Projected Income Statement: XP Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,390 5,141 5,632 3,555 -10,119 -20,286 -15,461 -18,396
Change - -81.89% 9.55% -36.88% -384.64% -100.48% 23.78% -18.98%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 16/02/23 27/02/24 18/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 353 127 196.2 330.2 489.6 751.2 615.2 683.2
Change - -64.03% 54.54% 68.28% 48.26% 53.44% -18.1% 11.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,373 1,677 7,931 10,849 11,836 3,767 10,609 10,487
Change - 138.34% 372.96% 36.79% 9.1% -68.17% 181.63% -1.15%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 16/02/23 27/02/24 18/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.69% 30.45% 31.84% 34.96% 34.06% 33.41% 34.46% 34.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.77% 28.91% 30.15% 33.41% 32.41% 31.74% 32.49% 32.37%
EBT Margin (%) 36.28% 25.81% 26.49% 29.2% 29.59% 30.44% 31.3% 31.73%
Net margin (%) 29.72% 26.82% 26.24% 26.44% 28.07% 28.13% 28.12% 28.09%
FCF margin (%) -36.21% 12.56% 53.37% 63.52% 64.28% 18.77% 47.48% 41.8%
FCF / Net Income (%) -121.84% 46.84% 203.41% 240.28% 228.97% 66.73% 168.88% 148.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.05% 2.16% 2.5% 1.51% 1.39% 1.34% 1.31% 1.3%
ROE 28.36% 22.76% 21.4% 23% 23.72% 22.97% 23.28% 23.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.78x 1.26x 1.19x 0.6x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -6.49x 3.07x 0.71x 0.33x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.92% 0.95% 1.32% 1.93% 2.66% 3.74% 2.75% 2.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.43% 3.12% 4.15% 5.53% 7.81% 11.2% 7.99% 7.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -8.07% 7.57% 2.47% 3.04% 4.14% 19.94% 5.8% 6.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -7.01 3.148 14.93 20.39 22.64 52.48 0.5938 11.68
Change - 144.91% 374.38% 36.52% 11.05% 131.79% -98.87% 1,866.55%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 6.459 3.774 - 7.237 8.253 8.603
Change - - - -41.57% - - 14.04% 4.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.77 30.67 35.46 37.13 43.71 49.49 55.31 62.46
Change - 19.04% 15.62% 4.7% 17.71% 13.23% 11.76% 12.93%
EPS 1 6.259 6.25 7.16 8.231 9.719 10.8 12.28 13.39
Change - -0.14% 14.56% 14.96% 18.07% 11.12% 13.7% 9.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 559,549 560,294 548,083 537,004 528,220 507,483 507,483 507,483
Announcement Date 08/02/22 16/02/23 27/02/24 18/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.45x 8.31x
PBR 2.06x 1.85x
EV / Sales 1.57x 1.63x
Yield 7.09% 8.09%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
102.07BRL
Average target price
119.04BRL
Spread / Average Target
+16.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise