Projected Income Statement: Gedeon Richter

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gedeon Richter

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -59,856 -146,733 -80,493 -110,818 -210,608 -273,642 -422,189 -544,602
Change - -145.14% 45.14% -37.67% -90.05% -29.93% -54.29% -28.99%
Announcement Date 02/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 07/04/25 27/02/26 - - -
1HUF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gedeon Richter

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 143,297 71,579 94,639 63,718 66,404 66,357 68,447 70,526
Change - -50.05% 32.22% -32.67% 4.22% -0.07% 3.15% 3.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,393 113,348 86,554 215,651 209,999 225,894 232,501 254,936
Change - 3,440.64% -23.64% 149.15% -2.62% 7.57% 2.92% 9.65%
Announcement Date 02/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 07/04/25 27/02/26 - - -
1HUF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gedeon Richter

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.93% 24.48% 29.89% 36.23% 38.03% 38.66% 38.45% 39.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.54% 19.13% 23.58% 30.45% 31.52% 31.56% 32.31% 32.45%
EBT Margin (%) 23.24% 20.64% 21.31% 32.78% 30.65% 31.54% 33.54% 34.45%
Net margin (%) 22.14% 19.38% 19.73% 27.9% 25.01% 26.65% 28.26% 28.98%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 14.12% 10.75% 25.15% 22.61% 23.6% 22.66% 23.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) -2.43% 72.85% 54.49% 90.14% 90.39% 88.58% 80.16% 79.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.34% - 11.7% 16.14% - 14% 14% 14%
ROE 16.22% 15.84% 14.48% 19.68% 17.22% 17.11% 17.26% 16.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 22.72% 8.92% 11.75% 7.43% 7.15% 6.93% 6.67% 6.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 81.36% 36.43% 39.33% 20.51% 18.79% 17.94% 17.35% 16.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -4,223.31% 63.15% 109.34% 29.55% 31.62% 29.38% 29.44% 27.66%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 752.1 992.5 669.5 1,526 1,512 1,631 1,571 1,692
Change - 31.96% -32.54% 127.99% -0.98% 7.87% -3.63% 7.67%
Dividend per Share 1 225 390 - - - 591.1 673.6 748.5
Change - 73.33% - - - - 13.96% 11.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 4,910 5,633 6,067 6,978 7,503 8,303 9,145 10,102
Change - 14.72% 7.71% 15% 7.53% 10.66% 10.14% 10.46%
EPS 1 751 835 860 1,307 1,271 1,366 1,586 1,768
Change - 11.19% 2.99% 51.98% -2.75% 7.45% 16.13% 11.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 185,630 185,818 185,946 182,035 182,385 182,391 182,391 182,391
Announcement Date 02/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 07/04/25 27/02/26 - - -
1HUF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.78x 8.42x
PBR 1.61x 1.46x
EV / Sales 2.26x 1.96x
Yield 4.42% 5.04%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
13,360.00HUF
Average target price
12,957.43HUF
Spread / Average Target
-3.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise