Company Valuation: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Market Cap 1 7,878 6,397 5,543 8,054 18,177 16,044 - -
Change - -18.8% -13.35% 45.31% 125.69% -11.74% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 7,099 5,563 5,191 8,039 18,177 15,066 14,314 13,688
Change - -21.64% -6.69% 54.87% 126.12% -17.12% -4.99% -4.37%
P/E 14.6x 20.2x 65.8x 1,013x 81.9x 28x 19x 15.4x
PBR 4.79x 2.96x 2.47x 3.42x - 4.01x 3.24x 2.88x
PEG - -0.5x -0.9x -11.2x 0x 0x 0.4x 0.6x
Capitalization / Revenue 8.56x 8.65x 12x 14.5x 18.6x 9.69x 7.63x 6.32x
EV / Revenue 7.72x 7.52x 11.2x 14.4x 18.6x 9.1x 6.8x 5.39x
EV / EBITDA 11.8x 14.7x 39.3x 79.4x 47.1x 16.6x 11x 8.37x
EV / EBIT 13.1x 17.6x 69x 1,298x 73.5x 19.9x 13.2x 9.44x
EV / FCF 25.9x -26.6x -9.54x -24.6x - 34.8x 20.6x 16.2x
FCF Yield 3.86% -3.75% -10.5% -4.06% - 2.87% 4.85% 6.18%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - 0.245 0.1278 0.55
Rate of return - - - - - 1.54% 0.8% 3.45%
EPS 2 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.2206 0.5698 0.8381 1.038
Distribution rate - - - - - 43% 15.2% 53%
Net sales 1 920 739.3 463.3 556.5 977.9 1,656 2,104 2,539
EBITDA 1 601.2 377.7 132.1 101.2 386 906.4 1,297 1,636
EBIT 1 540.6 315.5 75.23 6.191 247.4 756.7 1,083 1,449
Net income 1 540.8 310.7 84.51 7.99 222.4 574.2 845.8 1,046
Net Debt 1 -778.8 -833.8 -352 -15.23 - -978 -1,730 -2,356
Reference price 2 8.73 6.85 5.93 8.61 18.06 15.94 15.94 15.94
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 1,006,503 - -
Announcement Date 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 25/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
34.18x2.83x21.59x0.56% 21.54B
27.97x9.1x16.62x1.54% 11.5B
-215.71x22.66x74.03x-.--% 10.56B
29.18x - - - 5.86B
-21.94x - - - 4.63B
-4.36x - - - 2.09B
27.48x - - - 1.92B
-121.39x666.68x-16.95x - 914M
Average -30.57x 175.31x 23.82x 0.7% 7.38B
Weighted average by Cap. -20.64x 22.78x 31.96x 0.68%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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