Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 295 571 943 649 1,096 839 761 689
Change - 93.56% 65.15% -31.18% 68.88% -23.46% -9.3% -9.46%
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 10/03/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.8 229.9 301 312 332.7 343.7 363.3 383.5
Change - -4.53% 30.93% 3.65% 6.63% 3.31% 5.71% 5.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586 526.1 477.6 870 187.7 764.8 765.3 792
Change - -10.22% -9.22% 82.16% -78.43% 307.43% 0.07% 3.5%
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 10/03/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.61% 21.48% 21.67% 22.13% 22.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 16.17% 16.41% 16.61% 17.09% 17.35%
EBT Margin (%) 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.57% 15.61% 15.88% 16.41% 16.64%
Net margin (%) 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 12.29% 12.29% 12.29% 12.64% 12.82%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 15.91% 3.17% 12.61% 11.97% 11.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 129.41% 25.81% 102.61% 94.69% 91.01%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 7.9% 7.97% 8.1% 8.68% 9.31%
ROE 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 14.78% 14.85% 15.03% 15.57% 16.24%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.55x 0.86x 0.64x 0.54x 0.45x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 0.75x 5.84x 1.1x 0.99x 0.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 5.71% 5.62% 5.67% 5.68% 5.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 26.41% 26.18% 26.15% 25.68% 25.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 35.86% 177.25% 44.94% 47.48% 48.42%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,404 3,168 3,350 5,129 2,264 4,771 4,873 6,296
Change - -6.94% 5.75% 53.1% -55.86% 110.75% 2.14% 29.19%
Dividend per Share 1 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,800 1,858 1,998 2,142
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 20% 3.24% 7.52% 7.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 21,818 18,662 18,131 20,860 21,381 22,083 22,915 23,864
Change - -14.47% -2.85% 15.05% 2.5% 3.29% 3.77% 4.14%
EPS 1 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,898 3,137 3,223 3,528 3,818
Change - 18.21% 19.77% 1.35% 8.25% 2.76% 9.46% 8.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241 232 233 231 230 230.3 230.3 230.3
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 10/03/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 28.9x 26.4x
PBR 4.21x 4.06x
EV / Sales 3.64x 3.44x
Yield 2% 2.15%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
93,000.00CHF
Average target price
114,552.94CHF
Spread / Average Target
+23.18%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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