Projected Income Statement: Stef

Forecast Balance Sheet: Stef

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 945 1,073 1,046 1,340 1,533 1,499 1,454 1,411
Change - 13.54% -2.52% 28.11% 14.4% -2.23% -3% -2.96%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Stef

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 159.4 212.2 322 351.2 303.9 294.6 300.2 298.9
Change - 33.15% 51.72% 9.08% -13.47% -3.05% 1.87% -0.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 208.8 51.24 112 -50.1 -66.7 114 147 173.8
Change - -75.46% 118.56% -144.73% -33.13% 270.84% 29% 18.23%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Stef

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.21% 9.73% 9.61% 10.09% 8.5% 9.56% 9.97% 10.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.39% 4.77% 5.7% 4.76% 3.38% 4.47% 4.73% 4.75%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) 3.14% 3.43% 4.31% 3.27% 1.65% 2.56% 3.01% 3.2%
FCF margin (%) 5.95% 1.2% 2.52% -1.04% -1.3% 2.09% 2.61% 3%
FCF / Net Income (%) 189.82% 35% 58.46% -31.87% -79.12% 81.51% 86.7% 93.74%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.63% 5.59% 6.18% 2.06% 3.1% 4% 4.3%
ROE 12.68% 15% 17.23% 12.77% 6.51% 10.64% 11.7% 11.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.64x 2.59x 2.45x 2.77x 3.52x 2.87x 2.59x 2.4x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.52x 20.93x 9.33x -26.75x -22.99x 13.15x 9.89x 8.12x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.55% 4.98% 7.25% 7.32% 5.94% 5.4% 5.33% 5.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.51% 51.17% 75.45% 72.52% 69.84% 56.46% 53.46% 50.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 76.34% 414.17% 287.5% -701.07% -455.66% 258.58% 204.18% 171.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 29.39 20.85 28.69 31.49 24.09 34.41 37.06 38.03
Change - -29.07% 37.58% 9.76% -23.5% 42.86% 7.7% 2.62%
Dividend per Share 1 3 4 5.1 4.15 2.7 4.367 5.273 5.66
Change - 33.33% 27.5% -18.63% -34.94% 61.73% 20.76% 7.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 73.67 83.76 87.33 97.04 103.7 113.2 122.7 131.7
Change - 13.7% 4.26% 11.12% 6.86% 9.2% 8.32% 7.37%
EPS 1 8.78 11.58 15.16 12.46 6.66 11.49 13.78 14.77
Change - 31.89% 30.92% -17.81% -46.55% 72.49% 19.96% 7.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 12,377 12,387 12,424 12,281 12,538 12,649 12,649 12,649
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.5x 9.58x
PBR 1.17x 1.08x
EV / Sales 0.58x 0.55x
Yield 3.31% 3.99%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
132.00EUR
Average target price
149.00EUR
Spread / Average Target
+12.88%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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