ARROW
EXPLORATION
Growing & Socially-Responsible
Colombia-Focused Energy
Company
AIM|TSXV : AXL
June 2024
Corporate Presentation
Unless stated otherwise, all dollar figures refer to US dollars | ARROW EXPLORATION CORP. (TSXV | AIM : AXL) |
Disclaimer
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
The content of information contained in this presentation (the "Presentation") has not been approved by an authorised person within the meaning of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 ("FSMA"). Reliance upon this Presentation for the purpose of engaging in any investment activity may expose an individual to a significant risk of losing all of the property or other assets invested. If any person is in any doubt as to the contents of this Presentation, they should seek independent advice from a person who is authorised for the purposes of FSMA and who specialises in advising in investments of this kind.
The information contained in this Presentation has been prepared by the Company as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to updating, completion, revision, further verification and amendment without notice. No third party has independently verified any of the information contained in this Presentation.
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PAGE 1
Arrow Exploration
Growing & Socially-ResponsibleColombia-Focused Energy Company
2 | Production | 11.9 | $280 |
million | |||
3,600+ | Mmboe 2P | ||
opportunity rich | boe/d | Corporate | 2P Corporate |
Columbian | |||
basins | reserves - Year | reserves - YE | |
End 2023 | 2023 | ||
Seasoned | Pursuing | 15 | ||
Committed | Compelling | executive | ||
accretive | ||||
to ESG | valuation | team and | ||
acquisitions | ||||
Board | Wells In 2024 | |||
1. | Un-risked potential production based on internal management estimates as of February 2022 | PAGE 2 |
Corporate Snapshot
Analyst Coverage Share Ownership
Institutional 33.4%
Meridian | 21.0% |
Retail 19.6%
High Net Worth 18.8%
Management 7.2%
Firm | Analyst Name |
Auctus Advisors | Stephane Foucaud |
Canaccord Genuity | Charlie Sharp |
Limited | |
Haywood Securities | Christopher Jones |
Zeus Capital | Daniel Slater |
Market at March 31, 2024 | |||
$84M USD($114M | $11.5M USD | ||
CAD) | |||
Market Cap | Cash in Bank | ||
Assets | |||
3,600+ BOE/D | 11.9 MBOE | ||
Production | 2P Reserves at Dec 31, 2023 | ||
Valuation | |||
1.9X | $19,102 | ||
Price/2023E Cash Flow | Ent. Value2/BOE 2023 Q3 Production |
286M
Shares O/S (303M fully-diluted)
$56/bbl USD
Q1 2024 Oil Netbacks
$4.15
Ent. Value1/BOE 2P Reserves
- Enterprise Value = Market Cap plus Debt minus Cash
- Boury GEC December 31st, 2022 Reserve Report. Arrow's 50% interest in the Tapir block is contingent on the assignment by Ecopetrol of such interest to Arrow.
PAGE 3
Share Price vs Production | |||||||||||||||
4000 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||
3500 | 3600 | 0.25 | |||||||||||||
3000 | |||||||||||||||
2500 | 2730 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||
2518 | |||||||||||||||
2000 | 2335 | 0.15 | |||||||||||||
2169 | |||||||||||||||
1500 | 1736 | 1635 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||
1503 | |||||||||||||||
1000 | |||||||||||||||
1144 | |||||||||||||||
980 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||
500 | 575 | 712 | |||||||||||||
0.135 | 0.1575 | 0.165 | 0.185 | 0.1625 | 0.21 | 0.1975 | 0.1825 | 0.22 | 0.26 | ||||||
0 | 0.0625 | 0.07 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Oct-21 | Dec-21 | Q1 2022 | Q2 2022 | Q3 2022 | Q4 2022 | Q1 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q3 2023 | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024 | Jun-24 | ||||
Share Price (LSE) | Production (boe/d) | ||||||||||||||
Financial Data* As at Jan 1, 2024 | Arrow Exploration | Mean UK Selected Peers | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/Revenue | 0.4x | 1.0x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/EBITDA | 0.6x | 1.5x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/EBITDA | 1.4x | 2.0x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/DACF | 1.2x | 2.3x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/Production | $16,300 | $19,600 | |||||||||||||
FY24 P/E | 1.9x | 4.5x | |||||||||||||
As at Jan 1, 2024 | Arrow Exploration | Mean LATAM Selected Peers | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/Revenue | 0.4x | 1.1x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/EBITDA | 0.6x | 1.8x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/EBITDA | 1.7x | 2.4x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/DACF | 1.2x | 2.5x | |||||||||||||
FY24 EV/Production | $16,300 | $24,500 | |||||||||||||
FY24 P/E | 1.9x | 3.4x |
* per Canaccord Genuity & Auctus Advisors | PAGE 4 |
2024 Board Approved Budget
Funded through cash balance and operations cash flow. No external funding sources required.
2024 - 15 well drilling program.
- CN development focus
- Low Risk Exploration at Mateguafa, Baquiano, Carrizales Norte
2024 - $44 million capital est. | Infrastructure |
- Budget funds targeting Tapir
- $34mm allocated to drilling
- Four Hz wells planned with additional Hz wells on success at Carrizales Norte
- 2024 Pad upgrades at Mateguafa and new pad and road for Baquiano
- 2024 Carrizales Norte HZ well pad (CN B)
- Water disposal well
- Testing Baquiano and Mateguafa Prospects
- Expanding Carrizales Norte
- Expected to Be Driven By Multiple Near-Term Catalysts
Dec 2023 | 2024 | |||||||||
CN B | CN A/B | Mateguafa | Civil Work | |||||||
RCE - 7 | RCE - 8 | Oso | Oso | CN A | RCE Water | Baquiano | Prep for | |||
Pardo 3 | Pardo 4 | Pad Dev | Disposal | Pad HZ | Water | Exp | Attic | 2025 Drill | ||
Well Dev | Disposal | |||||||||
Exploration | Program |
PAGE 5
Seasoned Leadership and Board of Directors
Collectively we have proven success
Company | Area | Production | Return to | |
Historical | at Exit | Shareholder | ||
(boe/d) | (CAGR) | |||
Success | ||||
Cougar Hydrocarbons | Canada | 3,000 | 280% | |
(8X Proven | ||||
Executers) | Equatorial Energy | Indonesia | 13,000 | 150% |
Sabretooth Energy | Canada | 1,700 | 100% |
Board of Directors
15+190+ years
O&G jurisdictions worked in | Combined management |
experience | |
Marshall Abbott | P. Gage Jull | Grant Carnie | Anthony Zaidi | Ravi Sharma | Ian Langley | |||
CEO & Director 2,4 | Executive Chair 1,3 | Senior NED (I) 2*,4 | NED (I) 1,3* | NED (I) 2,4* | NED (I) 1*,3 | |||
* Denotes Chair | (I) Independent |
- Audit Committee
- Compensation Committee
- Environment, Social & Governance Committee
- Reserves Committee
Leadership
Andrew Jones | ||||||||
Joe McFarlane | Giovanni Flautero | Phil Miller | Alex Mora | |||||
SVP Operations | ||||||||
CFO | VP, Engineering | SVP Exploration | VP, Finance | |||||
1. | Estimated CAGR in share price during management tenure with previous companies | PAGE 6 |
Attractive Fiscal Terms
Still top decile fiscal regime worldwide.
80.0%
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
USA (Texas) | Colombia | Argentina | Brazil | Bolivia | Canada (Alberta) | Peru | Mexico |
Royalty Tax
PAGE 7
Asset Overview
Current | ||||
Asset | Country | Basin | W.I. | Production Operator |
(boe/d, net)
Assets | 1. Tapir | Colombia | Llanos | 50%(1) | 3,300 | Arrow(2) |
Core | 2. Oso Pardo Colombia | MMV | 100% | 200 | Arrow | |
3. Ombu | Colombia | Putumayo | 10% | 0* | Emerald | |
* Expect 280 Boe/d once back online | ||||||
4. Alberta | Canada | WCSB | 100% | 100 | Arrow & | |
other | ||||||
* Expect 250 Boe/d additional once gas price recovers | ||||||
Total | 3,600+ | |||||
Production | ||||||
Production | 4,130+ | |||||
Capacity | ||||||
- By way of a private commercial contract with the recognized interest holder before Ecopetrol S.A., Arrow is entitled to receive 50% of the production from the Tapir block.
- By way of a private commercial contract with the recognized interest holder before Ecopetrol S.A., Arrow is the contract operator of the Tapir block.
Colombia | Sedimentary Basins |
Middle
Magdalena
Valley 2
Bogota | 1 | |
LLanos | ||
3
PAGE 8
2023 Year-End Reserves
Price Deck
Year | YE 2023 | $/bbl | |||||||
Brent | |||||||||
17,800 | |||||||||
2024 | 78.00 | $445MM | |||||||
2025 | 80.00 | ||||||||
2026 | 81.00 | Year-End | |||||||
2027 | 82.50 | ||||||||
2028 | 84.50 | ||||||||
2029 | 85.50 | ||||||||
2030 | 87.21 | ||||||||
2031+ | +2% per year | 11,800 | |||||||
$280MM | |||||||||
5,290 | $135MM |
1P (Mboe) | 2P (Mboe) | 3P (Mboe) | 1P (NPV10%) | 2P (NPV10%) | 3P (NPV10%) |
PAGE 9
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Disclaimer
Arrow Exploration Corp. published this content on 20 June 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 21 June 2024 14:17:05 UTC.