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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 48.55 BRL | +2.19% |
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-0.31% | +49.06% |
| 06:56am | DOF Group Extends Contracts for Two Pipelay Support Vessels | MT |
| 07-30 | LatAm FX mixed after Fed holds rates, stocks slip | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 452,668 | 641,256 | 509,987 | 527,918 | 470,950 | 566,089 | 539,768 | 525,880 |
| Change | - | 41.66% | -20.47% | 3.52% | -10.79% | 20.2% | -4.65% | -2.57% |
| EBITDA 1 | 234,576 | 340,482 | 261,016 | 264,987 | 231,111 | 298,377 | 281,170 | 274,700 |
| Change | - | 45.15% | -23.34% | 1.52% | -12.78% | 29.11% | -5.77% | -2.3% |
| EBIT 1 | 171,528 | 272,280 | 194,883 | 192,922 | 151,135 | 216,499 | 187,308 | 178,569 |
| Change | - | 58.74% | -28.43% | -1.01% | -21.66% | 43.25% | -13.48% | -4.67% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -59,256 | -18,040 | -11,861 | -23,356 | -14,911 | -14,234 | -14,485 | -13,719 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 151,575 | 274,998 | 176,269 | 64,344 | 141,478 | 200,475 | 164,556 | 160,700 |
| Change | - | 81.43% | -35.9% | -63.5% | 119.88% | 41.7% | -17.92% | -2.34% |
| Net income 1 | 106,668 | 188,328 | 123,920 | 43,473 | 103,668 | 135,641 | 113,051 | 106,813 |
| Change | - | 76.56% | -34.2% | -64.92% | 138.46% | 30.84% | -16.65% | -5.52% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 265,778 | 224,510 | 227,799 | 304,800 | 319,931 | 284,718 | 262,515 | 248,809 |
| Change | - | -15.53% | 1.46% | 33.8% | 4.96% | -11.01% | -7.8% | -5.22% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 34,134 | 49,656 | 62,297 | 85,442 | 103,071 | 92,558 | 95,312 | 93,570 |
| Change | - | 45.47% | 25.46% | 37.15% | 20.63% | -10.2% | 2.98% | -1.83% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 168,992 | 205,754 | 159,925 | 136,180 | 87,257 | 123,432 | 106,644 | 101,955 |
| Change | - | 21.75% | -22.27% | -14.85% | -35.92% | 41.46% | -13.6% | -4.4% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 51.82% | 53.1% | 51.18% | 50.19% | 49.07% | 52.71% | 52.09% | 52.24% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 37.89% | 42.46% | 38.21% | 36.54% | 32.09% | 38.24% | 34.7% | 33.96% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 33.48% | 42.88% | 34.56% | 12.19% | 30.04% | 35.41% | 30.49% | 30.56% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.56% | 29.37% | 24.3% | 8.23% | 22.01% | 23.96% | 20.94% | 20.31% |
| FCF margin (%) | 37.33% | 32.09% | 31.36% | 25.8% | 18.53% | 21.8% | 19.76% | 19.39% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 158.43% | 109.25% | 129.05% | 313.25% | 84.17% | 91% | 94.33% | 95.45% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.88% | 19.32% | 12.29% | 9.72% | 8.97% | 11.02% | 8.85% | 8.64% |
| ROE | 30.66% | 50.23% | 33.54% | 28.14% | 29.04% | 28.8% | 19.95% | 17.77% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.13x | 0.66x | 0.87x | 1.15x | 1.38x | 0.95x | 0.93x | 0.91x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.57x | 1.09x | 1.42x | 2.24x | 3.67x | 2.31x | 2.46x | 2.44x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.54% | 7.74% | 12.22% | 16.18% | 21.89% | 16.35% | 17.66% | 17.79% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 14.55% | 14.58% | 23.87% | 32.24% | 44.6% | 31.02% | 33.9% | 34.06% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 20.2% | 24.13% | 38.95% | 62.74% | 118.12% | 74.99% | 89.37% | 91.78% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 15.57 | 19.58 | 16.56 | 15.82 | 14.77 | 16.08 | 15.5 | 16.25 |
| Change | - | 25.74% | -15.41% | -4.5% | -6.65% | 8.87% | -3.59% | 4.84% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 8.534 | 15.09 | 5.569 | 5.734 | 3.199 | 4.773 | 5.888 | 6.191 |
| Change | - | 76.82% | -63.09% | 2.96% | -44.21% | 49.2% | 23.36% | 5.13% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 29.69 | 27.8 | 29.4 | 28.4 | 30.96 | 38.98 | 43.24 | 47.14 |
| Change | - | -6.39% | 5.77% | -3.41% | 9.01% | 25.92% | 10.93% | 9.01% |
| EPS 1 | 8.18 | 14.44 | 9.57 | 2.84 | 8.026 | 12.42 | 9.077 | 8.757 |
| Change | - | 76.53% | -33.73% | -70.32% | 182.59% | 54.75% | -26.91% | -3.53% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13,044,201 | 13,044,201 | 13,015,466 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 3.45x | 4.72x |
| PBR | 1.1x | 0.99x |
| EV / Sales | 1.55x | 1.59x |
| Yield | 11.1% | 13.7% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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