Projected Income Statement: Starbucks Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Starbucks Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,998 12,226 11,848 12,282 12,855 18,018 17,943 17,719
Change - 52.86% -3.09% 3.66% 4.67% 40.16% -0.42% -1.25%
Announcement Date 28/10/21 03/11/22 02/11/23 30/10/24 29/10/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Starbucks Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,470 1,841 2,334 2,778 2,306 1,599 2,051 2,187
Change - 25.26% 26.74% 19.02% -16.99% -30.62% 28.23% 6.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,519 2,556 3,675 3,318 2,442 3,260 3,918 4,104
Change - -43.44% 43.78% -9.71% -26.4% 33.48% 20.21% 4.75%
Announcement Date 28/10/21 03/11/22 02/11/23 30/10/24 29/10/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Starbucks Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.37% 19.03% 19.91% 19.13% 14.46% 15.41% 17.25% 18.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.11% 15.05% 16.13% 14.95% 9.93% 11.35% 13.19% 14.65%
EBT Margin (%) 18.43% 13.12% 15.02% 13.74% 6.74% 10.01% 12.19% 13.54%
Net margin (%) 14.45% 10.18% 11.46% 10.4% 4.99% 6.96% 9.22% 10.42%
FCF margin (%) 15.55% 7.93% 10.22% 9.17% 6.57% 8.58% 10.17% 10.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.62% 77.89% 89.1% 88.23% 131.54% 123.23% 110.28% 97.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.82% 11.55% 14.19% 12.37% 5.86% 9.75% 12.16% 13.95%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.23x 1.99x 1.65x 1.77x 2.39x 3.08x 2.7x 2.37x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.77x 4.78x 3.22x 3.7x 5.26x 5.53x 4.58x 4.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.06% 5.71% 6.49% 7.68% 6.2% 4.21% 5.32% 5.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.61% 30.01% 32.57% 40.13% 42.88% 27.31% 30.85% 29.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.53% 72.04% 63.5% 83.71% 94.41% 49.07% 52.34% 53.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.052 3.797 5.219 5.378 4.165 4.14 4.711 5.329
Change - -24.84% 37.44% 3.04% -22.55% -0.62% 13.8% 13.12%
Dividend per Share 1 2.29 2 2.16 2.32 2.45 2.516 2.61 2.708
Change - -12.66% 8% 7.41% 5.6% 2.71% 3.72% 3.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 -4.51 -7.58 -6.997 -6.572 -7.122 -6.596 -6.422 -5.675
Change - -68.09% 7.69% 6.08% -8.37% 7.38% 2.63% 11.64%
EPS 1 3.54 2.83 3.58 3.31 1.63 2.27 3.13 3.747
Change - -20.06% 26.5% -7.54% -50.76% 39.28% 37.87% 19.72%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,100 1,147,400 1,145,400 1,133,200 1,136,700 1,139,800 1,139,800 1,139,800
Announcement Date 28/10/21 03/11/22 02/11/23 30/10/24 29/10/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 41.7x 30.3x
PBR -14.4x -14.7x
EV / Sales 3.32x 3.27x
Yield 2.66% 2.76%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
36
Last Close Price
94.71USD
Average target price
111.57USD
Spread / Average Target
+17.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SBUX Stock
  4. Financials Starbucks Corporation