Stock ALFA A ALFA S.A.B. DE C.V.
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Financials Alfa S.A.B. de C.V.

Equities

ALFA A

MXP000511016

Consumer Goods Conglomerates

End-of-day quote Mexican S.E.
Other stock markets
 23:00:00 27/06/2024 BST 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
10.69 MXN -2.55% Intraday chart for Alfa S.A.B. de C.V. -1.20% -21.63%
04-24 Transcript : Alfa S.A.B. de C.V., Q1 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 24, 2024
04-23 Mexico's Alfa swings to profit in first quarter RE

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 78,636 70,594 73,684 59,802 65,729 51,513 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 188,061 160,750 165,334 148,231 149,623 123,423 125,095 119,181
P/E ratio 13.6 x 18 x 18.4 x 5.58 x -5.37 x - - -
Yield 5.04% 2.78% 3.4% 6.69% - 1.73% 4.12% 5.99%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.23 x 0.29 x 0.24 x 0.18 x 0.23 x 0.17 x 0.17 x 0.17 x
EV / Revenue 0.56 x 0.65 x 0.53 x 0.44 x 0.51 x 0.41 x 0.42 x 0.39 x
EV / EBITDA 4.25 x 5.91 x 4.42 x 3.96 x 6.04 x 4.3 x 4.08 x 3.54 x
EV / FCF 11.5 x 9.85 x 10.1 x 7.38 x - 15.8 x 20.7 x 14.8 x
FCF Yield 8.68% 10.2% 9.94% 13.6% - 6.31% 4.84% 6.78%
Price to Book 1.1 x 1.85 x 1.89 x 1.44 x 1.3 x 1.57 x 1.32 x 1.1 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,015,041 4,909,211 4,905,698 4,818,823 4,818,823 4,818,823 - -
Reference price 2 15.68 14.38 15.02 12.41 13.64 10.69 10.69 10.69
Announcement Date 12/02/20 11/02/21 16/02/22 15/02/23 20/02/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 337,750 245,933 309,396 335,120 291,207 300,436 300,819 305,008
EBITDA 1 44,280 27,217 37,439 37,468 24,783 28,713 30,666 33,646
EBIT 1 23,593 16,642 25,476 29,797 3,113 19,481 21,510 24,263
Operating Margin 6.99% 6.77% 8.23% 8.89% 1.07% 6.48% 7.15% 7.95%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 14,351 9,059 15,775 22,866 - - - -
Net income 5,807 3,791 4,300 10,711 -12,250 - - -
Net margin 1.72% 1.54% 1.39% 3.2% -4.21% - - -
EPS 1.153 0.7982 0.8152 2.224 -2.540 - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 16,325 16,319 16,430 20,088 - 7,789 6,050 8,078
FCF margin 4.83% 6.64% 5.31% 5.99% - 2.59% 2.01% 2.65%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 36.87% 59.96% 43.88% 53.61% - 27.13% 19.73% 24.01%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 281.13% 430.43% 382.06% 187.55% - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.7900 0.4000 0.5100 0.8300 - 0.1850 0.4400 0.6400
Announcement Date 12/02/20 11/02/21 16/02/22 15/02/23 20/02/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3
Net sales 1 83,275 86,028 96,873 98,289 82,497 76,374 74,788 71,606 68,440 69,776 70,708 68,005
EBITDA 1 10,883 13,213 14,145 9,211 7,968 7,402 6,398 6,364 4,990 6,984 7,316 6,858
EBIT 1 - 10,379 - - 3,725 - - 1,757 -6,938 4,907 5,203 4,761
Operating Margin - 12.06% - - 4.51% - - 2.45% -10.14% 7.03% 7.36% 7%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net income - - 4,863 4,863 -315 - - -803 - - - -
Net margin - - 5.02% 4.95% -0.38% - - -1.12% - - - -
EPS -0.6114 0.8800 0.9900 0.9900 - -0.0600 0.0300 -0.1700 - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 16/02/22 25/04/22 20/07/22 20/10/22 15/02/23 25/04/23 26/07/23 23/10/23 20/02/24 27/04/24 - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 109,425 90,156 91,651 88,429 83,895 71,910 73,582 67,667
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.471 x 3.312 x 2.448 x 2.36 x 3.385 x 2.504 x 2.399 x 2.011 x
Free Cash Flow 1 16,325 16,319 16,430 20,088 - 7,789 6,050 8,078
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8% 7.13% 8.57% 40.6% - 20% 20.2% 20.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - 1.53% 1.27% - - - - -
Assets - 247,176 339,863 - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 14.20 7.790 7.970 8.630 10.50 6.820 8.100 9.760
Cash Flow per Share 6.070 0.7700 5.370 5.690 - - - -
Capex 1 14,243 5,443 9,948 20,679 9,704 8,369 - -
Capex / Sales 4.22% 2.21% 3.22% 6.17% 3.33% 2.79% - -
Announcement Date 12/02/20 11/02/21 16/02/22 15/02/23 20/02/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Alfa S.A.B. de C.V.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
10.69 MXN
Average target price
17.31 MXN
Spread / Average Target
+61.97%
Consensus

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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Consumer Goods Conglomerates
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