Projected Income Statement: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -410 -779 -834 -352 -15.2 -1,044 -1,563 -2,202
Change - -90% -7.06% 57.79% 95.68% -6,753.99% -49.71% -40.88%
Announcement Date 26/08/21 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 40.44 186.3 595.5 579.3 430.8 191.8 282.7 299.6
Change - 360.64% 219.65% -2.72% -25.64% -55.48% 47.39% 5.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 174.6 273.8 -208.8 -544.4 -326.7 256.5 431.4 641.5
Change - 56.78% -176.25% -160.76% 39.99% 178.51% 68.21% 48.71%
Announcement Date 26/08/21 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.11% 65.35% 51.09% 28.52% 18.18% 45.68% 55.86% 62.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 34.66% 58.76% 42.68% 16.24% 1.11% 33.99% 44.97% 52.78%
EBT Margin (%) 32.2% 58.23% 47.05% 22.77% 1.75% 37.59% 49.71% 54.9%
Net margin (%) 32.12% 58.78% 42.02% 18.24% 1.44% 30.29% 36.89% 40.31%
FCF margin (%) 35.71% 29.76% -28.24% -117.5% -58.7% 22.98% 26.17% 31.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 111.16% 50.62% -67.2% -644.12% -4,088.31% 75.86% 70.94% 79.03%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.02% 30.56% 13.22% 3.11% 0.28% 9.42% 14.99% 17.33%
ROE 13.02% 39.63% 16.31% 3.84% 0.35% 10.29% 14.69% 16.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.27% 20.25% 80.55% 125.05% 77.41% 17.19% 17.15% 14.88%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.19% 30.99% 157.68% 438.45% 425.77% 37.63% 30.7% 23.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.16% 68.05% -285.26% -106.42% -131.89% 74.8% 65.54% 46.7%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2463 0.5079 0.4223 0.0373 0.1109 0.513 0.7764 0.9561
Change - 106.2% -16.85% -91.17% 197.48% 362.58% 51.34% 23.15%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - 0.0878
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.202 1.824 2.317 2.399 2.515 3.698 4.377 5.19
Change - 51.67% 27.04% 3.57% 4.82% 47.04% 18.36% 18.58%
EPS 1 0.1799 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.338 0.6037 0.8078
Change - 231.85% -43.18% -73.44% -90.57% 3,876.24% 78.61% 33.81%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 901,079 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 1,006,503 1,006,503
Announcement Date 26/08/21 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 50.8x 28.5x
PBR 4.65x 3.92x
EV / Sales 14.6x 9.54x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
17.18AUD
Average target price
16.65AUD
Spread / Average Target
-3.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. LYC Stock
  4. Financials Lynas Rare Earths Limited
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