0718 0.088 0.095
Change - -67.65% - - -11.8% -14.21% 22.59% 7.96%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.033 - 0.05 0.05 0.0489 0.0494 0.0507
Change - - - - 0% -2.2% 1.02% 2.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.2804 0.3695 - 0.4407 0.4595 0.4568 0.467 0.4806
Change - 31.79% - - 4.26% -0.59% 2.23% 2.9%
EPS 1 0.071 0.093 0.106 0.052 0.103 0.0532 0.0592 0.0618
Change - 30.99% 13.98% -50.94% 98.08% -48.33% 11.24% 4.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,999,984 4,003,410 4,006,931 4,037,822 3,712,938 3,733,868 3,733,868 3,733,868
Announcement Date 09/03/21 03/03/22 02/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.1x 13.6x
PBR 1.76x 1.72x
EV / Sales 0.97x 0.92x
Yield 6.07% 6.14%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
0.8050GBP
Average target price
0.8250GBP
Spread / Average Target
+2.48%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise