Projected Income Statement: Bellway p.l.c.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Bellway p.l.c.

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -330 -245 -232 10.5 -41.8 30.9 -31.7 -108
Change - 25.76% 5.31% 104.53% -498.1% 173.92% -202.59% -240.69%
Announcement Date 19/10/21 18/10/22 17/10/23 15/10/24 14/10/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Bellway p.l.c.

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3.3 0.5 2.7 1.4 11.9 4.3 4.3 4.592
Change - -84.85% 440% -48.15% 750% -63.87% 0% 6.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 429.2 114.1 233.5 -66.9 210.1 103.4 211.1 236.6
Change - -73.42% 104.65% -128.65% 414.05% -50.79% 104.13% 12.07%
Announcement Date 19/10/21 18/10/22 17/10/23 15/10/24 14/10/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Bellway p.l.c.

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.23% 18.64% 16.14% 10.22% 11.1% 10.71% 11.31% 12.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.02% 18.47% 15.97% 10% 10.91% 10.6% 11.09% 12.02%
EBT Margin (%) 15.34% 8.74% 14.18% 7.72% 7.97% 9.66% 10.07% 10.79%
Net margin (%) 12.51% 6.86% 10.71% 5.48% 5.66% 6.87% 7.08% 7.74%
FCF margin (%) 13.75% 3.23% 6.85% -2.81% 7.55% 3.37% 6.63% 7.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 109.85% 47.03% 63.97% -51.26% 133.4% 49.11% 93.66% 91.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.92% 10.73% 7.96% 3.18% 3.09% 3.97% 4.57% 5.2%
ROE 12.44% 15.4% 11.7% 4.7% 6% 6.1% 6.51% 7.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 0.04x - 0.09x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - -0.16x - 0.3x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.11% 0.01% 0.08% 0.06% 0.43% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.61% 0.08% 0.49% 0.58% 3.85% 1.31% 1.19% 1.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 0.77% 0.44% 1.16% -2.09% 5.66% 4.16% 2.04% 1.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.496 0.9269 1.917 -0.5473 1.857 1.95 3.119 2.175
Change - -73.49% 106.86% -128.55% 439.34% 4.98% 59.96% -30.27%
Dividend per Share 1 1.175 1.4 1.4 0.54 0.7 0.7502 0.839 0.9894
Change - 19.15% 0% -61.43% 29.63% 7.17% 11.83% 17.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 26.64 27.27 28.71 29.13 29.89 31.01 32.56 33.63
Change - 2.36% 5.28% 1.46% 2.61% 3.75% 5.01% 3.28%
EPS 1 3.158 1.962 2.963 1.09 1.318 1.793 2.026 2.363
Change - -37.87% 51.02% -63.21% 20.92% 36.03% 12.99% 16.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 123,366 123,152 120,231 118,654 118,989 115,000 115,000 115,000
Announcement Date 19/10/21 18/10/22 17/10/23 15/10/24 14/10/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.5x 9.32x
PBR 0.61x 0.58x
EV / Sales 0.72x 0.67x
Yield 3.97% 4.44%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
18.89GBP
Average target price
28.05GBP
Spread / Average Target
+48.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BWY Stock
  4. Financials Bellway p.l.c.