Projected Income Statement: Petrobras

Forecast Balance Sheet: Petrobras

Forecast Balance Sheet - Petrobras
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 265,778 224,510 227,799 304,800 319,931 316,380 251,126 233,724
Change - -15.53% 1.46% 33.8% 4.96% -1.11% -20.63% -6.93%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 02/03/23 08/03/24 26/02/25 06/03/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Petrobras

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 34,134 49,656 62,297 85,442 103,071 105,260 102,092 100,762
Change - 45.47% 25.46% 37.15% 20.63% 2.12% -3.01% -1.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 168,992 205,754 159,925 136,180 87,257 129,729 133,243 108,582
Change - 21.75% -22.27% -14.85% -35.92% 48.67% 2.71% -18.51%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 02/03/23 08/03/24 26/02/25 06/03/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Petrobras

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.82% 53.1% 51.18% 50.19% 49.07% 54.05% 53.38% 53.1%
EBIT Margin (%) 37.89% 42.46% 38.21% 36.54% 32.09% 41.56% 38.32% 34.82%
EBT Margin (%) 33.48% 42.88% 34.56% 12.19% 30.04% 39.38% 34.67% 31.47%
Net margin (%) 23.56% 29.37% 24.3% 8.23% 22.01% 26.18% 23.61% 21.71%
FCF margin (%) 37.33% 32.09% 31.36% 25.8% 18.53% 20.28% 21.66% 19.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 158.43% 109.25% 129.05% 313.25% 84.17% 77.46% 91.75% 88.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.88% 19.32% 12.29% 9.72% 8.97% 12.6% 10.65% 8.77%
ROE 30.66% 50.23% 33.54% 28.14% 29.04% 34.04% 24.66% 18.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.13x 0.66x 0.87x 1.15x 1.38x 0.91x 0.76x 0.78x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.57x 1.09x 1.42x 2.24x 3.67x 2.44x 1.88x 2.15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.54% 7.74% 12.22% 16.18% 21.89% 16.45% 16.6% 17.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.55% 14.58% 23.87% 32.24% 44.6% 30.44% 31.1% 33.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.2% 24.13% 38.95% 62.74% 118.12% 81.14% 76.62% 92.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.57 19.58 16.56 15.82 14.77 16.22 17.66 16.16
Change - 25.74% -15.41% -4.5% -6.65% 9.82% 8.89% -8.49%
Dividend per Share 1 8.534 15.09 5.569 5.734 3.199 3.53 6.556 5.389
Change - 76.82% -63.09% 2.96% -44.21% 10.33% 85.72% -17.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 29.69 27.8 29.4 28.4 30.96 57.63 64.61 70.17
Change - -6.39% 5.77% -3.41% 9.01% 86.16% 12.12% 8.6%
EPS 1 8.18 14.44 9.57 2.84 8.026 14.5 11.34 9.588
Change - 76.53% -33.73% -70.32% 182.59% 80.73% -21.79% -15.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,044,201 13,044,201 13,015,466 12,888,733 12,888,733 12,888,733 12,888,733 12,888,733
Announcement Date 24/02/22 02/03/23 08/03/24 26/02/25 06/03/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 3.12x 3.99x
PBR 0.79x 0.7x
EV / Sales 1.48x 1.44x
Yield 7.79% 14.5%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Petrobras


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Petrobras
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Petrobras
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Petrobras
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
45.30BRL
Average target price
60.48BRL
Spread / Average Target
+33.52%