Projected Income Statement: Union Pacific Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Union Pacific Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Union Pacific Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,723 32,307 31,508 30,156 30,548 26,509 23,587 20,630
Change - 12.48% -2.47% -4.29% 1.3% -13.22% -11.02% -12.54%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 24/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,936 3,620 3,606 3,452 3,791 3,486 3,574 3,777
Change - 23.3% -0.39% -4.27% 9.82% -8.05% 2.54% 5.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,096 5,742 4,773 5,894 5,499 7,256 7,881 8,602
Change - -5.81% -16.88% 23.49% -6.7% 31.96% 8.6% 9.16%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 24/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.95% 48.9% 47.27% 49.94% 50.23% 49.95% 50.93% 52.07%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.83% 39.87% 37.65% 40.05% 40.17% 40.27% 41.55% 42.79%
EBT Margin (%) 38.88% 36.47% 34.13% 36.26% 37.4% 36.7% 38.66% 39.98%
Net margin (%) 29.92% 28.13% 26.45% 27.82% 29.12% 28.32% 29.46% 30.61%
FCF margin (%) 27.96% 23.08% 19.79% 24.31% 22.44% 26.49% 27.21% 28.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.45% 82.05% 74.82% 87.36% 77.04% 93.54% 92.35% 93.13%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.36% 10.85% 9.62% 10.07% 10.11% 10.78% 10.89% 11.03%
ROE 41.9% 53.17% 47.3% 42.6% 40.4% 37.23% 33.46% 30.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.49x 2.66x 2.76x 2.49x 2.48x 1.94x 1.6x 1.31x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.71x 5.63x 6.6x 5.12x 5.56x 3.65x 2.99x 2.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.47% 14.55% 14.95% 14.24% 15.47% 12.72% 12.34% 12.52%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.43% 29.76% 31.63% 28.5% 30.79% 25.48% 24.23% 24.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.16% 63.04% 75.55% 58.57% 68.94% 48.04% 45.36% 43.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.78 15 13.73 15.36 15.65 18.12 19.27 -
Change - 8.87% -8.47% 11.83% 1.93% 15.73% 6.39% -
Dividend per Share 1 4.29 5.08 5.2 5.28 5.44 5.595 5.685 5.999
Change - 18.41% 2.36% 1.54% 3.03% 2.85% 1.61% 5.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.66 19.49 24.23 27.75 30.99 38.74 45.8 54.22
Change - -10.01% 24.33% 14.51% 11.67% 25.02% 18.21% 18.39%
EPS 1 9.95 11.21 10.45 11.09 11.98 13.03 14.3 15.66
Change - 12.66% -6.78% 6.12% 8.03% 8.75% 9.76% 9.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 642,876 642,876 609,597 606,257 593,161 594,250 594,250 594,250
Announcement Date 20/01/22 24/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.2x 21.1x
PBR 7.79x 6.59x
EV / Sales 7.52x 7.01x
Yield 1.85% 1.88%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Union Pacific Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Union Pacific Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Union Pacific Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Union Pacific Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
301.93USD
Average target price
331.42USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Union Pacific Corporation
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