Projected Income Statement: Ratch Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ratch Group

Forecast Balance Sheet - Ratch Group
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 54,158 64,634 66,407 84,404 99,985 98,228 87,122 76,345
Change - 19.34% 2.74% 27.1% 18.46% -1.76% -11.31% -12.37%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,894 2,375 3,045 2,042 1,435 13,398 12,662 8,586
Change - 25.45% 28.2% -32.93% -29.75% 833.67% -5.49% -32.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,260 5,129 7,699 6,101 10,916 19,386 18,953 23,140
Change - -2.49% 50.11% -20.76% 78.93% 77.58% -2.23% 22.09%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.46% 7.62% 15.91% 19.95% 21.38% 26.68% 28.78% 24.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.72% 3.56% 6.6% 7.79% 7.69% 11.31% 13.11% 10.97%
EBT Margin (%) 21.32% 8.85% 14.51% 21.82% 27.48% 22.24% 24.52% 19.53%
Net margin (%) 20.82% 7.74% 11.83% 18.49% 22.97% 18.34% 20.81% 17.93%
FCF margin (%) 14.09% 6.86% 17.63% 18.41% 40.31% 54.99% 55.89% 56.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.68% 88.71% 149% 99.58% 175.49% 299.8% 268.59% 317.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.82% 2.99% 2.33% 2.86% 2.75% 3.68% 3.95% 4.24%
ROE 11.88% 6.9% 5.27% 6.27% 6.52% 6.86% 7.33% 7.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.64x 11.35x 9.56x 12.77x 17.27x 10.44x 8.92x 7.67x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.3x 12.6x 8.63x 13.83x 9.16x 5.07x 4.6x 3.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.07% 3.18% 6.97% 6.16% 5.3% 38% 37.34% 21.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.7% 41.7% 43.83% 30.9% 24.79% 142.43% 129.7% 86.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36% 46.31% 39.55% 33.48% 13.14% 69.11% 66.81% 37.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.934 3.45 4.94 3.744 5.679 5.564 6.577 7.093
Change - -30.06% 43.17% -24.21% 51.67% -2.01% 18.2% 7.85%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.594 1.614 1.627
Change - -36% 0% 0% 0% -0.39% 1.25% 0.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 48.48 45.07 45.06 43.88 42.97 46.14 47.76 49.32
Change - -7.02% -0.03% -2.61% -2.08% 7.38% 3.5% 3.28%
EPS 1 5.36 3.15 2.38 2.82 2.86 2.964 3.24 3.356
Change - -41.23% -24.44% 18.49% 1.42% 3.63% 9.31% 3.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,450,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000 2,175,000
Announcement Date 23/02/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.8x 11.7x
PBR 0.82x 0.8x
EV / Sales 5.13x 5.01x
Yield 4.19% 4.25%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Ratch Group


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Ratch Group
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Ratch Group
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Ratch Group
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
38.00THB
Average target price
44.08THB
Spread / Average Target
+16.01%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Ratch Group