Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Oman Activities UpdateAlara Resources Limited (ASX: AUQ) (Alara or Company) provides updates on the recent Oman Minerals and Mining Conference held in Muscat, and also the Al Hadeetha feasibility study findings previously announced.
Oman Minerals & Mining Conference & ExhibitionOman Minerals & Mining Conference & Exhibition was held in Muscat last week. The conference was held in partnership with Sultanate of Oman Public Authority for Mining and was directed toward leveraging the increasing demand for minerals, discussing and addressing topics and issues relevant to the expansion of the industry, and attracting investment.
Alara's CEO, Mr Justin Richard, delivered a presentation on Alara's project investments, including the Al Hadeetha Copper Gold Project in Oman, the potential to reignite the Sultanates' 4000+ year history of copper mining, and re-establish the mining sector as a pillar of the Omani economy (see Annexure A).
Above: Alara's CEO, Mr Justin Richard presents to the Oman Minerals & Mining Conference in Muscat.
The "Project Opportunities" session was chaired by a representative of Mining Development Oman, and also included presentations from Gulf Mining Group (Gold Sponsor), Savannah Resources, Kunooz Oman Holding (Main Sponsor) and Oman Mining Company other presentation was followed by other Mining Investment Middle East & Central Asia Conference in Muscat. The session was very
well attended and followed by an enthusiastic question answer session which revealed a keen interest in copper.
Alara board members Atmavireshwar Sthapak and Vikas Jain also attended the conference and meetings with key figures, including H.E. Eng. Hilal Al Busaidi, Chief Executive Officer, Public Authority for Mining, who was a guest of honour at an Indian Embassy function the same week.
Feasibility Study Update
Further to the Al Hadeetha feasibility study findings previously announced1, this update takes account of 1) the new mining schedule prepared following the last mineral resource upgrade2, 2) the maiden ore reserve statement3, and 3) copper price forecast trends.
Key Financials
Base Case financial modelling on the Feasibility study for the Al Hadeetha Copper Gold Project ("the Project") indicate robust returns as follows:
Forecast Revenue US$ 452 million over 10.4 years.
Forecast EBITDA over the same period US$ 159 million
Pre-Start Capital Expenditure of US$ 49.74 million
- FCFF - Free Cash flow available in 10.4 years US$ 96 million
- Project NPV of US$ 39 million
Forecast IRR over the same period 26%
Resource Base
The Project findings are underpinned by Mineral Inventory, comprising in-pit JORC Probable Reserves which account for 96.5% of the in pit Resource. An additional 3.5% of Inferred Resources that is mined during the process of accessing the Reserves has been included for financial projections, but does not have a material impact on the value of the Project.
A summary of the In-Pit Mineral Reserves and Resources are given in Table 14.1 below.
1 Refer Alara's ASX Announcement dated 31 March 2016.
2 Refer Alara's ASX Announcement dated 19 September 2016.
3 Refer Alara's ASX Announcement dated 15 December 2016.
Table 14.1 In Pit Mineral Inventory
In Pit Resources JORC 2012 Category | Tonnes millions | Cu % | Au g/t |
Probable Reserves | 9.70 | 0.88 | 0.22 |
Inferred Resource | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.22 |
Total | 10.05 | 0.87 | 0.22 |
Project Fundamentals
The Al Hadeetha Project study has concluded a technically feasible and financially robust mining operation. The process plant is designed to process 1,000,000 tonnes of copper and gold bearing mineralised material per annum. A 12-month construction and a-month ramp up period is envisaged to reach full capacity. Project life is anticipated to be 10.4 years. Key Project parameters
are summarised in Table 14.2 below.
Table 14.2: Key Parameters
DFS Fundamentals | |
Pre-production Capex | $49.74 million |
Mining method | Open pit, 10.4 years |
Project construction | 1 year |
First production | Q4 CY 2017 |
Final production | 2028 |
Processing rate | 1 Mtpa |
Average annual concentrate production | 35,000 (wmt) |
Total Tonnes Copper metal production | 79,297(t) |
Total Gold ounces | 21,825 ounces |
Unit Operating Costs ($US/ t of processed material) | $26.95/ tonne of processed material |
Cash Cost | US$3,428.25 per tonne of Copper or US$1.56/lb of Copper |
Financial Modelling Assumptions
The assumptions used for financial modelling produce a:
Base Case; Market Case; and High Case.
The variable parameters used in each case are Copper prices. The gold price is fixed at $1,200/oz for all three cases.
Table 14.3 Variable copper prices used for Base Case, Market Case and High Case
Case Scenario | Cu US$/t | Au US$/oz | |
Base Case | World Bank forecast copper metal price (nominal) for 2019 fixed for Life of Mine. This is below current copper price. | 5,593 for Life of Mine | $1,200/ oz |
Market Case | Economist Intelligence Unit forecast price for Copper until 2019 and thereafter flat. | Minimum 5,907 and maximum 6,171 | $1,200/ oz |
High Case | Higher of Economist Intelligence Unit and World Bank Copper price forecast until 2025, thereafter flat for remaining Project life | Minimum 5,593 and maximum 7,000 | $1,200/ oz |
A summary of financial returns for each of the above three cases is summarised below.
Table 14.4 Financial Summary of Base Case, Market Case and High Case.
Case Scenario | Total Revenue US$ millions | Total Opex US$ millions | EBITDA US$ millions | NPV* US$ millions | IRR |
Base Case | 452 | 271 | 159 | 39 | 26% |
Market Case | 479 | 271 | 186 | 55 | 33% |
High Case | 521 | 271 | 228 | 73 | 37% |
*NPV is based on a discount rate of 8.92% |
The relative NPV between the Base Case, Market and the High Case (varying from US$ 39 million to US$ 73 million) show the Project may do much better than predicated if referenced copper price forecasts are the underlying supply deficits are realised.
Alara Resources Limited published this content on 24 January 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 January 2017 02:15:05 UTC.
Original documenthttp://www.alararesources.com/irm/PDF/2336_0/OmanActivitiesUpdate
Public permalinkhttp://www.publicnow.com/view/1EDF52E9717C7E1D22109740357B1151ACBD262B