Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 34,657 31,580 29,542
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -12.05% -8.88% -6.45%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,426 6,537 6,536
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 8.33% 1.72% -0.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,164 6,046 6,552
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,225.51% -1.91% 8.36%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7.03% 7.48% 7.42%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.62% 4.86% 4.75%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.38% 3.83% 3.67%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.36% 2.64% 2.56%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.15% 2.18% 2.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 91.26% 82.58% 92.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 5.79% 6.03% 6%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 16.92% 16.85% 15.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.72x 1.52x 1.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.62x 5.22x 4.51x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.24% 2.36% 2.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 31.89% 31.56% 31.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 104.25% 108.11% 99.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 1.036 1.206 1.077
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 121.55% 16.33% -10.66%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2071 0.2731 0.27
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 107.07% 31.88% -1.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.513 3.747 4.04
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 7.84% 6.67% 7.82%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.5849 0.6215 0.6113
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,849.7% 6.25% -1.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,718,025 11,718,025 11,718,025
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.4x 11.7x
PBR 2.06x 1.93x
EV / Sales 0.42x 0.42x
Yield 2.86% 3.77%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
7.246USD
Average target price
8.350USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.24%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise