Financials Ninety One Group Johannesburg S.E.

Equities

NY1

ZAE000282356

Investment Management & Fund Operators

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E. 23:00:00 27/06/2024 BST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
38 ZAR -0.24% Intraday chart for Ninety One Group -1.63% -11.57%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 1,543 2,180 2,323 1,688 1,534 1,501 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,349 1,842 2,026 1,411 1,534 1,147 1,116 1,075
P/E ratio 10.3 x 14.1 x 11.4 x 10.2 x 9.33 x 9.95 x 9.59 x 8.89 x
Yield - 5.28% 5.73% 7.13% 7.2% 7.47% 7.62% 8.21%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.62 x 3.61 x 3.5 x 2.69 x 2.61 x 2.55 x 2.46 x 2.31 x
EV / Revenue 2.29 x 3.05 x 3.05 x 2.25 x 2.61 x 1.95 x 1.83 x 1.65 x
EV / EBITDA 7.01 x 8.27 x 8.26 x 6.36 x 7.67 x 5.95 x 5.65 x 4.74 x
EV / FCF 1.69 x - 3.1 x 19.2 x - 7.88 x 7.3 x 6.54 x
FCF Yield 59.3% - 32.2% 5.2% - 12.7% 13.7% 15.3%
Price to Book 10.6 x 8.7 x 6.88 x 4.89 x - 3.78 x 3.48 x 3.19 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 922,714 916,332 911,798 911,798 901,256 901,256 - -
Reference price 2 1.729 2.388 2.548 1.852 1.708 1.674 1.674 1.674
Announcement Date 20/05/20 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 05/06/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net sales 1 588 603.5 663.9 627.1 588.5 589.4 610.4 649.5
EBITDA 1 192.4 222.8 245.4 221.7 200.1 192.7 197.6 226.6
EBIT 1 189.9 206.2 230.4 206.9 190.5 179.3 188.2 208.3
Operating Margin 32.3% 34.17% 34.7% 32.99% 32.37% 30.43% 30.84% 32.07%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 198.5 204.1 267.1 212.6 216.8 202.7 209.7 227.1
Net income 1 155.4 154.4 205.3 163.8 163.9 150.6 156.5 169.2
Net margin 26.43% 25.58% 30.92% 26.12% 27.85% 25.55% 25.64% 26.06%
EPS 2 0.1680 0.1690 0.2240 0.1810 0.1830 0.1683 0.1746 0.1882
Free Cash Flow 1 800.2 - 653.2 73.4 - 145.6 152.9 164.4
FCF margin 136.09% - 98.39% 11.7% - 24.7% 25.05% 25.31%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 415.9% - 266.18% 33.11% - 75.56% 77.37% 72.54%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 514.93% - 318.17% 44.81% - 96.71% 97.68% 97.15%
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.1260 0.1460 0.1320 0.1230 0.1251 0.1275 0.1374
Announcement Date 20/05/20 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 05/06/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: March 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1
Net sales 1 211.7 297.3 314.7 328.4 335.5 323.8 303.3 299.6
EBITDA - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 95.8 96.2 110 115.6 114.8 107.9 99 97.9
Operating Margin 45.24% 32.36% 34.95% 35.2% 34.22% 33.32% 32.64% 32.68%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 135 - - - - - - -
Net income 1 83.1 72.5 81.9 101.4 103.9 84.7 79.1 79.3
Net margin 39.25% 24.39% 26.02% 30.88% 30.97% 26.16% 26.08% 26.47%
EPS - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.0590 0.0670 0.0690 0.0770 0.0650 0.0670 0.0590
Announcement Date 20/05/20 17/11/20 19/05/21 16/11/21 18/05/22 15/11/22 17/05/23 15/11/23
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 195 338 297 277 - 353 385 426
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 800 - 653 73.4 - 146 153 164
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 90.2% 76.5% 69% 47.4% - 36.9% 35.5% 34.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 1.9% 1.76% 1.9% - - 1.22% 1.29% 1.37%
Assets 1 8,196 8,778 10,793 - - 12,341 12,134 12,352
Book Value Per Share 2 0.1600 0.2700 0.3700 0.3800 - 0.4400 0.4800 0.5300
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.8800 0.5000 0.7100 0.0800 - 0.2200 0.2200 -
Capex 1 - - 1.4 1.2 - 11.8 12.4 13.1
Capex / Sales - - 0.21% 0.19% - 2% 2.03% 2.02%
Announcement Date 20/05/20 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 05/06/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
1.674 GBP
Average target price
1.771 GBP
Spread / Average Target
+5.82%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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