A Progressive Montney Producer for the New
Energy Market
Investor Presentation
TSX: AAV 52-week trading | $1.67 to $8.37 |
Shares Outstanding (basic) | 191 million |
January 2022
Market Cap / EV ($ billions) | $1.4 / $1.6 |
Corporate Strategy - Surge in Profitability Creating Generational Opportunity
Maintain Strong
Foundations
Free Cash Beyond
Expectations Plus
Moderate Growth
- Reduce net debt/AFF towards zero
- Grow production ~10%/year
- Focus on top tier economics
- Progress:
Enhance Resilience
and Scale
- Net-zeroby 2025
- Liquids growth to balance gas weighting
- Midstream revenue
- Diversify into cleantech
- Net-zero"blue gas"
- Acquisitions creating efficiencies and scale
Notes: | 2 |
1. Forward-looking information. Refer to Advantage news release dated December 6, 2021 including Advisories for material assumptions and risk factors. | |
Corporate Strategy - Strength Across the Board
Financial Stability
Unprecedented profitability
Debt reduction ahead of expectations
Capital investment driving significant
AFF per share growth
Top Tier Asset Quality
120% PDP reserve replacement,
$8.41/boe F&D cost (2020)
Well payouts of 5 to 8 producing months
Infrastructure dominance facilitating acquisitions and midstream revenue
Evolving Competitively
Entropy Inc. -
Modular Carbon Capture and Storage
Advancing liquids development and
acquisitions
Technical enhancements delivering
superior performance
Foundations in Risk Management
20% to 50% commodity hedges
Diversified markets and low relative
commitments
Low abandonment liability and
responsible stewardship
Notes: | 3 |
1. Forward-looking information. Refer to Advantage news release dated December 6, 2021 including Advisories for material assumptions and risk factors. | |
2022 Capital Investment Thesis Generates Significant Revenue Growth (1)
$75 million
Sustaining
Capital
$170 - $200
million
Net Capital
Expenditures
v +
Acquisitions
~$80 million
Liquids-Focused Growth Capital
~$30 million
Cash-Generating
Infrastructure
Initiatives
Glacier focused program (9 wells), maintenance capital, corporate costs
Wembley, Valhalla & Progress
liquids drilling (13 wells), facility utilization optimized
Capture third-party revenue,
reduce cost structure, cleantech investments
Synergistic fit,
liquids weighting,
reduce concentration risk,
strengthen profitability
All-in Capital Efficiency
$11,800/boe/d
24% base decline rate
Production Growth
52,000-55,000 boe/d
Year End Net Debt
- Nil
FCF / Debt Repayment
≈ $185 million
Growing Processing
Revenue
≈ $9 million/year
Costs
Operating ≈ $2.45/boe
Royalty 7-9%
Notes: | 4 |
1. Forward-looking information. Refer to Advantage news release dated December 6, 2021 including Advisories for material assumptions and risk factors. | |
2022 Capital Program: Profit Margins at Generational Highs(1)
$400 | ||||||
$350 | US$4.00/mcf | • | Deleveraging | |||
• | Acquisitions | |||||
$300 | US$3.50/mcf | |||||
$250 | ||||||
million) | $200 | US$3.00/mcf | ||||
US$2.59/mcf | $30 | |||||
($ | $150 | |||||
US$2.36/mcf | $80 | |||||
$100 | ||||||
$50 | US$1.74/mcf | $75 | ||||
$- | Adjusted Funds Flow | Sustaining | Liquids-Focused | Cash-Generating | Free Cash Flow (1) | |
and NYMEX (2) | Growth | Infrastructure | ||||
Initiatives |
Notes:
1. Forward-looking information. Refer to Advantage news release dated December 6, 2021 including Advisories for material assumptions and risk factors.5
2. NYMEX price assumptions in US$/mcf. Other 2022 price assumptions include US$70/bbl WTI, US$1.35/mmbtu AECO/NYMEX Basis, 0.7880 FX and hedging.
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Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. published this content on 14 January 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 January 2022 21:34:06 UTC.