The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the Company's audited financial statements and the notes thereto.





Forward-Looking Statements


This quarterly report contains forward-looking statements and information relating to the Company that are based on the beliefs of its management as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, its management. When used in this report, the words "believe," "anticipate," "expect," "estimate," "intend", "plan" and similar expressions, as they relate to the Company or its management, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management's current view of the Company concerning future events and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including among many others: a general economic downturn; a downturn in the securities markets; federal or state laws or regulations having an adverse effect on proposed transactions that the Company desires to effect; Securities and Exchange Commission regulations which affect trading in the securities of "penny stocks"; and other risks and uncertainties. Should any of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this report as anticipated, estimated or expected. The accompanying information contained in this registration statement, including, without limitation, the information set forth under the heading "Management's Discussion and Analysis and Plan of Operation - Risk Factors" identifies important additional factors that could materially adversely affect actual results and performance. You are urged to carefully consider these factors. All forward-looking statements attributable to the Company are expressly qualified in their entirety by the foregoing cautionary statement.





Business Overview


Blue Biofuels, Inc (the "Company") is a technology company focused on emerging technologies in renewable energy, biofuels, and lignin.

In early 2018, the Company's Chief Executive Officer ("CEO") Ben Slager invented a new technology system referred to as Cellulose-to-Sugar or CTS, and the Company filed a patent application for this technology. The CTS patent was awarded in 2021 in the United States (US10994255) and also in El Salvador. The Company also filed an application for this patent in other major jurisdictions of the world including the European Patent Organization, Australia, Brazil, China, Japan, the African Regional Intellectual Property Organization, and the Russian Federation. The patent applications are currently pending in all of these international jurisdictions. In addition to this patent, the Company has two filed patents pending and one provisional patent application for a total of three additional patents that are currently in process. These patents broaden the scope and protection of the CTS technology. The CTS process and related patent and patent applications represent the results of our continued development of the CTS process towards commercialization.

Mr. Slager has since further developed the system with the technical staff of the Company. The patented CTS process is a continuous mechanical/chemical dry process for converting cellulose material into sugar and lignin, as compared to the prior batch process that the Company previously licensed. The CTS process creates molecular contact between two reactive solid components instead of other systems where the reaction takes place between two liquid or gas components in a batch process. The reactants are (1) the feedstock, which is broken down into its components being sugars and lignin; (2) a catalyst, which is cost effective and abundantly available in the market from regular suppliers; it is separated from reactor components and reused. The CTS mechanical/chemical process allows for exact process control to ensure that all the material passing through it does so on the optimum reaction parameters through which optimal efficiency is achieved.

CTS is different from other commercial processes that are used to convert cellulose into sugar. Other processes use enzymatic batch reactors that take weeks to convert cellulose to sugars. CTS can convert any cellulosic material - including grasses and agricultural waste - into sugars in less than a minute. The sugars are subsequently processed into biofuels using off-the-shelf technologies. CTS is environmentally friendly in that it recycles the water and catalyst, and has a near zero carbon footprint in that the amount of added atmospheric carbon created by burning the biofuels produced by CTS is reabsorbed by the plant-based feedstock used in the CTS system in the next harvest.

At a commercial scale, our management expects to be able to produce ethanol at a lower cost per gallon than existing commercial corn or cellulosic ethanol producers due to the fact that the CTS process is uncomplicated and efficient, and is expected to use low-cost feedstocks and have high value by-products. We believe a significant difference between CTS and corn ethanol is the wide range of abundantly available feedstocks that CTS can process compared to corn. The CTS feedstocks are not food and have much lower costs than corn. In addition, while in corn ethanol only the corn kernels are used, CTS uses the whole plant or its waste products, meaning it could obtain higher yields per acre. Estimated yields for corn are about 400-600 gallons of ethanol per acre per year and for king grass in conjunction with our CTS process it could be up to 3000-3500 gallons per acre per year. The Company also expects to potentially receive a highly valued D3 RIN for each gallon of ethanol it produces.





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The then new CTS technology made it worthwhile to financially restructure the Company through Chapter 11 in 2018. The Company voluntarily filed for Chapter 11 on October 22, 2018, in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in the Southern District of Florida. The Company exited Chapter 11 on September 18, 2019, while keeping all classes, including shareholders, unimpaired. The bankruptcy case was closed on October 25, 2019.

The Company has built several prototypes of the CTS system to further develop the process. The Company finalized its parameter optimization when it was able to convert 99% of the cellulosic material into soluble sugars suitable for further processing into cellulosic ethanol. In 2022, the Company partnered with K.R. Komarek to build its CTS machines going forward. Komarek is an industry leading manufacturing company that builds briquetting machines and compaction/granulation systems with throughput capacities up to 50 tons per hour. The Company has begun successful testing on Komarek machines at a throughput processing rate of 2.5 tons per day, and anticipates having early volume testing completed in Q1 2023.

The Company expects to engage an engineering firm to design a semi-commercial scale pilot plant that integrates a larger CTS system into the pre-processing and post-processing elements of the plant. It is anticipated that the pilot plant will have the capacity to produce sugar at a rate sufficient to make around 500,000 - 1,000,000 gallons of ethanol per year. The goal of the pilot plant is to show successful volume production and scalability, and to provide operating cost estimates of a full commercial volume system.

The CTS system converts plant-based feedstock into two product streams, soluble sugars and lignin, each of which can be converted into multiple products as follows: (1) sugars can be further processed into cellulosic ethanol and other biofuels like jet fuel, and potentially into bio chemicals; and (2) Lignin can be used in ion exchange resins, specialty chemicals, or to create bioplastics. Lignin can also be burned as a renewable fuel.





Plan of Operation


The Company expects to have the CTS pilot plant built and functioning in the second half of 2023. The plan is to run sufficient testing to prove the viability of producing a commercial size CTS system. However, commencing commercial production will require project financing of a full-scale CTS commercial system. The project financing will either be for bolting on our CTS system into an existing ethanol facility of a future potential joint venture partner, for acquiring an ethanol facility and converting that to cellulosic ethanol production using our CTS system, or for setting up a production facility for converting ethanol into jet fuel using the Vertimass Process.

The Company has licensed the Vertimass Process to convert ethanol (from the CTS process) into sustainable aviation fuel. There is no up-front or annual fee until we are converting ethanol into SAF. The license agreement with Vertimass is the subject of a confidentiality agreement between the parties. Since we are not yet producing ethanol on a commercial scale, it is too preliminary to discuss details.

The Company's strategy is to diversify its product portfolio to include a number of product lines. These potentially include (1) biofuels - such as ethanol, or converting ethanol into higher biofuels like sustainable aviation fuel and the like; (2) selling sulfur-free lignin to ion exchange resin producers; (3) making specialty chemicals from lignin; and, (4) potentially making nanocellulose. We believe these, and other markets, could potentially provide for highly profitable products.

Management believes that retrofitting existing plants with the CTS technology may achieve more rapid commercialization than building new plants. After its first plant is profitable, the Company intends to grow with additional plants in the United States and explore international growth by either licensing the technology or forming joint ventures with foreign domestic partners to build plants.

The ethanol industry is competitive with over 200 ethanol plants in the United States alone. Currently, the vast majority use corn as the feedstock. Their profitability depends highly on the fluctuations between the price of corn and the price of ethanol. Since the Company does not plan to use corn, and plans on having long-term purchase agreements with cellulosic suppliers, we expect that our profitability will potentially be more consistent.





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Any new biofuels plant that is built would require various government permits. In particular, renewable fuels are subject to rigorous testing and premarket approval requirements by the EPA's Office of Transportation and Air Quality and regulatory authorities in other countries. In the U.S., various federal, and, in some cases, state statutes and regulations also govern or impact the manufacturing, safety, storage and use of renewable fuels. The process of seeking required approvals and the continuing need for compliance with applicable statutes and regulations requires the expenditure of resources. The Company anticipates raising the necessary capital for this as a part of its project-based financing.

The Energy Policy Act of 2005, which included the Renewable Fuel Standard Program enforced by the US Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA"), mandates a certain amount of renewable fuel be blended into the transportation fuel used by all vehicles in the country. This Program provides monetary incentives to companies that produce renewable transportation fuel, and establishes Renewable Identification Numbers ("RINs") or credits for each gallon of renewable transportation fuel produced in the United States, and breaks down those fuels into different D-codes depending on the source of the renewable fuel. D3 is the code for renewable ethanol that comes from cellulosic materials. The EPA's mandate for cellulosic ethanol is for 770 million gallons for 2022 (the D3 mandate). This mandate has increased every year and is statutorily mandated to increase in the future and become a larger portion of the full renewable fuels mandate, if and when cellulosic biofuels can be produced profitably in larger quantities than they are now. The RFS mandate for 2022 calls for 20.77 billion gallons of total renewable fuel, 15 billion from conventional biofuels (corn ethanol) and 5.77 billion from advanced biofuels, including cellulosic biofuels. The "blend wall" (or upper limit to the amount of ethanol that can be blended into U.S. gasoline and automobile performance and comply with the Clean Air Act) of limiting ethanol content in gasoline to 10%, limits the total amount of ethanol consumed in the United States. Recent proposals may make 15% blending available year around. Converting our cellulosic ethanol to sustainable aviation fuel avoids the blend wall. The value of the D3 RIN fluctuates, but as of this filing, it is approximately $2.19 per gallon of ethanol. To profit from these incentives, the Company plans to apply for these D3 RIN credits as it brings its first plant into commercial operation.

The Company believes that its management and consultants have significant experience in the development of technologies from concept to commercialization. As of this date, the Company has generated $194,319 in revenue, however it has not generated any revenues from its core business.





Capital Formation


From January 1, 2022, through the date of filing, the Company issued an aggregate of 778,028 shares of its common stock for services valued at $131,300.

On April 29, 2022, the Company commenced a new offering of shares of its common stock valued at $0.15 per share. The Company sold an aggregate of 6,099,998 shares of its common stock for capital of $915,000. This offering was closed on October 3, 2022.

On October 21, 2022, the Company commended another offering of shares of its common stock valued at $0.15 per share. Through the date of filing, the Company has sold an aggregate of 1,036,666 shares of its common stock for capital of $155,500.

From January 1, 2022, through the date of filing, the Company issued unvested options to its managers and employees to purchase 2,000,000 shares of its common stock for a period between five and ten years at the exercise price of 17 cents per share. Using a Black-Scholes asset-pricing model, these agreements were valued at $319,327. None of those have vested, but 12,185,000 other options have vested, with a valuation of $1,526,305.

From January 1, 2022, through the date of filing, the Company issued unvested warrants to purchase 2,000,000 shares of its common stock for a period of 5 years at an exercise price of 18 cents per share. Using a Black-Scholes asset-pricing model, these were valued at $291,768.

From January 1, 2022, through the date of filing, 2,604,466 options expired and 837,500 warrants expired.

From January 1, 2022, through the date of filing, 350,000 previously issued options were exercised for proceeds of $15,900.





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Going Concern


The Company has incurred losses since inception, has a working capital deficiency, and may be unable to raise further capital. At September 30, 2022, the Company had a working capital deficit of $7,267 and had incurred accumulated losses of $52,206,443 since its inception. The Company expects to incur significant additional losses in connection with its continued start-up activities. As a result, there is substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern based upon recurring operating losses and its need to obtain additional financing to sustain operations. The Company's ability to continue as a going concern is dependent upon its ability to obtain the necessary financing to meet its obligations and repay its liabilities when they become due and to generate sufficient revenues from its operations to pay its operating expenses.





Results of Operations



Comparison of the three and nine month period ended September 30, 2022 (unaudited) to September 30, 2021

For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, the Company recognized $0 in revenue as opposed to $0 in 2021.

For the three months ended September 30, 2022, the Company's general and administrative expenses decreased by $37,454 to $178,512 from $215,966 in 2021. This decrease is primarily the result of a $119,600 employee retention credit issued by the government in 2022.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the Company's general and administrative expenses increased by $407,469 to $1,223,083 from $815,614 in 2021. This increase is primarily the result of a $495,532 increase in equity-based compensation to $506,975 from $11,443 in 2021.

Interest expense increased in the quarter ended September 30, 2022 by $27,715 to $36,024 from $8,309 in 2021. Interest expense increased in the nine months ended September 30, 2022 by $25,303 to $51,069 from $25,766 in 2021. The increase is primarily related to the renewal of a lease in Q3 2022 that led to a calculatory interest of $31,631 in Q3 2022.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2022 the Company recorded non-cash impairments of assets of $40,099, as compared to $33,484 in 2021. This was the result of disposing and/or selling of laboratory assets no longer in use in each year.

Research and development (R&D) costs for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 were $404,157, an increase of $174,234 from $229,923 in 2021. The increase in R&D expenses is primarily the result of an increase in payroll of $52,933 from the hiring of additional personnel, and $99,478 in equity-based compensation from $0 in 2021 due to the vesting of options in 2022.

Research and development (R&D) costs for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 were $2,070,789, an increase of $1,326,006 from $744,783 in 2021. The increase in R&D expenses is primarily the result of an increase in payroll of $211,681 from the hiring of additional personnel, and $1,019,330 in equity-based compensation from $0 in 2021 due to the vesting of options in 2022.

Liquidity and Capital Resources





Liquidity


As of September 30, 2022, the Company had $505,010 in cash, and total stockholders' equity on September 30, 2022, was negative $2,101,964. As of December 31, 2021, the Company had $1,164,664 in cash, and total stockholders' equity at December 31, 2021, was negative $1,396,046. Total debt, including advances, accounts payable and other notes payable at September 30, 2022, together with interest payable thereon and contingent liabilities, was $3,447,886 an increase of $213,593 from December 31, 2021, where it stood at $3,234,293. This increase is attributable to the increases in deferred wages due to management. $1,820,630 of those liabilities has been renegotiated to be payable out of future revenue and $917,502 out of future profits and otherwise does not come due.





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During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the Company's net cash used in operating activities decreased by $437,073 to $1,586,253 from $2,023,326 in the nine months ending September 30, 2021. This decrease can primarily be attributed to an increase in accounts payable of $62,998 in 2022, versus a reduction in accounts payable of $529,335 in 2021 mostly attributed to paying off back-pay due.

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the Company's investing activities used $104,301 in cash. This can be primarily attributed to capitalizing $42,501 in patent costs and $61,800 used to purchase machinery and equipment. During the nine months ended September 30, 2021, the Company's investing activities used $195,545. This is primarily due to the purchase of equipment of $178,803 and $16,742 in patent costs.

During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, the Company generated an aggregate of $1,030,900 through its financing activities, which is a decrease of $2,260,567 from $3,291,467 during the nine months ended September 30, 2021. This decrease from the prior year can primarily be attributed to raising $915,000, as compared to $1,975,750 raised from the sale of common stock through the Company's private offerings in 2021, and $15,900 versus $1,315,717 in proceeds from the exercise of warrants and options.





Capital Resources


At this time, the Company has limited liquidity and capital resources. To continue funding its operations, the Company will need to generate revenue or obtain additional financing for current and future operations. The Company anticipates needing around $10 million to build and test a semi-commercial scale pilot plant of its CTS system that is expected to prove the commercial viability of the technology. The Company anticipates reaching this stage by the end of 2023. There is no guarantee that we will achieve all of the additional funding that is needed.

As of the date of this filing, the Company has raised $1,086,400 in 2022, through the sale of stock and the exercise of options, in addition to $14,574,702 previously raised, in addition to capital raised through debt or convertible notes. However, there is no guarantee that the company will be able to raise any additional capital on terms acceptable to the Company.

The inability to obtain this funding either in the near term and/or longer term will materially affect the ability of the Company to implement its business plan of operations and jeopardize the viability of the Company. In that case, the Company may need to reevaluate and revise its operations.





Equity


As of September 30, 2022, shareholders' equity was negative $2,101,964.

There were 281,815,770 shares of common stock issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2022.

There were no preferred shares outstanding.

The Company has paid no dividends.





Critical Accounting Policies


Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

The Company does not have any off-balance sheet arrangements that have or are reasonably likely to have a current or future effect on its financial condition, changes in financial condition, revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.





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Seasonality



The Company's operating results are not affected by seasonality.





Inflation


The Company's business and operating results are not affected in any material way by inflation.





Contractual Obligations



As a "smaller reporting company" as defined by Item 10 of Regulation S-K, the Company is not required to provide this information.

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