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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 229.65 USD | -0.74% |
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+0.07% | -0.72% |
| 01-23 | Diary - U.S. Earnings Week Ahead | RE |
| 01-20 | Greenland, Tariffs, and the Quiet Revolt of the Bond Market |  |
Projected Income Statement: Union Pacific Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 19,533 | 21,804 | 24,875 | 24,119 | 24,250 | 24,536 | 25,373 | 26,656 |
| Change | - | 11.63% | 14.08% | -3.04% | 0.54% | 1.18% | 3.41% | 5.05% |
| EBITDA 1 | 10,322 | 11,546 | 12,163 | 11,400 | 12,111 | 12,534 | 13,260 | 14,174 |
| Change | - | 11.86% | 5.34% | -6.27% | 6.24% | 3.5% | 5.79% | 6.89% |
| EBIT 1 | 7,834 | 9,338 | 9,917 | 9,082 | 9,713 | 9,991 | 10,618 | 11,468 |
| Change | - | 19.2% | 6.2% | -8.42% | 6.95% | 2.87% | 6.28% | 8% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -1,141 | -1,157 | -1,271 | -1,340 | -1,269 | -1,304 | -1,267 | -1,259 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 6,980 | 8,478 | 9,072 | 8,233 | 8,794 | 8,995 | 9,634 | 10,416 |
| Change | - | 21.46% | 7.01% | -9.25% | 6.81% | 2.29% | 7.11% | 8.12% |
| Net income 1 | 5,349 | 6,523 | 6,998 | 6,379 | 6,747 | 6,984 | 7,354 | 8,027 |
| Change | - | 21.95% | 7.28% | -8.85% | 5.77% | 3.52% | 5.29% | 9.16% |
| Announcement Date | 21/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 23/01/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Union Pacific Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 24,870 | 28,723 | 32,307 | 31,508 | 30,156 | 30,025 | 27,328 | 25,601 |
| Change | - | 15.49% | 12.48% | -2.47% | -4.29% | -0.43% | -8.98% | -6.32% |
| Announcement Date | 21/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 23/01/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Union Pacific Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,927 | 2,936 | 3,620 | 3,606 | 3,452 | 3,417 | 3,494 | 3,597 |
| Change | - | 0.31% | 23.3% | -0.39% | -4.27% | -1.02% | 2.25% | 2.97% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 5,613 | 6,096 | 5,742 | 4,773 | 5,894 | 6,173 | 6,722 | 7,353 |
| Change | - | 8.61% | -5.81% | -16.88% | 23.49% | 4.73% | 8.9% | 9.39% |
| Announcement Date | 21/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 23/01/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Union Pacific Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 52.84% | 52.95% | 48.9% | 47.27% | 49.94% | 51.09% | 52.26% | 53.17% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 40.11% | 42.83% | 39.87% | 37.65% | 40.05% | 40.72% | 41.85% | 43.02% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 35.73% | 38.88% | 36.47% | 34.13% | 36.26% | 36.66% | 37.97% | 39.08% |
| Net margin (%) | 27.38% | 29.92% | 28.13% | 26.45% | 27.82% | 28.47% | 28.98% | 30.12% |
| FCF margin (%) | 28.74% | 27.96% | 23.08% | 19.79% | 24.31% | 25.16% | 26.49% | 27.59% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 104.94% | 93.45% | 82.05% | 74.82% | 87.36% | 88.38% | 91.41% | 91.6% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.62% | 10.36% | 10.85% | 9.62% | 10.07% | 10.04% | 10.08% | 10.64% |
| ROE | 30.49% | 41.9% | 53.17% | 47.3% | 42.6% | 37.97% | 37.16% | 33.88% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.41x | 2.49x | 2.66x | 2.76x | 2.49x | 2.4x | 2.06x | 1.81x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.43x | 4.71x | 5.63x | 6.6x | 5.12x | 4.86x | 4.07x | 3.48x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 14.98% | 13.47% | 14.55% | 14.95% | 14.24% | 13.93% | 13.77% | 13.5% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 28.36% | 25.43% | 29.76% | 31.63% | 28.5% | 27.26% | 26.35% | 25.38% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 52.15% | 48.16% | 63.04% | 75.55% | 58.57% | 55.35% | 51.97% | 48.92% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 12.58 | 13.78 | 15 | 13.73 | 15.36 | 16.16 | 17.27 | 18.8 |
| Change | - | 9.59% | 8.87% | -8.47% | 11.83% | 5.23% | 6.9% | 8.81% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 3.88 | 4.29 | 5.08 | 5.2 | 5.28 | 5.457 | 5.54 | 5.719 |
| Change | - | 10.57% | 18.41% | 2.36% | 1.54% | 3.35% | 1.53% | 3.22% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 24.97 | 21.66 | 19.49 | 24.23 | 27.75 | 30.12 | 36.87 | 44.6 |
| Change | - | -13.26% | -10.01% | 24.33% | 14.51% | 8.53% | 22.43% | 20.94% |
| EPS 1 | 7.88 | 9.95 | 11.21 | 10.45 | 11.09 | 11.72 | 12.46 | 13.65 |
| Change | - | 26.27% | 12.66% | -6.78% | 6.12% | 5.71% | 6.3% | 9.55% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 673,869 | 642,876 | 642,876 | 609,597 | 606,257 | 593,161 | 593,161 | 593,161 |
| Announcement Date | 21/01/21 | 20/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 23/01/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19.6x | 18.4x |
| PBR | 7.62x | 6.23x |
| EV / Sales | 6.78x | 6.45x |
| Yield | 2.38% | 2.41% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
This super rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (4 months), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Investor
This super composite rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Fundamentals (Composite), Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (1 year), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Global
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Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Union Pacific Corporation
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