Projected Income Statement: FirstService Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: FirstService Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - 598 994 1,055 928 1,411 1,287 1,182
Change - - 66.22% 6.14% -12.04% 52.01% -8.79% -8.16%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: FirstService Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 58.2 77.61 92.73 112.8 127.7 129 138.8 137.4
Change - 33.34% 19.49% 21.64% 13.22% 0.98% 7.65% -0.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 109.1 28.28 187.6 172.9 318.2 302.4 298.9 373.6
Change - -74.07% 563.36% -7.86% 84.08% -4.99% -1.16% 25%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: FirstService Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.08% 9.39% 9.59% 9.85% 10.24% 10.25% 10.35% 10.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.21% 5.85% 5.65% 6.47% 6.15% 6.21% 6.69% 6.95%
EBT Margin (%) 6.43% 5.18% 4.69% 4.94% 4.85% 5% 5.39% 5.51%
Net margin (%) 4.16% 3.23% 2.32% 2.58% 2.64% 2.95% 3.21% 3.36%
FCF margin (%) 3.36% 0.76% 4.33% 3.31% 5.79% 5.28% 4.93% 5.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.66% 23.36% 186.9% 128.65% 219.4% 179.06% 153.6% 176.1%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.58% 3.13% 3.44% 3.42% 3.5% 3.34% 3.64%
ROE 18.52% 14.18% 10.39% 12.15% 11.32% 16.33% 19.89% 20.69%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.7x 2.39x 2.05x 1.65x 2.4x 2.05x 1.8x
Debt / Free cash flow - 21.15x 5.3x 6.1x 2.92x 4.67x 4.31x 3.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.79% 2.07% 2.14% 2.16% 2.32% 2.25% 2.29% 2.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.78% 22.06% 22.31% 21.96% 22.69% 21.95% 22.13% 20.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 53.37% 274.39% 49.42% 65.25% 40.13% 42.65% 46.45% 36.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.826 2.38 6.481 7.616 8.824 9.789 10.41 10.98
Change - -59.15% 172.33% 17.51% 15.86% 10.93% 6.39% 5.4%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.81 0.9 1 1.1 1.222 1.408 1.565
Change - - 11.11% 11.11% 10% 11.09% 15.18% 11.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 20.52 22.92 26.23 30.07 23.49 26.19 20.1
Change - - 11.7% 14.44% 14.65% -21.88% 11.49% -23.26%
EPS 1 3.05 2.72 2.24 2.97 3.17 3.777 4.459 5.023
Change - -10.82% -17.65% 32.59% 6.73% 19.15% 18.05% 12.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 43,930 44,214 44,633 45,262 45,712 43,923 43,923 43,923
Announcement Date 15/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 37.7x 32x
PBR 6.07x 5.44x
EV / Sales 1.34x 1.24x
Yield 0.86% 0.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
142.51USD
Average target price
169.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. FSV Stock
  4. Financials FirstService Corporation