Projected Income Statement: FP Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: FP Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 58,420 77,905 69,077 61,493 55,149 58,738 68,845 58,679
Change - 33.35% -11.33% -10.98% -10.32% 6.51% 17.21% -14.77%
Announcement Date 28/04/22 28/04/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 30/04/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: FP Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 23,246 27,774 11,352 14,828 16,012 37,000 25,000 23,333
Change - 19.48% -59.13% 30.62% 7.98% 131.08% -32.43% -6.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 282 -7,703 18,465 12,990 13,387 -15,000 6,567 6,400
Change - -2,831.56% 339.71% -29.65% 3.06% -212.05% 143.78% -2.54%
Announcement Date 28/04/22 28/04/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 30/04/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: FP Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.08% 14.62% 14.17% 14.1% 15.06% 14.25% 14.85% 14.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.12% 7.91% 7.4% 7.84% 8.99% 8.61% 9.04% 8.38%
EBT Margin (%) 8.41% 8.01% 7.65% 7.76% 8.92% 8.4% 8.91% 9.21%
Net margin (%) 5.73% 5.46% 5.28% 5.3% 6.18% 5.71% 5.89% 5.71%
FCF margin (%) 0.14% -3.65% 8.31% 5.51% 5.57% -5.89% 2.54% 2.56%
FCF / Net Income (%) 2.52% -66.81% 157.5% 104.04% 90.03% -103.09% 43.12% 44.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.55% 6.17% 5.62% 6.25% 7.3% 7% 6.1% 6.6%
ROE 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 7.95% 8.44% 7.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.98x 2.52x 2.19x 1.85x 1.52x 1.62x 1.79x 1.62x
Debt / Free cash flow 207.16x -10.11x 3.74x 4.73x 4.12x -3.92x 10.48x 9.17x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.88% 13.15% 5.11% 6.29% 6.66% 14.53% 9.66% 9.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 78.75% 89.93% 36.06% 44.63% 44.22% 101.93% 65.05% 64.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 8,243.26% -360.56% 61.48% 114.15% 119.61% -246.67% 380.71% 364.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 303.6 314.1 327.7 336.9 364.3 - - -
Change - 3.47% 4.33% 2.81% 8.14% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 47 47 57 61.5 73 72.5 79.2 77
Change - 0% 21.28% 7.89% 18.7% -0.68% 9.24% -2.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,610 1,704 1,796 1,898 2,033 2,117 2,222 2,313
Change - 5.8% 5.41% 5.68% 7.15% 4.11% 4.97% 4.09%
EPS 1 137 140.9 143.5 154.5 183.9 179.9 198.2 176.4
Change - 2.85% 1.87% 7.64% 19.04% -2.16% 10.16% -10.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 81,833 81,848 80,822 80,851 80,877 80,877 80,877 80,877
Announcement Date 28/04/22 28/04/23 30/04/24 30/04/25 30/04/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.6x 13.3x
PBR 1.24x 1.18x
EV / Sales 1.07x 1.09x
Yield 2.76% 3.01%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
2,627.00JPY
Average target price
3,035.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+15.53%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise