Financials Capital Power Corporation

Equities

CPX

CA14042M1023

Independent Power Producers

Delayed Toronto S.E. 20:07:23 19/06/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
41.1 CAD -0.12% Intraday chart for Capital Power Corporation +0.34% +8.62%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 3,617 3,699 4,584 5,414 4,453 5,334 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 6,887 7,027 7,694 8,979 7,886 10,700 10,446 10,197
P/E ratio 47.8 x 45.4 x 101 x 55.2 x 6.26 x 8.97 x 12.2 x 9.46 x
Yield 5.39% 5.67% 5.37% 4.87% 6.32% 6.11% 6.45% 6.59%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.84 x 1.91 x 2.3 x 1.85 x 1.04 x 1.81 x 2.11 x 1.96 x
EV / Revenue 3.51 x 3.63 x 3.87 x 3.07 x 1.84 x 3.63 x 4.13 x 3.74 x
EV / EBITDA 6.69 x 7.36 x 6.84 x 6.64 x 5.42 x 7.86 x 7.33 x 6.98 x
EV / FCF 12 x 13.7 x 11.9 x 35.5 x 79.7 x 13.6 x 15.3 x 10.4 x
FCF Yield 8.32% 7.29% 8.41% 2.82% 1.26% 7.33% 6.55% 9.58%
Price to Book 1.18 x 1.27 x 1.61 x 2.21 x 1.4 x 1.52 x 1.48 x 1.39 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 105,172 105,740 116,162 116,862 117,674 129,628 - -
Reference price 2 34.39 34.98 39.46 46.33 37.84 41.15 41.15 41.15
Announcement Date 24/02/20 19/02/21 24/02/22 01/03/23 28/02/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,963 1,937 1,990 2,929 4,282 2,944 2,529 2,728
EBITDA 1 1,029 955 1,124 1,353 1,455 1,362 1,425 1,461
EBIT 1 556 477 585 800 881 959.5 789.5 964
Operating Margin 28.32% 24.63% 29.4% 27.31% 20.57% 32.59% 31.21% 35.34%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 113 212 147 141 941 816 644.5 746.5
Net income 1 76 82 44 99 744 565.5 413.5 578
Net margin 3.87% 4.23% 2.21% 3.38% 17.38% 19.21% 16.35% 21.19%
EPS 2 0.7200 0.7700 0.3900 0.8400 6.040 4.590 3.370 4.350
Free Cash Flow 1 573 512 647 253 99 784 684 977
FCF margin 29.19% 26.43% 32.51% 8.64% 2.31% 26.63% 27.04% 35.81%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 55.69% 53.61% 57.56% 18.7% 6.8% 57.57% 47.99% 66.87%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 753.95% 624.39% 1,470.45% 255.56% 13.31% 138.64% 165.42% 169.03%
Dividend per Share 2 1.855 1.985 2.120 2.255 2.390 2.515 2.653 2.710
Announcement Date 24/02/20 19/02/21 24/02/22 01/03/23 28/02/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 672 501 713 786 929 1,267 881 1,150 984 1,119 473.8 594.8 692 - -
EBITDA 1 294 348 319 383 303 401 327 410 313 279 327 381.2 383.9 357 361
EBIT 157 206 180 250 164 260 184 - - - - - - - -
Operating Margin 23.36% 41.12% 25.25% 31.81% 17.65% 20.52% 20.89% - - - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -61 152 108 - -174 - 111 355 106 128 166 215 158 - -
Net income 1 -78 112 80 - -106 - 87 274 97 205 120 157 114 - -
Net margin -11.61% 22.36% 11.22% - -11.41% - 9.88% 23.83% 9.86% 18.32% 25.33% 26.4% 16.47% - -
EPS -0.6700 0.9600 0.5900 0.2000 -0.9100 2.380 0.6800 - 0.7400 - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.5475 0.5475 0.5475 0.5800 0.5800 0.5800 0.5800 0.6150 0.6150 0.6150 0.6188 0.6417 0.6540 - -
Announcement Date 24/02/22 02/05/22 02/08/22 31/10/22 01/03/23 01/05/23 02/08/23 01/11/23 28/02/24 01/05/24 - - - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 3,270 3,328 3,110 3,565 3,433 5,366 5,111 4,863
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.178 x 3.485 x 2.767 x 2.635 x 2.359 x 3.94 x 3.586 x 3.329 x
Free Cash Flow 1 573 512 647 253 99 784 684 977
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 4.12% 4.29% 7.7% 16% 17.7% 15.4% 10.7% 10.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 29.20 27.50 24.50 21.00 27.10 27.00 27.80 29.70
Cash Flow per Share 2 6.240 5.560 6.800 6.490 8.950 7.430 6.640 7.190
Capex 1 635 306 622 682 723 1,418 565 403
Capex / Sales 32.35% 15.8% 31.26% 23.28% 16.88% 48.15% 22.35% 14.78%
Announcement Date 24/02/20 19/02/21 24/02/22 01/03/23 28/02/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
41.15 CAD
Average target price
41.82 CAD
Spread / Average Target
+1.62%
Consensus
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