Projected Income Statement: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,558 19,558 19,383 19,429 23,516 25,200 25,962 26,894
Change - 5.39% -0.89% 0.24% 21.04% 7.16% 3.02% 3.59%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 596 806 937 1,056 1,808 3,090 2,035 1,835
Change - 35.23% 16.25% 12.7% 71.21% 70.88% -34.13% -9.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,399 4,213 4,135 3,942 1,033 3,068 4,311 4,950
Change - -4.23% -1.85% -4.67% -73.8% 196.96% 40.52% 14.84%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.45% 49.73% 55.57% 56.68% 53.99% 55.39% 55.59% 55.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.81% 42.29% 43.44% 44.31% 45.72% 42.57% 43.4% 42.94%
EBT Margin (%) 31.05% 34.32% 35.25% 36.6% 38.16% 34.44% 36.15% 36.71%
Net margin (%) 29.28% 32.85% 33.94% 35.95% 37.79% 33.93% 35.38% 35.76%
FCF margin (%) 43.87% 36.28% 36.65% 33.03% 7.95% 23.35% 30.59% 33.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.83% 110.43% 107.99% 91.89% 21.03% 68.8% 86.47% 92.39%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.16% 10.72% 10.61% 11.59% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 12.6%
ROE 23.89% 27.15% 29.75% 32.96% 35.24% 31.57% 35.93% 38.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.34x 3.39x 3.09x 2.87x 3.35x 3.46x 3.31x 3.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 4.64x 4.69x 4.93x 22.76x 8.21x 6.02x 5.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.94% 6.94% 8.31% 8.85% 13.91% 23.52% 14.44% 12.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.72% 13.96% 14.95% 15.61% 25.77% 42.46% 25.98% 22.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.55% 19.13% 22.66% 26.79% 175.02% 100.72% 47.21% 37.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.782 4.969 5.386 5.847 5.799 6.243 6.448 -
Change - 3.92% 8.39% 8.55% -0.82% 7.66% 3.28% -
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 2.96 3.25 3.613 4.066 4.547 5.131 5.567
Change - -11.9% 9.8% 11.17% 12.54% 11.83% 12.86% 8.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.5 12.31 12.66 13.35 14.09 14.2 14.45 14.51
Change - 7.06% 2.86% 5.4% 5.56% 0.78% 1.76% 0.4%
EPS 1 2.86 3.75 3.8 4.21 4.82 4.323 4.84 5.185
Change - 31.12% 1.33% 10.79% 14.49% -10.31% 11.95% 7.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,019,864 1,003,243 1,001,217 1,018,812 1,017,065 1,013,858 1,013,858 1,013,858
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.7x 12.2x
PBR 4.16x 4.09x
EV / Sales 6.48x 6.09x
Yield 7.69% 8.68%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
59.09USD
Average target price
62.50USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise