Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 276,443 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 3.92% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 308,446 304,945 299,249
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 6.41% -1.13% -1.87%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 21.2x 17.9x 15.5x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.32x 5.92x 5.31x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -29.42x 1x 1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 4.86x 4.58x 4.32x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.42x 5.06x 4.67x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 13.1x 12x 10.9x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 14.4x 13.1x 11.9x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 22.9x 18.8x 16.1x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.38% 5.32% 6.22%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.399 4.542 4.779
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.9% 3% 3.15%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.158 8.45 9.782
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 61.5% 53.8% 48.9%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 56,908 60,310 64,022
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,491 25,337 27,507
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,482 23,258 25,213
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 14,079 15,643 17,519
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 32,003 28,502 22,806
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 151.54 151.54 151.54
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,830,549 - -
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
34.25x12.25x25.43x0.59% 1,028B
27.09x6.22x16.9x2.1% 611B
30.33x7.27x14.9x2.81% 432B
17.47x4.34x10.68x3.06% 323B
20.69x4.37x12.08x2.02% 257B
13.99x5.26x10.84x3.55% 217B
23.3x6.19x10.94x2.84% 192B
-46.85x5.61x31x2.5% 161B
12.32x3.04x7.69x7.12% 138B
Average 14.73x 6.06x 15.61x 2.95% 373.24B
Weighted average by Cap. 23.06x 7.65x 17.85x 2.18%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield