AGL ENERGY LIMITED |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 10.72 AUD | +0.19% |
|
+2.49% | +13.08% |
| 06-14 | AGL Energy to Shift Focus from Renewables to Hydro, Gas, Batteries | MT |
| 06-11 | AGL Energy Signs Partnership, Investment Deal with Kaluza Under Retail Transformation Program | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 13,123 | 10,625 | 5,109 | 5,550 | 7,272 | 7,212 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 15,723 | 13,348 | 8,106 | 8,212 | 9,983 | 9,601 | 9,642 | 9,656 |
| P/E ratio | 14.5 x | 10.8 x | -2.48 x | 6.28 x | -5.75 x | 7.5 x | 11.2 x | 11.4 x |
| Yield | 5.95% | 5.75% | 9.15% | 3.15% | 2.87% | 5.41% | 4.92% | 4.9% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.99 x | 0.87 x | 0.47 x | 0.42 x | 0.51 x | 0.54 x | 0.54 x | 0.55 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.19 x | 1.1 x | 0.74 x | 0.62 x | 0.71 x | 0.72 x | 0.73 x | 0.74 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.88 x | 6.45 x | 4.87 x | 6.74 x | 7.34 x | 4.44 x | 4.95 x | 5.05 x |
| EV / FCF | 23.8 x | 9.55 x | 14.9 x | 14.1 x | 35.3 x | 15.5 x | 75.3 x | 32.8 x |
| FCF Yield | 4.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.07% | 2.83% | 6.45% | 1.33% | 3.05% |
| Price to Book | 1.56 x | 1.32 x | 0.93 x | 0.85 x | 1.42 x | 1.27 x | 1.22 x | 1.18 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 655,825 | 623,138 | 623,034 | 672,747 | 672,747 | 672,747 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 20.01 | 17.05 | 8.200 | 8.250 | 10.81 | 10.72 | 10.72 | 10.72 |
| Announcement Date | 07/08/19 | 12/08/20 | 11/08/21 | 18/08/22 | 09/08/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 13,246 | 12,160 | 10,942 | 13,221 | 14,157 | 13,427 | 13,297 | 12,997 |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,285 | 2,070 | 1,666 | 1,218 | 1,361 | 2,164 | 1,947 | 1,914 |
| EBIT 1 | 1,660 | 1,317 | 959 | 501 | 633 | 1,419 | 1,148 | 1,097 |
| Operating Margin | 12.53% | 10.83% | 8.76% | 3.79% | 4.47% | 10.56% | 8.63% | 8.44% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,279 | 1,425 | -2,657 | 1,182 | -1,839 | 1,104 | 845.2 | 834.3 |
| Net income 1 | 905 | 1,015 | -2,058 | 860 | -1,264 | 962.9 | 641.2 | 627 |
| Net margin | 6.83% | 8.35% | -18.81% | 6.5% | -8.93% | 7.17% | 4.82% | 4.82% |
| EPS 2 | 1.380 | 1.582 | -3.303 | 1.313 | -1.879 | 1.429 | 0.9552 | 0.9422 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 660 | 1,398 | 543 | 581 | 283 | 619.4 | 128.1 | 294.1 |
| FCF margin | 4.98% | 11.5% | 4.96% | 4.39% | 2% | 4.61% | 0.96% | 2.26% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 28.88% | 67.54% | 32.59% | 47.7% | 20.79% | 28.63% | 6.58% | 15.37% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 72.93% | 137.73% | - | 67.56% | - | 64.33% | 19.98% | 46.91% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.190 | 0.9800 | 0.7500 | 0.2600 | 0.3100 | 0.5800 | 0.5278 | 0.5248 |
| Announcement Date | 07/08/19 | 12/08/20 | 11/08/21 | 18/08/22 | 09/08/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 S2 | 2024 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,312 | 5,848 | 5,414 | 5,528 | 5,713 | - | 7,808 | 6,349 | 6,155 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,068 | - | - | 740 | 723 | 495 | 604 | 757 | 1,098 |
| EBIT 1 | 693 | - | - | 423 | 378 | 123 | 235 | 398 | 711 |
| Operating Margin | 10.98% | - | - | 7.65% | 6.62% | - | 3.01% | 6.27% | 11.55% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,545 | -294 | 560 |
| Net income 1 | - | - | - | - | 555 | - | -1,075 | -189 | 394 |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | 9.71% | - | -13.77% | -2.98% | 6.4% |
| EPS 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.598 | -0.2810 | 0.6280 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.4700 | - | - | 0.3400 | 0.1600 | - | 0.0800 | 0.2300 | 0.3500 |
| Announcement Date | 12/02/20 | 12/08/20 | 10/02/21 | 11/08/21 | 09/02/22 | 18/08/22 | 08/02/23 | 09/08/23 | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,600 | 2,723 | 2,997 | 2,662 | 2,711 | 2,390 | 2,430 | 2,444 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.138 x | 1.315 x | 1.799 x | 2.186 x | 1.992 x | 1.104 x | 1.248 x | 1.277 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 660 | 1,398 | 543 | 581 | 283 | 619 | 128 | 294 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 12.5% | 10% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 9.54% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 7.06% | 5.53% | 3.57% | 1.3% | 1.63% | 5.18% | 4.28% | 3.88% |
| Assets 1 | 12,815 | 18,366 | -57,595 | 66,353 | -77,613 | 18,587 | 14,977 | 16,175 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 12.90 | 13.00 | 8.830 | 9.690 | 7.610 | 8.440 | 8.780 | 9.120 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 2.440 | 3.360 | 2.000 | 1.870 | 1.350 | 2.370 | 2.240 | 2.010 |
| Capex 1 | 939 | 758 | 707 | 646 | 629 | 901 | 1,184 | 957 |
| Capex / Sales | 7.09% | 6.23% | 6.46% | 4.89% | 4.44% | 6.71% | 8.91% | 7.37% |
| Announcement Date | 07/08/19 | 12/08/20 | 11/08/21 | 18/08/22 | 09/08/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
10.7
AUD
Average target price
11.42
AUD
Spread / Average Target
+6.71%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +13.08% | 4.79B | |
| -16.29% | 88.16B | |
| +38.10% | 67.21B | |
| -16.64% | 53.86B | |
| -.--% | 51.55B | |
| +1.69% | 48.17B | |
| +19.64% | 36.41B | |
| -16.10% | 35.29B | |
| +1.77% | 34.85B | |
| -21.18% | 26.39B |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- AGL Stock
- Financials AGL Energy Limited
