Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 35,428 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 36,531 33,627 31,091
Change - -11.37% -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 0.35% -7.95% -7.54%
Announcement Date 16/02/21 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,921 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,709 5,907 6,085
Change - -7.73% 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 1.74% 3.47% 3.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,257 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 2,546 4,585 4,976
Change - 517.02% 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -42.7% 80.04% 8.54%
Announcement Date 16/02/21 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.12% 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.59% 6.91% 7.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.1% 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.34% 3.64% 4.03%
EBT Margin (%) -3.59% 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.38% 2.33% 3.12%
Net margin (%) -1.34% 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.49% 1.68% 2.18%
FCF margin (%) -0.88% 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% 1.08% 1.96% 2.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.05% 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% 222.25% 116.22% 96.19%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.57% 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 1.32% 3.1% 3.77%
ROE -4.89% 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 4.81% 10.99% 12.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.06x 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.78x 2.08x 1.79x
Debt / Free cash flow -28.18x 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x 14.35x 7.33x 6.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.75% 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.43% 2.52% 2.56%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.92% 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.43% 36.5% 35.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -311.93% 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% 224.19% 128.84% 122.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2016 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.5498 0.8558 0.9448
Change - 229.53% 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -32.89% 55.65% 10.4%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1016 0.1322 0.2138
Change - - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 1.61% 30.12% 61.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.848 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.064 3.322 3.515
Change - -1.82% 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -17.11% 8.43% 5.82%
EPS 1 -0.14 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.0982 0.3373 0.4314
Change - 371.43% 250% -74.44% -138.24% 175.51% 243.59% 27.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,221,312 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,741,855 11,741,855 11,741,855
Announcement Date 16/02/21 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 51.6x 15x
PBR 1.65x 1.52x
EV / Sales 0.41x 0.4x
Yield 2.01% 2.61%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
5.061USD
Average target price
5.467USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.02%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc