Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 33,671 29,679 26,795
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -14.55% -11.86% -9.72%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,237 6,285 6,343
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 5.14% 0.76% 0.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,487 5,442 5,918
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,336.88% -16.11% 8.75%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7.11% 7.36% 7.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.4% 4.45% 4.45%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.43% 3.66% 3.52%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.2% 2.35% 2.36%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.35% 2.03% 2.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 107.13% 86.43% 92.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 5% 5.12% 4.08%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 16.89% 15.29% 14.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.72x 1.5x 1.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.19x 5.45x 4.53x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.26% 2.34% 2.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 31.84% 31.79% 31.97%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 96.15% 115.48% 107.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 1.055 1.163 1.065
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 125.45% 10.25% -8.36%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.1897 0.1905 0.2443
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 89.74% 0.38% 28.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.498 3.764 4.003
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 7.38% 7.61% 6.36%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.5274 0.5462 0.553
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,658% 3.57% 1.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,715,401 11,715,401 11,715,401
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.4x 13.9x
PBR 2.17x 2.02x
EV / Sales 0.45x 0.44x
Yield 2.49% 2.5%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.605USD
Average target price
7.981USD
Spread / Average Target
+4.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc